Posted on 10/24/2012 5:18:24 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot
With just two weeks to go until Election Day, the race for Ohio’s 18 Electoral College votes is a tie.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters, taken the night after the final presidential debate, shows both President Obama and Mitt Romney attracting 48% of the vote. Two percent (2%) plan to vote for some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
No new Quinnipiac poll of Ohio that I know of. Do you mean the one that covered the period 10/17 - 10/20?
Yes it shows things are still going in the right direction. So if that trend continues R-R should win.
I agree. I have been dying to see a poll that showed a R+1 (or even) sample and here it is. And yet it is not great for Romney.
Like you stated, a sample like this you would think would show a Romney lead of a few points.
If the CBS/Q poll out today is Obama up 5 with a D+3-4 sample then Obama clearly has the edge in Ohio.
I still say, if Romney maintains his 3-4-5 point lead in Rasmussen and Gallup, then he will win the electoral college fairly easily. Only if the national vote is within 1 point then would the EV come into play.
As I said to a woman in our church who has an Obama bumper sticker, “Where do you buy your gas and groceries?”
The same place she got her Obamaphone...TAMP (Food Stamps).
Even the Washington Post/ABC News is getting on the bandwagon.
And Nate gayboy Silver is down to a mere 68% likelihood of obama winning.
The whells are falling off the wagon!
Yep, the Marxist in Chief and his like-minded politicians have insulated their voting base from the consequences of their policies.
I would love to hang some giant banners from freeway overpasses saying, “Did YOU vote for four more years of Marxism?”
Don't forget a couple of things that were harbingers of what's coming: 2010 and the Wisconsin recall.
Dick Morris can be a nut, but I actually agree with him right now. Romney wins by 4-7 points and gets over 300 EVs
Westsider here. I can say in WPH fewer Obama signs than ‘08 and I haven’t had to replace my Rommey/Ryan sign once like I did my McCain/Palin. I think even the vandals are dejected.
Hmm.. the overpolling of women was +6.
Non of that makes sense. Not one bit.
SE - Rasmussen Daily looking good today (released in 3 minutes). Very good with Indies!!!!
Which makes me think this Ohio poll is an outlier re: Indies.
The last CeeBs/Q poll out in OH was D+9, IIRC.
Rasmussen’s electoral scoreboard yesterday showed that wins in Virginia, New Hampshire, Iowa, Colorado, and Nevada will give Romney a win without Ohio.
Lion, yours is as good a supposition as any to explain the inconsistency in the two polls from Ras. Whatever the truth, we do KNOW beyond doubt that Ras is doing whatever he wants with these numbers and not telling us what it is. Adjusting them - as you point out - in DIFFERING ways for whatever reason.
Good catch.
I am in the demokrat republik of Maryland and I too have noticed a big LACK of yard signs and bumper stickers
A few lonely obama signs sit in the yard of a habitat for humanity house, and a shiny new prius with an obama bumper sticker did force me out of the turn lane in traffic this week
In 08 these people were everywhere
Apparently the numbers coming from Ohio don’t make any sense.
Ohio typically gave to the GOP candidate a slightly better than the national average result.
A GOP candidate claerly leading nationally shouldn’t have any problem carrying Ohio.
Either these numbers aren’t accurate or the car-factor is bigger than expected.
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