http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/331593/why-romney-doesnt-need-poll-lead-ohio-josh-jordan
A relevant quote seems to be at odds with your observations, unless I am misunderstanding... Here is the quote:
Enter Ohio, where the current estimates from compiling early in-person and absentee voting shows early turnout to be about 15 percent of voters. But responses in the current polls claim that 23 percent of registered voters have already voted. That means that polls are overstating early voting by eight percentage points on average. This could be in part because some voters have requested an absentee ballot and report that as voting, some have mailed in ballots that haven’t been counted as received yet, but some voters are also just flat out saying they voted when they haven’t. It’s impossible to know the exact reason, but it’s clear that more are claiming to vote than really have.
In the polls’ early-voting results, Obama leads on average by 20 points.
I thought your indications were that Rs were soaring with early votes/absentees...just wondering, am I not getting this right?
Absentee votes ar not the same as "early" (I.e., in person voting. But those numbers ar hugely down too. Ohio's. 2008 history was that Ds dominated absentee AND early voting. They have to have. Lead by our estimates of 220,000 to have a shot of winning on Election Day. They are over 100,000 short of that. Please. Go to the spreadsheets this elves and make your own judgments.