Interesting. That won’t be gameday turnout.
D+8 = Romney win by 5.
So, if Republican turnout in Ohio is worse than it was in 2008 Obama wins.
Ri-i-ight.
I think ultimately Romney will carry Ohio by 3-4 points.
One of them “keep Nate Silver happy” polls.
So, it sounds like early voters are factored into the overall numbers. The fact that early voters are swung so hard toward Obama gives me a great deal of pause about early voting. Seems to me the early voting could create way too many fraud opportunities.
No way Dems will +8 over the Repubs. Romney is going to win if this survey is in anyway accurate.
72% of the remainder Independents win no contest.
Oh...and now way, gender gap is +14 Dem, more like +5-8 Dem.
Gender gap the other way will about the same.
Does anyone know what the actual party breakdown in Ohio is?
LOL. So a poll that has 8 points MORE Democrats than Republicans show Obamugabe winning by ONE POINT?!
I’m cool with that. Sounds like the Washington Post Virginia poll.
Gravis in Ohio was tied 47 - 47 last week.
Not sure what the partisan breakdown was on that one though.
That all said, I would like to throw in here that Ohio is going to go to Mitt Romney this year. All this caterwauling needs to stop. Time for Mitt to start campaigning in places like Minnesota, Oregon and New Jersey.
That’s right, media.. Keep showing 0bama ahead! Love it, Freepers; This ‘news’ gives the scare the Undecideds need to go out and vote for Romney!
Poll ping.
Yeah! Obama is more popular than in 2008!...Dem +8 to get him to win by 1 point....nice!/s(the /s is for those who could not figure it out)
Great news. Looks like Ohio men and women are moving over To RR
Though I have lived outside the US for many years I am officially from New Jersey
I think that the polls there are somewhat skewed as well. While I don’t think it is a lock as an upset I think it may well be much closer than than the pre-election polls suggest.
If you get away from Newark and Camden NJ is fairly conservative place in some ways. I think that Chris Christie has shown a lot of conservatives there that they can stand up and say “No” to the faux moral high ground that liEberals try to occupy.
If the weather is bad the welfare queens and dopers may stay home but I think the more suburban voters - those not on the coast especially will get out and vote, many of them for Romney
It isn’t just Ohio that is in play.
Though I have lived outside the US for many years I am officially from New Jersey
I think that the polls there are somewhat skewed as well. While I don’t think it is a lock as an upset I think it may well be much closer than than the pre-election polls suggest.
If you get away from Newark and Camden NJ is fairly conservative place in some ways. I think that Chris Christie has shown a lot of conservatives there that they can stand up and say “No” to the faux moral high ground that liEberals try to occupy.
If the weather is bad the welfare queens and dopers may stay home but I think the more suburban voters - those not on the coast especially will get out and vote, many of them for Romney
It isn’t just Ohio that is in play.
These poll results are looking better, but it still doesn’t help that Romney hasn’t led in a single one. We are nine days out. That’s why Ohio still worries me.
The bottom line is, half these polls are going to be wrong on election night. Either Romney wins the popular vote and wins Ohio, or he loses the popular vote and loses Ohio. The possibility of a split is so unlikely.