Posted on 10/24/2012 6:24:57 AM PDT by Hojczyk
Dick Morris predicted on The O’Reilly Factor tonight that Mitt Romney will win by 4-8 points and over 300 electoral votes. Morris also said Romney will likely take Pennsylvania, Ohio and Wisconsin.
If you are thinking landslide, then pull out all the stops to make the landslide as big as possible.
I don’t want these guys to lose. I want them to be beaten. I want them to be crushed. I want them to get a drubbing so bad that it will be years before anybody admits being a Democrat in public.
Let the name of Obama be stricken from every book and tablet, stricken from all pylons and obelisks, stricken from every monument of the land. Let the name of Obama be unheard and unspoken, erased from the memory of men for all time. < /SETHI>
Seems like a fair trade to me.
All for all of that.
If there is a split between electoral and popular, it would probably by the other way, unfortunately. If Ohio goes Obama and we don’t put a strong of other states together to make up for it, the potential is there for an Obama electoral win and Romney popular votes win. The other way seems unlikely. The polls show Romney with a popular vote edge, with questions remaining about electoral votes. If he surges ahead to win the last critical swing states, I see little likelihood of a popular vote loss.
If there is a split between electoral and popular, it would probably by the other way, unfortunately. If Ohio goes Obama and we don’t put a strong of other states together to make up for it, the potential is there for an Obama electoral win and Romney popular votes win. The other way seems unlikely. The polls show Romney with a popular vote edge, with questions remaining about electoral votes. If he surges ahead to win the last critical swing states, I see little likelihood of a popular vote loss.
Dick Morris is a broken clock. This time, however, is one of those times where the broken clock just happens to be correct.
We were told of the battleground states in the south that Obama carried last time, VA, NC, FL. All have moved to solid Romney.
We were told Obama had CO. It is now solid Romney by most accounts.
IA was Obama country. It is now leaning Romney in recent polls.
NH and WI are supposed Democrat strongholds... now within the margin of error.
OH is tied.
Gallop had Romney up by 6 or 7. It was considered an outlier. Now Ras has moved towards the outlier. Less than two weeks to go so there is little Obama can do to stop the rising of this particular ocean.
I like these people that say Romney will get over 300 EV’s. Which states? I cannot realistically believe that Romney will get PA, WI or MI. Maybe but its an outside chance. Best case, I think he will get NV, OH and perhaps IA and NM (I already have him winning NH, CO, NC, FL and VA). This would still put him in the 290’s. Unless something changes, theres just not that many states to choose from. Seems like the Dems get 247 votes just for showing up and they have to fight for the rest wheareas we start with about 160. What are people in these states thinking? I swear when I argue with liberals, I say Obama could shoot someone in cold blood on national TV and you would still defend him. Why do they blindly follow this guy and ignore facts?
Hope I’m wrong but I’m just afraid of a 52-48 Romney win and yet we still lose the election by electoral votes. Any help?
For once, I tend to agree with Morris, as my tracking of the race is showing a similar set of trends to what he is likely seeing.
After what happened in 2010 and the Wisconsin recall I am very confident.
I think his predictions are very realistic...
In California, Obama’s approval is only 50.1 percent, according to Gallup — so I don’t see how this state contributes so mightily to a victory in the popular vote.
R-50
O-46
U-4
Undecideds always split for the challenger, and even more so when the incumbent is under 50%. That 4% undecided is likely to split 3 to 1 for Romney, making the final total:
R-53
O-47
6%—not quite 8, but a lot more than 4.
Dick has access to polling data we are not allowed to see.
LLS
If anyone still wants to post their predictions on the electoral map contest thread (map or predict numbers) ... I suppose we should extend entries until a week before the election. (Previously was night of debate 3)
The important thing is obviously that Obama loses, but nothing wrong with a little competition.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2946924/posts
I think the final margin of victory depends on the early states. If it looks like Romney is taking the early swing states, the undecideds will all go with the likely winner and the win margin will increase.
rasmussen also stated the day before the election... with Sean Hannity and zogby... that martha coakley would win by three... and Brown won by a wide margin.
LLS
How could anyone predict that McCrazy would suspend his campaign and walk around with his thumb in his a$$ for two weeks just before the election?
With an approval rating that low, that spells more trouble for 0. I have suspected for some time that 0 internals do not look very exciting in CA, and approvals of barely 50% in a dark blue state spells big trouble. Lowered d enthusiasm means lower d turnout. The GOP base should be emboldened and enthusiastic. Although the tracking polls won’t show it, the CA vote could be much closer than people predict....and it is possible that the boatload of CA EVs could go to Romney.
Call me crazy - but I’m saying it’s possible. Despite the color on all of the EV maps, CA is not as solid for the Big 0 as everybody thinks.
The polls are weighted with more democrats then republicans in order to show Obama with a lead or tied.
I concur with you.
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