He’s basically ignoring the horse race numbers and examining the internal data. That’s how he comes up with his projections. It is basically a prediction, but his track record speaks for itself.
We’ve examined the internal data on FR for the past month and it does not look good for O. His key numbers are underwater and he’s fading with key demographics. That brings us to the main point.
The MSM keeps calling it a horse race but reality says its going to be a big win for Romney. If Goeas is wrong, he’ll have to eat crow next week.
I’d still trust him over Nate Silver any day.
“but his track record speaks for itself.”
Yes Arthurio, that’s what I was trying to say earlier, but many people were dismissing him on the other thread because of the confusion over the “horse race number”
...I’m sure you agree that Ed Goeas is to be included on the respected list?... and I predict many will refer to that chart in the coming days :)