Getting back to the first point ~ why political campaign managers watch polls ~ if the polls are no good they'd be stupid to do what they usually do when polls change.
The Dems will get Maryland and California no matter what the polls show ~ and that's mostly because the polls are useless. No sense at all Republicans spending a lot of money in either place ~ just be a waste of money.
HIstory is my guide on those two places.
No one even pays attention to Cali and MD.. seriously, you’d have to have such a fundamental shift of the electorate that it just isn’t going to happen.
Just like No one cares about TX.. you know its going to go red by a large margin.