Posted on 10/17/2012 10:44:31 AM PDT by TBBT
But Obama is now retreating.
Via The Meatball:
Politico story on obama pulling from NC http://politi.co/R4uygx
I'm not even going to hyperlink that. Politico can go right into my sex binder.
Obama pac cancel in florida we heard about
Better Romney # in CO and VA
And now this from politicalwire: "Obama circling wagons in OH IA NV NH"
Er... I think he's triaging. Because if the last part concedes the aforementioned states...
(Excerpt) Read more at minx.cc ...
Good luck with that. PA coming through for Romney and Smith knocking the blithering idiot Casey pup out of the Senate are *far* more likely than any Republican success in Michgan.
The tide in Michgan right now is anti-R to the degree that a great conservative rep like freshman Dan Benishek stands a good chance of losing the U.P. district to that slimeball McDowell or whatever his name is, and the McCotter fiasco may yet cost us that seat. Plus it seems that Hoekstra has been all but invisible, and isn’t anywhere remotely close in the polls — even reputable polls.
On Hulu Plus I've been forced (mind you, you can't skip ads) to see THE EXACT SAME Tim Kaine for VA Senate ad on everything I've watched on it, for the past month.
Half of me hopes CA remains a lock for him. The only evidence we have here that Obama is even running is the occasional stealth trip to Hollywood and Woodside to rake in contributions.
Can anyone substantiate this Florida claim? The blog doesn’t link to anything to back that up and I can’t seem to find anything on it.
Sorry but you lost me on your discussion of the democrats shoring up California, and the republicans Texas.
I start with the assumption that Romney will win FL, NC and VA. That means he needs to win OH plus any of NH, MI, WI, IA, CO or NV. Alteratively he could lose OH, and win any three of MI, WI, IA and CO, or any four of all of them. And if he wins PA, he only needs any one of the others.
Personally I think there’s a good chance Romney will sweep them all including PA.
I start with the assumption that Romney will win FL, NC and VA. That means he needs to win OH plus any of NH, MI, WI, IA, CO or NV. Alteratively he could lose OH, and win any three of MI, WI, IA and CO, or any four of all of them. And if he wins PA, he only needs any one of the others.
Personally I think there’s a good chance Romney will sweep them all including PA.
If Romney were to win the popular vote, would CA delegates go to Romney?
Romney needs to secure Ohio. If FL and VA are going to Romney, Ohio looks to be the key.
Maine could provide an electoral vote or two as well for Romney.
Getting back to the first point ~ why political campaign managers watch polls ~ if the polls are no good they'd be stupid to do what they usually do when polls change.
The Dems will get Maryland and California no matter what the polls show ~ and that's mostly because the polls are useless. No sense at all Republicans spending a lot of money in either place ~ just be a waste of money.
HIstory is my guide on those two places.
You really want to piss Liberals off? Tell them Romney can win without Ohio, Pennsylvania, or Wisconsin. Even better, it’s 100% true! I believe Romney will potentially win two of those three, but he’ll get enough electorate votes without them! Mitt will win the battleground states of virginia, florida, nc, nevada, colorado, and he’ll at least split NH’s electorate votes since they’re split by congressional district.
IA and OH are not going to Go for Obama... The campaign has been in self denial from day one. Obama won’t ever pull out of OH, no matter how bad it is, since he can’t win without it, but he’s not going to win it.
If PA is polling at a few points, Obama has no chance in hell at OHIO.. Philly EASILY tilts PA 5-8 Points Dem... Ohio doesn’t have that deal with overcoming that dead weight. No way in hell Ohio is going for Obama if PA is polling 2-3 points. Not only will Ohio go Romney, its going to go Romney by a 4-5 point margin MINIMAL.
Maine, by default is either 4-0 or 3-1. It cannot break another way.
And then there's people like me. I go out of my way to answer poll calls, just so I can tell them I'm a Democrat who hates Obama, just to mess with them.
No one even pays attention to Cali and MD.. seriously, you’d have to have such a fundamental shift of the electorate that it just isn’t going to happen.
Just like No one cares about TX.. you know its going to go red by a large margin.
Yes, the path is possible without OH.. it doesn’t exist for Obama without it...
Its a tougher path but its possible.
Obama has NO path but through OHIO
Crazyfornia and maybe...Taxechussets. And of course, D.C.
Following the PEW analysis that’d mean you are at least 20 times more important today than you would have been 30 years ago.
True. I've hung up on several pollsters the past few months. Just no time or interest for inane questions.
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