Posted on 10/29/2012 2:29:01 AM PDT by Arthurio
“These are the droids you’re looking for.” :)
THIS is the thread where you post that chart showing Battleground’s past accuracy.
Wow, Politico headlines the Obama favorable, but Weekly Standard goes with the “Extremely Likely” pushing Romney over the top.
I s’pose that numbers are what you want them to mean, no more, no less.
Uh...52-47 puts some blue states in play that no one is talking about not just Ohio and PA.
JoMa
To clear up confusion... Battleground has historically done both a tracking poll as well as a vote projection based on its polls. Here’s a link to their past projections since 1992. Judge for yourself:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/11-4-ballot%2Bballot-prediction-rcp.pdf
Again with the 47 percent!
Again with the 47 percent!
So the toe sucker is right (Dick Morris)
This begins to look better
Ed Goeas is right - this is 2008 but its a “wave” election in reverse.
The GOP should expand its margins in the House and take over the Senate also.
Wow, that’s an interesting chart. :)
So this TWS article is where Brit Hume got the R+5 from! Needless to say I am confused about the Battleground Poll showing O+1, and this TWS article. Can you provide some clarity?
I have to admit the commentary by Ed Goeas is encouraging. As well I liked what Karl Rove had to say on FNS.
Is this the FINAL “vote election model” for 2012 by Battleground? And is is for both Goeas and Lake? The 2008 version shows predictions by each pollster. Lastly, the projections are whole numbers in the weekly Standard article, but carried out to tenths of a percent in the chart.
i assume the link is for “vote projections”...until i read the footnote about their tracking poll being accurate...bear with me: does the table refer to vote projections or tracking poll?
Battleground shows Obama ahead in early voting - but it also shows those likely to vote favor Romney 53-44.
Does that sound like a close election to you? With that margin, it won’t be.
He’s basically ignoring the horse race numbers and examining the internal data. That’s how he comes up with his projections. It is basically a prediction, but his track record speaks for itself.
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