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Why I Was Wrong
news ^

Posted on 11/07/2012 7:02:07 AM PST by MNDude

I’ve got egg on my face. I predicted a Romney landslide and, instead, we ended up with an Obama squeaker. The key reason for my bum prediction is that I mistakenly believed that the 2008 surge in black, Latino, and young voter turnout would recede in 2012 to “normal” levels. Didn’t happen. These high levels of minority and young voter participation are here to stay. And, with them, a permanent reshaping of our nation’s politics. In 2012, 13% of the vote was cast by blacks. In 04, it was 11%. This year, 10% was Latino. In ’04 it was 8%. This time, 19% was cast by voters under 30 years of age. In ’04 it was 17%. Taken together, these results swelled the ranks of Obama’s three-tiered base by five to six points, accounting fully for his victory. I derided the media polls for their assumption of what did, in fact happen: That blacks, Latinos, and young people would show up in the same numbers as they had in 2008. I was wrong. They did.

(Excerpt) Read more at dickmorris.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: alteredsource
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To: struggle

I couldn’t believe it when Fox News called Wisconsin for that arrogant pos, even though Romney was 57 points and 0bama was 10 points behind with 4 percent in. They called states for Romney with only 1 percent in


21 posted on 11/07/2012 7:17:09 AM PST by Kaslin (STILL THE ARROGANT LAZY, LYING POS: One Big Ass Mistake America)
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To: madison10

Odd stuff here.

Kenyan and Fat Deb get re-elected on pork handouts, yet all 6 proposals were shut down including two anti-union ones.

At first was disappointed that Prop. 1 also failed but after sleeping on it, don’t care. Let them fail.

Right-to-work law coming our way!


22 posted on 11/07/2012 7:17:51 AM PST by quantim (Victory is not relative, it is absolute.)
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To: Raebie
Obama won because he took 5.1 million more votes in the under 30 demographic.

The next GOP candidate, several months prior to the election, will need to release an an iPhone or Xbox game featuring him as the hero. Maybe that will help.

23 posted on 11/07/2012 7:18:01 AM PST by Right Brother
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To: jcsjcm

I could have easily voted several times at my polling place. The people working the polls were good at checking people in; but once checked in, voters were able to mill about the room before and after voting. No one was paying attention as to who voted and who did not.


24 posted on 11/07/2012 7:18:19 AM PST by MikeyB806
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To: USNBandit
Higher turnout from the plantation population. Lower turnout overall. Plantation Party wins.

Actually lower turnout on both sides. Looks like a lot of conservatives decided to stay home rather than vote Romney. Thanks a lot!

25 posted on 11/07/2012 7:18:33 AM PST by 6ppc (It's torch and pitchfork time)
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To: coloradan

I think this election shows that the “tipping point” has passed.

And, like you posted, the only way out of it is the inevitable collapse.

“America” is not mentioned in Biblical end-time prophecy.


26 posted on 11/07/2012 7:19:27 AM PST by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: nuconvert

“The dems were successful in scaring women away from Romney -that was a big factor.”

That is correct. The Dems resorted to scare tactics (the evils GOP is gonna take away your contraception!) to secure the women’s vote.

On the flip side, we had Senate candidates like Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock who couldn’t keep their foot our of their mouths.


27 posted on 11/07/2012 7:20:44 AM PST by MplsSteve (General Mills is pro-gay marriage! Boycott their products!)
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To: MNDude

Bottom line - The takers now rule. America is dead.


28 posted on 11/07/2012 7:21:06 AM PST by commish (The takers rule. Time to implement the triple G plan - GOD, GUNS, & GOLD)
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To: Raebie
Drudge says Romney got less votes that McCain in 2008. Holy smoke! Didn't see that coming.
29 posted on 11/07/2012 7:21:13 AM PST by sinatorhellary
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To: coloradan

Your post is why I am convinced that we as a nation will hit rock bottom and split into at least two separate nations.

I am also convinced that there will be all the horrors of balkanization including pogroms and mass starvation.

The “takers” are addicted to the “handout heroin” and will NEVER prepare for the day when the assistance stops.

What sane people need to do now is prepare for that day ensuring that the parasites don’t take what is theirs when the collapse comes.


30 posted on 11/07/2012 7:21:13 AM PST by Molon Labbie (Prep. Now. Live Healthy, take your Shooting Iron daily.)
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To: MNDude
I think the FIRST question that must be asked is

"How did everyone get it so wrong?"

Listening to the advice of Dick Morris is certainly a starting point.

31 posted on 11/07/2012 7:21:13 AM PST by The Sons of Liberty (Never Underestimate the Power of Evil)
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To: Right Brother

Well we have to do something, because I can’t name one thing we did to court that age group. They obviously don’t care about the economy.

On the upside, they will age over the next 4 years and hopefully some of them will come around to the financial damage being done.


32 posted on 11/07/2012 7:21:19 AM PST by Raebie (WS)
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To: Kaslin

Miami Dade waited until Pensacola turned their number in so they could see how many votes they needed to generate. Something really did go wrong with this election.


33 posted on 11/07/2012 7:21:34 AM PST by struggle (http://killthegovernment.wordpress.com/)
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To: Raebie
I think we should look a little closer to home and stop playing party politics and stick to conservative principles right here on FR.

Conservatism is who we are and FR instead embraced a flaming liberal.

The result is right here for all to see.

34 posted on 11/07/2012 7:22:09 AM PST by Manic_Episode (Some days...it's just not worth chewing through the leather straps....)
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To: MplsSteve

Yup. They never learn.


35 posted on 11/07/2012 7:22:32 AM PST by nuconvert ( Khomeini promised change too // Hail, Chairman O)
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To: struggle

The whole election doesn’t make sense.

Outrageously lower turnout for the Obama rallies, foreign owned company running voter machines, the mess the country is in, the polls and Benghazi. Add to that Obama’s off the mike remark to Russian President saying he’d have “more flexibility” after the election.

Carl Rove is a smart guy as is Michael Barone. Carl was confounded, as am I, with the county numbers. Today, drudge claims there were 14 million voters less, (even saying McCain got more Repub votes).

I don’t believe it. I’m beginning to think the Dems pulled off the fraud of the century. Nothing makes sense and I’m beginning to believe this whole thing was rigged from the beginning.


36 posted on 11/07/2012 7:22:42 AM PST by milford421 ("All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." (Edmund Burke))
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To: 6ppc

GOP convention mistreated the Ron Paul delegates and shun the Evangelical Christians. Ron Paul delegates were so pissed some gave Code Pink activists their Convention Pass, that is a lot of anger. McCain had 60 million votes in 2008, Romney had about 59 million. Someone did stayed home.


37 posted on 11/07/2012 7:25:18 AM PST by Fee
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To: MNDude; All

Does anybody have any numbers on the Catholic vote.


38 posted on 11/07/2012 7:25:35 AM PST by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: coloradan

He wants the collapse on his watch. He can’t complete the transformation without it.


39 posted on 11/07/2012 7:28:00 AM PST by Defiant (If there are infinite parallel universes, why Lord, am I living in the one with Obama as President?)
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To: MNDude; SpinnerWebb
I'm not buying it... Obama tallied around 10 million fewer votes than he did in 2008 ... while, at the same time, Mitt managed to underperform McCain.

2012

OBAMA -- 59,651,236
ROMNEY -- 57,028,531

2008

OBAMA -- 69,456,897
MCCAIN -- 59,934,814

Step one is to get rid of Rove, Morris, Rollins and every other "expert consultant" that's been around longer than 10 years and then start over. Their brand of ubiquitous mediocrity has totally outlived its usefulness

The words "trashbin of history" come to mind.

40 posted on 11/07/2012 7:28:30 AM PST by tx_eggman (Liberalism is only possible in that moment when a man chooses Barabas over Christ.)
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