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Gallup Tracking Poll: R50/O47
Gallup ^ | 10/24 | Gallup

Posted on 10/24/2012 10:04:13 AM PDT by tatown

R50/O47

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; gallup; poll
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To: LS

If Romney doesn’t carry OH we’re holding you personally responsible.


81 posted on 10/24/2012 7:35:33 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: StarFan
to hear Romney today say that the Obama campaign is unravelling

Romney said that?

82 posted on 10/24/2012 7:37:09 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: lasereye
That's what I thought I heard or something similar in a quick soundbite shown on fox. Just found the exact quote:

...But projecting confidence — and reminding voters of the debates — is now a central piece of Mr. Romney’s strategy. He told supporters on Wednesday that the Obama campaign was “slipping and shrinking,” a phrase that his aides say he intends to carry into Ohio.

83 posted on 10/24/2012 8:38:46 PM PDT by StarFan
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To: lasereye
That's what I thought I heard or something similar in a quick soundbite shown on fox. Just found the exact quote:

...But projecting confidence — and reminding voters of the debates — is now a central piece of Mr. Romney’s strategy. He told supporters on Wednesday that the Obama campaign was “slipping and shrinking,” a phrase that his aides say he intends to carry into Ohio.

84 posted on 10/24/2012 8:38:52 PM PDT by StarFan
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To: LS

Great info! Thanks! Can you give us any other anecdotal tidbits? Who is airing more commercials? What’s the mood “on the street”? Who is more energized in your opinion.? Thanks in advance!!


85 posted on 10/24/2012 8:48:03 PM PDT by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (I AM ANDREW BREITBART)
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To: Private_Sector_Does_It_Better

Try not to watch network TV so can’t tell u about ads


86 posted on 10/25/2012 5:33:39 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: lasereye

Get off it. It gets old. I’m giving PUBLIC numbers and invite you to do your own analysis and PLEASE on’t rely on mine. Otherwise I wouldn’t bother to post the source.


87 posted on 10/25/2012 5:50:31 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS
LS, have you seen this article in National Review?

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/331593/why-romney-doesnt-need-poll-lead-ohio-josh-jordan

A relevant quote seems to be at odds with your observations, unless I am misunderstanding... Here is the quote:

Enter Ohio, where the current estimates from compiling early in-person and absentee voting shows early turnout to be about 15 percent of voters. But responses in the current polls claim that 23 percent of registered voters have already voted. That means that polls are overstating early voting by eight percentage points on average. This could be in part because some voters have requested an absentee ballot and report that as voting, some have mailed in ballots that haven’t been counted as received yet, but some voters are also just flat out saying they voted when they haven’t. It’s impossible to know the exact reason, but it’s clear that more are claiming to vote than really have.

In the polls’ early-voting results, Obama leads on average by 20 points.

I thought your indications were that Rs were soaring with early votes/absentees...just wondering, am I not getting this right?

88 posted on 10/25/2012 11:52:50 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper
Rs are up ovet 08 in all but two minor counties that w have data for. The percentages of---READ MY LIPS---ABSENTEE votes shows Ds down across the board by large percentages. In sheer #s, the Ds will win absentees. But ll along it has been the decline in D. Numbers that is important, I.e., their lead going into Nov. 6.

Absentee votes ar not the same as "early" (I.e., in person voting. But those numbers ar hugely down too. Ohio's. 2008 history was that Ds dominated absentee AND early voting. They have to have. Lead by our estimates of 220,000 to have a shot of winning on Election Day. They are over 100,000 short of that. Please. Go to the spreadsheets this elves and make your own judgments.

89 posted on 10/25/2012 1:46:47 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Sorry for spellings. Sent from IPad bouncing around in a taxi


90 posted on 10/25/2012 5:28:49 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Dude, I’m trying to keep things light. Chill out.


91 posted on 10/26/2012 5:50:42 AM PDT by lasereye
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To: lasereye

Sorry, just getting bombarded. If Romney doesn’t win, I’ll be banished from FR for just posting numbers.


92 posted on 10/26/2012 6:10:48 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: GEC

I’m calling it “Providential”...


93 posted on 10/26/2012 6:14:56 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: MarkFLA77

So tomorrow I believe we will know more, because likely Obama will be losing a 48 or 49% polling day from the 17th in tomorrow’s results. We’ll see.

So, how did your theory work?


94 posted on 10/26/2012 9:35:51 AM PDT by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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To: LS

So you are saying that R’s in Ohio can overcome a 120k vote disadvantage?


95 posted on 10/26/2012 10:30:34 AM PDT by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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96 posted on 10/26/2012 10:49:53 AM PDT by TheOldLady
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To: CPT Clay

Yeah. Pretty easy. If it’s 200-220, that’ difficult, and over 220 is D victory.


97 posted on 10/26/2012 12:29:12 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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