Posted on 04/05/2013 3:20:25 PM PDT by ScottLA37
With all the rhetoric coming out of North Korea it is hard to make sense out of what is happening. There is plenty of speculation to go around because the recent moves by Kim Jong Un seem suicidal. I am not a military expert but I have been following this for many years. My speculation is that this is all being provoked by China. Bear with me for a few minutes while I try to make sense of this. If China convinces the DPRK to start a war with the US, they create a huge distraction, weaken the US and throw DPRK under the bus. They have been building up DPRK for years to use in this proxy war and now the timing is right for many reasons:
North Korea has built up it's military for many years using among others Chinese hardware and is ready for war
China knows the US has a weak leader
China knows that the US has publicly stated that it can only front one war at a time
The DPRK has a young naïve leader
So what does China really want? Oil. With the US distracted, weakened and fighting a 1 million man DPRK army with 8 million DPRK reservists, China can now just waltz into the military vacuum in Iraq and control middle eastern oil with its friend Iran. China has for years setup a military presence all the way from the Persian Gulf through the shipping lanes to China. This is China's biggest worry, oil.
So without shedding a drop of blood on Chinese soil, China can weaken the US, destroy the US dollar by taking it out as the US reserve currency, and get rid of that pesky North Korea all together.
But what about all of those people in harms way in South Korea? Simple, "Ghost Cities". China for years have been building mysterious ghost cities to provide housing and infrastructure for millions of people. So who will live in the Ghost Cities? Mostly South Korean refugees and some select refugees from North Korea. Millions of skilled low wage workers that would love to escape a ware torn and possibly nuclear contaminated Korean peninsula. China may also gain much of the South Korean technology, manufacturing and intellectual property with an evacuation of Korea to China.
Many of the top military officials in the DPRK have been trained by China. These officials, I believe, have been given promises from China of great wealth if they convince young Kim that they can win a war with the US. Once war starts, these officials will be escorted out of harms way to top posts in China.
So what does China gain by provoking a war between the DPRK and the USA?
Cheap oil for many decades
They probably become the world top superpower
They destroy the US dollar by trading all oil in either gold or the Yuan. This will drive the price of gasoline in the US to $8+ per gallon
They weaken the US military
They weaken the US economy
They gain skilled Korean people
They gain Korean technology
They destroy the DPRK and remove all future Korean tensions
This is all speculation and I could be wrong, just trying to make sense of things that don't make sense. Please share your thoughts.
nope, i don’t agree with the article.
“U.S. policy for dealing with the North Korean situation is inadequate because it focuses on North Korea in isolation as a rogue state, and naively seeks help from the Russians and Chinese to solve the problem. The North Korea situation and any future nuclear incident, wherever it occurs, must be seen against the background of Sino-Soviet ‘convergence’ strategy: the interaction of Russian and Chinese policy and the moves they make to derive strategic gains from critical situations should be closely studied.” — KGB Defector Major Anatoliy Golitsyn, “The Perestroika Deception”, March 1989, p. 46.
Today Michael Ledeen wrote something similar, that he is afraid that this is a distraction of sorts, to make us focus on N Korea. At such times, he advises, it would be well to look at the NORK’s allies, and see who stands to gain what.
This is absolutely ridiculous and the assumptions are flawed on many levels.
Exactly. Add to that that China forty years ago was very similar to North Korea - today they are very similar to South Korea, if not more advanced in some ways. They have moved on to a big corporate role and left their ugly little brother behind in the Communist orphanage. :)
If the Chinese are telling the Norks that dumBO will surrender to them, they have a point.
Now 2 Nork subs are unaccounted for.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-03/two-north-korean-submarines-disappeared
You may be correct.
Could you elaborate a bit?
How do you say THRESHER in Korean?
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