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A Tiny Firm That Saw The 1929 Crash Coming Sees Trouble For 2015
BI ^ | 11-10-2014 | Elena Holodny

Posted on 11/10/2014 6:31:14 AM PST by blam

Elena Holodny
November 10, 2014

A small firm that predicted the market crash back in 1929 is back with an ominous message.

According to Bloomberg, the Jerome Levy Forecasting center sees a 65% chance of a recession in 2015.

"Clearly the direction of most of the recent global economic news suggest movement toward a 2015 downturn," said David Levy, the chairman of the Jerome Levy Forecasting Center.

Levy's forecasts contrasts with the Wall Street consensus, which is confident growth will continue for years.

Back in 1929, Jerome Levy — grandfather of now chairman David Levy — "didn't like what he saw in his analysis of corporate profits" and rather impressively "sold his stocks before the October crash," reports Bloomberg.

(snip)

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 1929; economy; investing; recession; stockmarket; stocks
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1 posted on 11/10/2014 6:31:14 AM PST by blam
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To: blam

Weve been in a rolling Depression for several years now as I understand it.

there’s a 99 percent chance that it will continue at least until obie is out of office, barring a miracle


2 posted on 11/10/2014 6:33:56 AM PST by MeshugeMikey ("Never, Never, Never, Give Up," Winston Churchill)
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To: blam
Years Ending In '5' After Mid-Term Elections Have Been Consistently Bullish For Stocks

Interviewing John Hussman: "The Market Is Overvalued By 100%"

3 posted on 11/10/2014 6:36:26 AM PST by blam (Jeff Sessions For President)
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To: blam

No doubt the same people who predicted the 1929 crash are still working there.


4 posted on 11/10/2014 6:39:14 AM PST by Fresh Wind (2014: The FUBO Election)
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41 Days
48%

Donate

5 posted on 11/10/2014 6:50:49 AM PST by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: blam
You can ask three FReepers (or economists, same principle) about how the economy is doing, and get five answers. :-)

It will go up next year. Or down. Or, it might stay the same. We will find out in a year.

If I were a gambling man, I'd bet on "Down". Things are pretty overheated of late. But, again, we will see.

6 posted on 11/10/2014 6:52:02 AM PST by wbill
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To: blam

And the Ebola factor.


7 posted on 11/10/2014 6:53:25 AM PST by jetson (Can I catch you a delicious bass...)
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To: blam

Duh. The Republicans control both chambers. So, the Dems and their wealthy supporters, (Soros), run the economy aground and blame Republican control of Congress for souring St. Obama’s efforts.

Obama gets a pass.
Wealthy Dems go short, and make money.
Republicans get all the blame, with lots of help from the media.

Clear the decks for Hillary, or Liz Warren.


8 posted on 11/10/2014 6:56:41 AM PST by brownsfan (Behold, the power of government cheese.)
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To: sauropod

.


9 posted on 11/10/2014 6:57:22 AM PST by sauropod (Fat Bottomed Girl: "What difference, at this psoint, does it make?")
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To: blam

Not only is the MSM hiding the terrible economy, but Wall Street and the Fed are complicit in keeping the charade going. Undoubtedly if we return to recession/depression, the MSM and Wall Street will be right there pointing the finger at the newly elected GOP congress.


10 posted on 11/10/2014 6:57:26 AM PST by Rockitz (This is NOT rocket science - Follow the money and you'll find the truth.)
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To: MeshugeMikey

Dems have learned with the help of foreign governments hostile to the US and republican foreign policy, they can manipulate the US economy to win elections.


11 posted on 11/10/2014 6:59:13 AM PST by IMR 4350
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To: blam

You cannot crash an airplane that never left the ground.


12 posted on 11/10/2014 6:59:33 AM PST by Lazamataz (First we beat the Soviet Union. Then we became them. We have no 'news media', only a Soviet Pravda.)
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To: blam
A Tale of the Ticker--Frank Crumit (1929)
13 posted on 11/10/2014 7:03:04 AM PST by Fiji Hill
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To: Lazamataz

Yes you can. Give me the keys to one and I’ll show you.


14 posted on 11/10/2014 7:03:20 AM PST by Larry Lucido
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To: brownsfan
The Republicans control both chambers. So, the Dems and their wealthy supporters, (Soros), run the economy aground and blame Republican control of Congress for souring St. Obama’s efforts.

I don't disagree with your analysis, but I've always wondered why the wealthy Dem donors don't seem to think their whole plan through.

Reminds me of the underpants gnomes from South Park. Except, in this case, the answer to the big question mark between "get socialists in power" and "live happily ever after in utopia" is almost always along the lines of "kill all the rich people".


15 posted on 11/10/2014 7:05:44 AM PST by chrisser (When do we get to tell the Middle East to stop clinging to their guns and religion?)
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To: Larry Lucido

No. You can’t. I bolted it to the ground, used superglue on all the doors, removed the engine, and encased it in a 50000 ton concrete tomb.


16 posted on 11/10/2014 7:07:04 AM PST by Lazamataz (First we beat the Soviet Union. Then we became them. We have no 'news media', only a Soviet Pravda.)
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To: MeshugeMikey

But...but...the media says we’re in an economic recovery. /sarc


17 posted on 11/10/2014 7:10:16 AM PST by Starboard
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To: blam

Economists have predicted 20 out of the last 10 recessions... :-)


18 posted on 11/10/2014 7:11:25 AM PST by Wyatt's Torch
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To: wbill

When you ask 5 economists their prediction you will get 6 different answers :-)

Globally the numbers look bleak. The US is the lone bright spot. Hopefully we don’t get dragged down with the ROW.


19 posted on 11/10/2014 7:12:30 AM PST by Wyatt's Torch
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To: Lazamataz; SgtBob

Ping-

New storage plan for The FR Air Force!


20 posted on 11/10/2014 7:20:05 AM PST by mabarker1 (congress, The Opposite of Progress.)
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