Posted on 10/27/2014 9:23:11 AM PDT by cotton1706
Most political observers expect incumbent Democratic Sen. Tom Udall to easily win re-election in New Mexico, but a new poll suggests the race has suddenly tightened.
Udall is only up four points over Republican Allen Weh, according to a new Vox Populi poll shared first with The Daily Caller. The poll has Udall at 47 and Weh at 43.
“Our survey shows that the New Mexico Senate race has tightened down to a four point lead heading into Election Day,” said Vox Populi pollster Brent Seaborn. “The deteriorating national political environment for Democrats and President Obama has put Senate races like New Mexico at risk for Democrats.”
The poll, conducted Oct. 20 to 22, surveyed 614 active voters by automated telephone technology and mobile based survey technology. The margin of error is 3.95 percent.
It also showed that the top issues driving voters in the race are the economy and jobs, Obamacare and President Obama’s job performance.
Weh, a retired colonel in the U.S. Marine Corps Reserve, is the CEO of an international air support and aviation logistics company.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailycaller.com ...
Martinez, the republican governor is a shoo-in for reelection. Maybe she'll pull Weh into office with her.
Alan is a good candidate and Udall is just another hack.
We gave very few surprise elections any more. Oddly, McC in KY in 1984 was a surprise over Walter Huddleston. It would be unthinkable that liberals would deny victory to two Udalls.
I hope Uidiot will have a bad night....another family that needs to go home....
Republicans have to be something like +5 to win or the Dems will “find” trunkfuls of uncounted ballots to overcome any lesser margin.
I’m just suspicious enough to wonder whether these reports of “surprisingly tight races” is intended to get the GOP send funds to hopeless states.
Stay out of the Udalls.
We have such a great opportunity to retake the country, stop the Fabian socialists, reshape things prior to the 2016 race, and restore the American dream.
Kick out the Udalls.
I don’t think it was a huge surprise. I remember the now-infamous “bloodhound” ads getting played here back in 1984 (since being in Nashville meant we covered the Bowling Green-Hopkinsville media market). Those went a long way into knocking off Dee Huddleston, with the 2nd one being especially damning (and one of the funniest political ads ever made).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bcpuhiIDx3Q
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HjoLag3pKi8
I’ve been wondering if NM Senate could end being the surprise of the season.
The reason? As goes one Udall so goes the other, the came into the House together in 1998, they came into the Senate together 6 years ago, could they go out together, sending their fellow Mormon democrat Reid back into the Minority Leader spot, where he belongs? I hope so.
Mitch should have done an updated version of those ads, the hounds smell Obama’s brand of cigarettes on Grimes.
We were just driving through NM a few days ago and there was a billboard with Obama pictured as one of the faces on Mt. Rushmore. So there are a lot of NM folks who have drunk the Kool-Ade.
Election night may be even better than I hoped. I remember watching the election in 1994 with complete astonishment and delight. OI never thought I’d live to see such an outcome. At the rate it’s going, this could be even better than 2010.
I’m so happy, I could eat a sandwich from a gas station!
I don’t know. This seems tgtbt. Both Udalls on the same day? What’s next, Obama resigns?
What good would Obama resigning do? Biden is a dangerous drunk, assassination insurance, brilliant VP pick.
Purging both Udalls in the same election would be an ideal outcome. It would almost make up for the terrible crop of candidates we have in Illinois this year. Almost.
I was wondering if perhaps the GOP might make a play for the state house this year.
http://www.ourcampaigns.com/ContainerHistory.html?ContainerID=2296
We have here it’s entire curious history.
The State House was Republican since statehood until 1922 when the rats won a large majority, GOP took it back in ‘26, lost it in 1930, and in ‘32 were reduced to just 8 seats (out of 49). Democrats kept the majority for a while after that, even in 1946 their edge was 30-19, gained seats in 1948, and then gained more in 1950 (a good GOP year) reducing the GOP to 9 seats (out of 55). Then in 1952 the GOP took a one seat majority, 28-27, from less than 20% to a majority. The rats took back a huge 51 to 4 majority in 1954 and it’s wasn’t even close again until 2010. It’s currently 38-32 rat out of 70 seats. We need to net 4.
The State Senate is 25-17 D.
Wonder no more. That is the premier goal of the NM GOP is taking back the House after 62 years. With an expected low-turnout election and Gary King being a total bust as a challenger to Gov. Martinez, NM Dems are in panic mode. They’re even dumping money on a state house race against the GOP Minority Leader hoping to decapitate the “head.” But he’s in a GOP-leaning district and unlikely to lose.
Dems have another problem that the entire caucus is NOT committed to electing a Speaker. If the GOP just picks up 1 seat or 2, they could peel off a few disgruntled Dems to vote for the GOP Speaker (or elect a coalition Dem Speaker who appoints GOP Chairs). In any event, either will be a huge victory for Martinez and the NM GOP.
I also expect some other statewide contests to go our way, with a potential (though unlikely) chance they could all swing GOP. If Weh wins the Senate race, that will be the single biggest upset, not just in NM, but nationally (and that would mean, at least, a 10 or 12-seat Senate win).
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