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US hurricane drought is 'basically dumb luck', scientists say
The Guardian ^ | Apr 30th 2015 | Peter Moskowitz

Posted on 05/09/2015 12:28:32 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican

Ten years ago, an especially strong and destructive hurricane season brought Katrina to Louisiana in August, followed two months later by Wilma slamming into the Florida coast. And then, for the next 10 years, nothing: no major hurricanes have hit the United States since.

As the US approaches another hurricane season beginning on 1 June, it will also be approaching a historic milestone: there have been no category 3 or above hurricanes in nearly a decade, a stroke of luck that scientists say is truly out of the ordinary.

(Excerpt) Read more at theguardian.com ...


TOPICS: US: Florida
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To: sauron

Amazing how those scientists never notice a 1 to 1 relationship between the sun and weather. Guess they don’t offer Federal Grants for that.

Pray America is waking


21 posted on 05/09/2015 4:21:34 AM PDT by bray (Cruz to the WH)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Some liberals put up billboards in Orlando back in 2005 claiming that all the hurricanes were due to BUSH and GLOBAL WARMING.

Odd how they can’t claim the opposite now to be true.


22 posted on 05/09/2015 4:21:52 AM PDT by VeniVidiVici (Hey, hey, GayKKK. Who you gonna lynch today?)
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To: sauron
Notice how the decrease in hurricane activity COINCIDES with a decrease in decreased solar activity?

Nobody is saying there has been a decrease in hurricane activity. There has just been a decrease in hurricanes hitting the U.S.

23 posted on 05/09/2015 4:32:33 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: Adder
Adder, if you read the entire article, they do mention Sandy. However, Sandy was a Cat 1 hurricane, not a major one. The reason Sandy was so destructive was where it hit, how it exactly hit and there was another weather system that hit in about the same spot at about the same time.

In other words, Sandy spawned major destruction, but it was not a major hurricane. I'm sure that makes a difference to those whose homes and businesses were destroyed.

24 posted on 05/09/2015 4:43:14 AM PDT by BruceS
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To: MinorityRepublican

The insurance industry got tired of dishing out the hurricane-damage dollars and simply WILLED them away from American shores. We humans have that kind of control, remember?


25 posted on 05/09/2015 4:45:38 AM PDT by Tonytitan
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To: MinorityRepublican

I’ve been a practicing scientist for almost 40 years, and I’ve never been able to quantify or measure luck.

Causation has not been established here, and the alchemists who rely on taxpayer dollars are desperate to preserve their funding stream.


26 posted on 05/09/2015 5:01:51 AM PDT by Arm_Bears (Biology is biology. Everything else is imagination.)
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To: MinorityRepublican
About ten years ago weren't the warmists forecasting major hurricane after major hurricane slamming into the U.S. every year and killing millions?

And now the warmists, who previously forecast major droughts from global warming, are saying more rain can be expected.

I want to know warmists...what disaster is going to hit us? Make up your minds. Are we going to bake to death or drown?

27 posted on 05/09/2015 5:12:00 AM PDT by driftless2
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To: sauron

kickable and despicable. I like that.


28 posted on 05/09/2015 5:13:11 AM PDT by driftless2
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To: MinorityRepublican

The result of those who mock God will not end well for them.


29 posted on 05/09/2015 5:18:12 AM PDT by bestintxas (every time a RINO loses, a founding father gets his wings.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Nearly 3,500 Days Since Major Hurricane Strike… Despite Record High CO2
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2015/05/nearly-3500-days-since-major-hurricane-strike-despite-record-high-co2/


30 posted on 05/09/2015 5:27:14 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: Tonytitan

My dumb luck here is ...

Moving from the Northeast to Florida in 2006. After two years of hurricanes before I came I had the priviledge of paying the massive premiums to make the companies solid again. And I still pay for ten year old storms every month.
My dumb luck.


31 posted on 05/09/2015 5:45:20 AM PDT by George from New England (escaped CT in 2006, now living north of Tampa)
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To: sauron

You nailed it! That ‘lucky Ol’ Sol’s got nothin’ to do, but roll about heaven all day.’

Except, ‘Old Sol” is truly the driving factor in all our climate; it governs the four seasons according to the tilt of the earth and the sun’s rays. Why on earth the idiot AGW people keep insisting that mankind is controlling the earth’s warming/cooling, is totally unfathomable.

At least the pagans had enough sense to acknowledge the sun’s power. Today’s climatistas not only ignore God, but his creation as well. They worship only themselves.


32 posted on 05/09/2015 6:09:06 AM PDT by Gumdrop
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To: MinorityRepublican

Ask the victims of Hurricane Ike near Galveston if there was no destruction. Technically labelled a Category 2, the storm did as much destruction as a 3 or 4.

That doesn’t negate the point of the story but it does point out that there have been destructive storms in the past 10 years. Remember “Superstorm Sandy”?

I do recall, though, the strong storms of 2005 were cited as proof of the disasters of Global Warming. Well, where are those people now after a decade of rather mild hurricane seasons?


33 posted on 05/09/2015 6:14:47 AM PDT by OrangeHoof (Every time you say no to a liberal, you make the Baby Barack cry.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Any event or fact that doesn’t fit the script of the Global Warming Religionists is ignored, written off as an anomaly or attributed to dumb luck.

But any event or fact that does fit the script is heralded far and wide as irrefutable proof that their doomsday predictions are real and accurate.


34 posted on 05/09/2015 6:58:01 AM PDT by Iron Munro (We may be paranoid but that doesn't mean they aren't really after us)
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To: John Valentine

Hurricanes like every other weather occurance, is directly the result of many different and changing “weather” factors that circulate around the planet, quite clearly driven by the Sun.

Hurricanes nor any other weather is a matter of luck or statistical averages.


35 posted on 05/09/2015 8:19:52 AM PDT by X-spurt (CRUZ missile - armed and ready.)
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To: MinorityRepublican
it is a certainty....... Miami is doomed.

When the storm hits buildings will be eradicated


36 posted on 05/09/2015 8:33:34 AM PDT by bert ((K.E.; N.P.; GOPc.;+12, 73, ..... No peace? then no peace!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

I live on a sailing yacht in coastal Georgia.

I hope the luck keeps on keeping on.


37 posted on 05/09/2015 9:22:20 AM PDT by Conan the Librarian (The Best in Life is to crush my enemies, see them driven before me, and the Dewey Decimal System)
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To: bert

but aren’t skyscrapers in Miami designed to withstand CAT 5 hurricanes with winds up to 200 MPH?


38 posted on 05/09/2015 9:38:45 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

The wind load design for high rise is probably adequate but the damage from airborne material will do lots of damage. My recollection of the design pressure is more like that for a 150 mph expressed in pounds per square foot

the main problem though will be storm surge and high water. the large and many residential structures essentially right on the water will be wiped away or severely damaged. The same will be true for the lower floors of high rise structures.

Watch the opening scenes of CSI Miami and think of a 5’ or 10 foot storm surge


39 posted on 05/09/2015 10:10:56 AM PDT by bert ((K.E.; N.P.; GOPc.;+12, 73, ..... No peace? then no peace!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Of course it is “luck”.

These idiots have all these bullshit models that claim otherwise. You can’t implement a New World Order when “Luck” interferes. Everybody knows that.

Idiots


40 posted on 05/09/2015 10:13:00 AM PDT by eyedigress (s)
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