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Gallup: R 49%, 0 47%
Gallup ^

Posted on 10/14/2012 11:07:03 AM PDT by Arthurio

Gallup: R 49%, 0 47%

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; gallup
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No change from yesterday among likely voters, but a 1 point Romney gain among registered voters.

Keep in mind again that this is a 7 day poll. That means that Romney's two biggest post debate polling nights (the Friday and Saturday following the Wednesday debate) have now rolled off Gallup's 7 day average.

1 posted on 10/14/2012 11:07:08 AM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

It also includes weekend polling, which always favors Dems. But, up +2 still. And up +2 in Rasmussen, as well. Steady as she goes Captain. Full speed ahead.


2 posted on 10/14/2012 11:11:56 AM PDT by MrChips (MrChips)
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To: Arthurio

I guess Gallup can’t cover up their false numbers any longer regardless of threats from the White House.


3 posted on 10/14/2012 11:12:39 AM PDT by HarleyD
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To: Arthurio

You see this every presidential election. The polls break in one direction or another in mid October, and they stay broken.


4 posted on 10/14/2012 11:15:28 AM PDT by fhayek
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To: Arthurio

Gee there is that 47 percent number again..I tell ya that Mitt Romney is quite the wiz with numbers


5 posted on 10/14/2012 11:21:26 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Arthurio

The Iowa Electronic Markets are making me nervous. I don’t think they have ever been wrong:

Winner Take All shares are Obama 61% and Romney 36%.

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/Pres12_quotes.html


6 posted on 10/14/2012 11:22:40 AM PDT by PLK
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To: Arthurio

with or without fraud?


7 posted on 10/14/2012 11:31:35 AM PDT by pollywog ("O Thou who changest not, abide with me.".......)
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To: HarleyD

They really tried. They increased minorities to 32% (hint: 2008 was 25% minority votes) and cell phones to 50%. Still didn’t give them what they wanted. Awwww...poor babies.


8 posted on 10/14/2012 11:32:07 AM PDT by UltraV (I use the term Leftist not liberal, because a true liberal would not support government censorship.)
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To: UltraV

That’s all? Given how Obama and the Communists have screwed over any economic recovery ...

http://confoundedinterest.wordpress.com/2012/10/14/the-stagnant-housing-recovery-and-the-slowest-economic-recovery-since-1882/


9 posted on 10/14/2012 11:32:57 AM PDT by whitedog57
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To: PLK

You mentioned Iowa, and then the winner take all shares.

Do the quotes only apply to Iowa, or to the whole shootin’ match?

If it’s the whole shootin’ match, I don’t think that’s very accurate.

Things are way too close to support those kind of lop-sided figures.


10 posted on 10/14/2012 11:34:47 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (We should ignore the absurd peripheral, and focus on the absurd Obama. People died. He lied!)
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To: UltraV

So Romney is up about 6-7 points if the sample is realistic.


11 posted on 10/14/2012 11:39:16 AM PDT by rdl6989 (January 20, 2013 The end of an error.)
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To: HarleyD

I guess Gallup can’t cover up their false numbers any longer regardless of threats from the White House.


The closer we get to election day, the closer to what will actually happen they will get. The actual election results are the standard by which they are measured. A month out, there IS no standard so they can do what they want as long as it isn’t too ridiculous compared to other polling firms.


12 posted on 10/14/2012 11:41:18 AM PDT by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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To: Arthurio

How can Obama possibly come back?

He’s got two more debates, which by tradition allow no outside sources - i.e., teleprompters - so he’ll be lost in space again, twice.

How’s he gonna win back voters??


13 posted on 10/14/2012 11:41:32 AM PDT by canuck_conservative
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To: fhayek

I won’t declare victory until after this next debate though. There is still a chance there might be a big shift after this next debate either way. However, I will say, I highly doubt that will happen.

And ultimately, I don’t see the last debate changing much, so the pattern after this debate will probably continue until the election.


14 posted on 10/14/2012 11:44:11 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: DoughtyOne
These markets trade REAL money and are open to traders world-wide. From website: "The IEM 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Markets are real-money futures markets where contract payoffs will be determined by the popular vote cast in the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election."

Go here if you want to see past performance of the markets: http://tippie.uiowa.edu/iem/media/previous.html

15 posted on 10/14/2012 11:48:45 AM PDT by PLK
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To: canuck_conservative

Romney needs to play his responses in this “debate” to the swing states. There will be nothing new coming out of the Marxist’s mouth. At this point, the Marxist campaign has no more bullets. If they did we would have seen it over the past week. They have watched the polls swing to Romney and essentially had no response.


16 posted on 10/14/2012 11:49:41 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: rwfromkansas

I agree. The third debate will be on foreign policy, expect low ratings for that. It will be of interest only to policy wonks. The swing state soccer moms will sleep right through it.

So the second debate will be the last big chance to change momentum, short of an October surprise.

This will be a tougher format for Romney, because there is less back and forth in townhall. It will allow Obama to get in more sound bite demagogic attacks without sufficient opportunity for rebuttal.


17 posted on 10/14/2012 11:52:07 AM PDT by Arthurio
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To: PLK
One of these charts is Obama's current intrade numbers... The other chart is for Nasdaq 2001. Can you guess which is which?


18 posted on 10/14/2012 11:55:44 AM PDT by Arthurio
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To: PLK

Thanks for the link.

If Obama pulls this off, I’ll be shocked.

I wonder how much campaign money goes into this pool. That can be funneled by individuals too.


19 posted on 10/14/2012 11:59:52 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (We should ignore the absurd peripheral, and focus on the absurd Obama. People died. He lied!)
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To: Arthurio

I know. Obama has fallen on the graph, but there’s still a 26 point difference between Obama and Romney. Am I reading this wrong??


20 posted on 10/14/2012 12:05:03 PM PDT by PLK
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