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Why experts blew the 2013 hurricane forecasts
Orlando Sentinel ^ | November 25, 2013 | Ken Kaye

Posted on 11/25/2013 12:55:16 PM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

Edited on 11/25/2013 2:14:11 PM PST by Admin Moderator. [history]

Why did all the experts get the hurricane season outlook so wrong?

Twelve forecast teams predicted an average of 16 named storms, including eight hurricanes, four major. Yet this season, which ends Saturday, saw only 13 named storms, including two mediocre Category 1 hurricanes.


(Excerpt) Read more at orlandosentinel.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: alarmists; algoreisnotmygod; climatechange; doomsdaycult; globalwarmingscare; greenieweenies; hurricanes; hysteria; junkscience; playedonourfears; prophecy; pseudoscience; scientificconsensus; thegreenmenace; weather; weatherforecasting
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1 posted on 11/25/2013 12:55:17 PM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

There salaries need to be cut in half. They’d do better the next time.


2 posted on 11/25/2013 12:57:15 PM PST by rovenstinez (,)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

a guess is a guess...stop calling it science


3 posted on 11/25/2013 12:58:20 PM PST by Sacajaweau
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Blew the hurricane forecasts... is that a pun?

I’ll tell you why - because they say the same thing every year to draw attention (and funding) to themselves; because weather forecasts are so unreliable, that they sometimes fail in predicting the weather for the following day; and that being a weather forecaster is about the only job (other than being an Obama appointee) where one can fail miserably most of the time and still keep one’s job.


4 posted on 11/25/2013 12:59:22 PM PST by Pining_4_TX (All those who were appointed to eternal life believed. Acts 13:48)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

and 2006,2007,2008 etc etc


5 posted on 11/25/2013 12:59:36 PM PST by Sacajaweau
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

They can’t even come close to making a aomewhat correct four month storm forecast for the east coast.

But they can tell us in detail about the effects of global warming 20 years from now.


6 posted on 11/25/2013 1:00:43 PM PST by Iron Munro (Orwell: There are some ideas so absurd that only an intellectual could believe them.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
"I think the magnitude of the cooling that occurred in the Atlantic was somewhat overlooked by ourselves and others," said Phil Klotzbach

Hmmmm....

7 posted on 11/25/2013 1:01:14 PM PST by MulberryDraw (Repeal it.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Because they used the settled “science” of global warming which requires lots of storms.


8 posted on 11/25/2013 1:01:56 PM PST by Gen.Blather
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

...or maybe a politically-motivated forecast that was being used to support a wealth distribution scheme fell flat when confronted with actual data.


9 posted on 11/25/2013 1:02:08 PM PST by kidd
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

“..failed to anticipate that cooler waters would infiltrate the Atlantic in the spring...”

Gore’s crowd claimed the opposite.

because the forecasters were influenced by the climate debate and radicals calling for the heated planet - human caused, that is.


10 posted on 11/25/2013 1:02:21 PM PST by elpadre (AfganistaMr Obama said the goal was to "disrupt, dismantle and defeat al-hereQaeda" and its allies.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

They can’t get a small sub-set of climate, the annual Atlantic Hurricane Season right, but they are confident that Global Warming will doom us in the next 50 years.


11 posted on 11/25/2013 1:02:49 PM PST by AU72
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Once again, they ignored solar activity.


12 posted on 11/25/2013 1:03:28 PM PST by chopperman
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Once Katrina hit, we were told we were in for an ever-growing brutal hurricane season year after year.

It was the Y2K of weather forecasts.

13 posted on 11/25/2013 1:05:51 PM PST by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
And they didn't anticipate that Saharan dust would further dry out the atmosphere.

It's all those damned camels scuffing their feet!

14 posted on 11/25/2013 1:06:07 PM PST by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Scientists predict....God laughs.....................


15 posted on 11/25/2013 1:07:31 PM PST by Red Badger (Proud member of the Zeta Omicron Tau Fraternity since 2004...................)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

the freakazoids on weatherunderground tried to insist that it was global-climate-change-warming (or what the hell ever they’re calling it these days) that was killing the hurricanes.

the logic went like this; changing climate, warming planet, increased wind sheer ate all the hurricanes.

yes, that’s really what they said. and the morbid bastards actually root for the hurricanes.


16 posted on 11/25/2013 1:08:06 PM PST by JohnBrowdie (http://forum.stink-eye.net)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Why is this a surprise? Normal local or national forecasters can’t even get it right half the time. We were supposed to get a winter storm here in North Texas, but got a cool rain instead. That was only 8 hours out, much less 3 days.


17 posted on 11/25/2013 1:08:42 PM PST by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
they didn't foresee that a (blah blah blah).....And they didn't anticipate that (blah blah blah).....

Strangely enough, *I* foresaw that they were going to be wrong, and likely very wrong. Just like every other one of the past six or eight years that I've been paying attention.

18 posted on 11/25/2013 1:12:10 PM PST by wbill
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To: Cincinatus' Wife; Revolting cat!; GeronL
Miss Cleo's line was busy when they ventured their predictions.


19 posted on 11/25/2013 1:12:29 PM PST by a fool in paradise (America 2013 - STUCK ON STUPID)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

On a related note - or maybe an unrelated note - “Despite all of the tornadoes on Sunday, we are still way below normal when it comes to tornadoes this year across the country. The total is now up to 886. The average, since 2005, is about 1,500 tornadoes. (see chart below)” From: http://addins.kwwl.com/blogs/weather/category/severe-weather

If all else fails, its due to global warming.


20 posted on 11/25/2013 1:13:01 PM PST by Western Phil
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