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The Bigger They Are . . . : Why Hillary is vulnerable in 2016
National Review ^ | 04/18/2014 | Matthew Continetti

Posted on 04/19/2014 10:25:36 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Hillary Clinton may end up deciding that she wants to spend the 935 days until Election 2016 making corporate speeches and spoiling her grandchild. Recent events have exposed weaknesses in Clinton’s supposedly impregnable armor, gaps through which a Democratic or Republican challenger could damage, perhaps even defeat her. The bad headlines to which she has been subjected are enough to make anyone — anyone who isn’t a Clinton — think twice about running for president.

Look at the polls. This week’s Fox News poll has Clinton’s favorable rating at its lowest point in six years. She is at 49 percent favorable, 45 percent unfavorable — similar to her 47/46 favorable/unfavorable rating when she ended her last presidential campaign.

More important than the individual results, however, is the trend. Since leaving office as secretary of state, Clinton’s favorable rating has been on a downward trajectory. And this is before the rigors of a campaign, before a Biden or a Warren or an O’Malley or a Cuomo or a Schweitzer or a Sanders throws a punch or two, before Christie, Bush, Rubio, Walker, Jindal, Paul, Kasich, Ryan, Perry, and Pence go for the Cobra Clutch Bulldog. A shoo-in? So was The Undertaker.

Already Clinton is finding it difficult to articulate a rationale for her presidency, to pronounce a record of achievement on which to base a campaign. In an appearance this month at the Women in the World Summit, she had trouble naming her proudest accomplishment as secretary of state. It is a question that her strongest supporters, in her party and in the media, cannot answer. “Hillary Clinton Struggles to Define a Legacy in Progress,” read the headline in Thursday’s New York Times. “Mrs. Clinton is striking a delicate balance,” the paper reports, “when discussing a job that would be a critical credential in a presidential race.” The last secretary of state to become president was James Buchanan. He gave us the Civil War.

Clinton, the Times goes on, wants “credit for the parts of Mr. Obama’s foreign policy that have worked,” while “subtly distancing herself from the things that have not worked out.” Imagine that. “The things that have not worked out” compose quite a list. What Hillary Clinton wants is to have it all, to enjoy the fading residual glow of President Obama’s halo without having to answer for all of the messes he will leave behind. Her friends tell the Times that her upcoming memoir, for which she was reportedly paid $14 million, will provide an opportunity to “provide her view of WikiLeaks, Benghazi, and smaller missteps like the Russia reset button.” It will provide an opportunity, in other words, to offer a generous helping of self-serving and exculpatory spin.

I doubt it will succeed. Far too many reporters, in both the mainstream and the conservative media, have a professional incentive in fact-checking Clinton. Last December, when the Times published a lengthy whitewash of Clinton’s involvement in the lead-up to and aftermath of the terrorist attack in Benghazi that killed the U.S. ambassador to Libya, it did not take long before the apologia was deconstructed by experts and Senate investigators. Clinton’s book will be examined not only by supporters eager for ready-made defenses of her time as secretary of state, but also by opposition researchers and investigative reporters, and by her former antagonists within government, who will want their version of events to be reflected in the news.

If she runs for president, Clinton will have to say what she was most proud of as secretary of state, and she will have to name, in public, the issues on which she and the president disagreed. Back-channel quotes to the Times from members of her circle will not be enough. Even Obama, who enjoyed an overwhelmingly favorable press in 2008, had to issue detailed proposals on foreign affairs, had to make a stand on withdrawals from Iraq and meetings with foreign dictators.

He made the wrong stands, true. But he made them. It is absurd to think that Clinton will be able to coast to the Oval Office without saying, at length, how she would handle Russia, Iran, Syria, China, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and the defense budget, without describing how her administration would differ from the one that over the last six years has overseen an incredible amount of global disorder, without promising to accomplish more as president than serving as a “global ambassador for women.” We still have debates. We still have elections. We do not have coronations. Yet.

One reason Clinton may be reluctant to share her views on diplomacy and foreign intervention is that her views are not quite those of her party. It is well known that Clinton advocated for arming the Syrian rebels — a policy rejected by her boss. The foreign-policy thinkers with whom she is aligned call for stronger military assistance to beleaguered democracies such as Ukraine — assistance President Obama denies. The Times reports that Clinton “privately had qualms” with the president’s strategy of demanding an Israeli settlement freeze as a precondition for peace talks with the Palestinians. She followed her orders — but we are led to believe, on the basis of the Times’s reporting, that a President Hillary Clinton would not impose such ridiculous burdens on Israel. How would that fly among the Democrats? This is the party that at its last convention booed God and Jerusalem.

On foreign policy, it is Obama, not Clinton, who is at the center of his party. America, we are reminded daily, is in one of its periodic modes of retrenchment. It will take a public argument, made by a prominent figure, to persuade America otherwise. So far Clinton seems unwilling to make that argument, to be that figure.

A similar disconnect characterizes Clinton’s domestic policy — to the extent that she has one. She wants to fix Obamacare. She is for equal pay for women, for voting rights for minorities, for same-sex marriage. But she has yet to find a heroic cause, an issue around which to rally the youthful and diverse Democratic base. There is no war for her to run against. She is not about to go the full Snowden and argue, like Rand Paul, for the abolition of the NSA Terrorist Surveillance Program. On marijuana legalization, another issue dear to the coalition of the ascendant, she is circumspect. The banks? She’s taken $200,000 paydays from Goldman Sachs and the Carlyle Group. The 1 Percent? Her net worth is estimated at $21.5 million.

About the only constituency that is truly excited about a Clinton run is the class of wealthy donors to the Democratic party and its pet causes, the power players and lobbyists and CEOs and film executives and trial lawyers and liberal bankers and green entrepreneurs who know that a Hillary Clinton White House would be a field day for special access, a celebration of cronyism, a flagrant and grotesque division of spoils. They see the way the Clintons have managed their foundation; they are aware of the consulting company, Teneo, to which the Clintons have been tied. They see the favoritism and glad-handing with which Clinton’s State Department dealt with Boeing, they remember the selling of nights in the Lincoln Bedroom, they ignore the fact that Clinton donors have a habit of winding up in jail.

Undistinguished, hawkish, corporate, opulent, for sale — Hillary Clinton is like a caricature of a Republican. As long as she can obscure that fact from the Democratic masses, from the anti-corporate doves whose social progressivism is far more strident than her own, she will be able to maintain the illusion of the impregnable frontrunner. But nothing lasts forever. Either Clinton will realize this soon, and spend out her days relaxing and cooing over her grandchild. Or she will realize it later, the hard way, sometime in 2016.

I’m not saying it’s going to happen. I’m just saying there’s a chance.

— Matthew Continetti is the editor-in-chief of the Washington Free Beacon, where this column first appeared.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; clinton; hillary; potus
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To: SeekAndFind
The Bigger They Are . . .

She's big enough all right.


21 posted on 04/19/2014 11:22:39 AM PDT by Iron Munro (NSA reports Malaysia Flight 370 black box signals detected in Bermuda Triangle)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

RE: Plenty of time to be a grandma 2 times over.

What does that have to do with being president?


22 posted on 04/19/2014 11:29:53 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (If at first you don't succeed, put it out for beta test.)
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To: freekitty

Not worried.

1. Too old, and looks it. Fair or not, many men become distinguished - while many women “look old”.
2. Will not be able to make a single appearance in a non-hand-picked environment without Benghazi coming up. It will prove to be impossible to mount a credible campaign under these conditions, no matter how much help the media provides. Too many witnesses.
3. The mysterious “concussion” cannot be covered up forever.

Dems know all of the above, and many “vultures” are circling high overhead out of sight, waiting for the 2016 election cycle to begin in earnest.


23 posted on 04/19/2014 11:35:32 AM PDT by The Antiyuppie ("When small men cast long shadows, then it is very late in the day.")
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To: Menehune56
No.....has to be white...but the heritage is likely to be in play.

The black sheep will do as they are told. Dem Women will vote their usual one item agenda. Same thing for Latinos.

No matter who runs, because of the numbers of ignorant voters, the chances are that they will take the Senate and Whitehouse again.

24 posted on 04/19/2014 12:11:56 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: Menehune56
"In fact I believe the temptation will be overwhelming for the democrats to find another African-American who will be exempt from criticism and protected by the sycophant media."

Make that African-American Person-of-Gender and I think you've nailed it.

25 posted on 04/19/2014 12:17:54 PM PDT by MV=PY (The Magic Question: Who's paying for it?)
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To: Menehune56
In fact I believe the temptation will be overwhelming for the democrats to find another African-American who will be exempt from criticism and protected by the sycophant media.

Not going to happen this time. Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton weren't exempt from criticism when they ran, and if Deval Patrick or Corey Booker run they won't be either. I don't know what it was about Obama, but that immunity from criticism isn't going to transfer to other candidates who happen to be Black.

26 posted on 04/19/2014 12:38:03 PM PDT by x
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To: Dilbert San Diego

The Hildabeast is all things to all peoples. Didn’t you get the memo? *SMIRK*


27 posted on 04/19/2014 6:59:46 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: MV=PY

“Make that African-American Person-of-Gender and I think you’ve nailed it. “

Sheila Jackson Lee?
Gwen Moore?
Maxine Waters?
Lena C. Taylor?

*SNORT*

Lord, Help Us!


28 posted on 04/19/2014 7:06:27 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin
"Lord, Help Us!"

Indeed!

(You forgot Oprah.)

29 posted on 04/19/2014 7:36:08 PM PDT by MV=PY (The Magic Question: Who's paying for it?)
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To: The Antiyuppie

Hope you are right. We don’t need anymore dynasties like the Bushes, Clintons or Obamas.


30 posted on 04/19/2014 8:15:48 PM PDT by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote; then find me a real conservative to vote for)
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