Romney, Allen Take The Lead In VA

Virginia Virtucon ^ | 10/11/12 | Riley

[ReagansRaiders]

Pollster John McLaughlin (not to be confused with the pundit) conducted a statewide poll of Virginia for George Allen's senate campaign this Mon. and Tue., surveying 600 likely voters.  Unlike media and university polls, McLaughlin works for clients and no candidate wants to hire someone who isn't accurate.  John is an ace pollster who I worked closely with for Steve Forbes in 1996, so I know that if he is going public with these numbers he is extremely confident in their accuracy as his entire reputation depends upon it. With that preface, drumroll please...

Romney 51% - Obama 44% - Goode 1%

Allen 49% - Kaine 46%

Complete crosstabs can be found here.

[GOPJ]

Romney 51% - Obama 44% Virginia? WOW! Any chance people were looking for any reason to get out of voting for Obama and the lying democrats? And Romney gave them that reason?

[Oldeconomybuyer]

There’s something happening here. What it is ain’t exactly clear ...

[Kahuna]

Now is the time for R&R to go for the throat. Libya, Fast & Furious, bogus fraud with the labor stats, racist speeches about Katrina...et al.

[mrsmith]

“19% African-American”

That would be just about the 2008 number of 20% in Va.
Very reasonable, Obama should get about the same.

And in 2008 I had never seen so many at my polling place in my minority district. I think turnout doubled from usual.

We’ve tightened VoetrID a litltle since 2008.

[NFHale]

“...My barber is almost always right....”

Since I’m married to a wonderful woman in the hair-cutting business, let me rephrase what you said, and put it this way to you:

ANYBODY that has the instantaneous capability of giving you a Reverse Mohawk is ALWAYS right (at least until the clippers get put away...)...

[kevkrom]

So, who are these 2% idiots who will apparently vote Romney/Kaine?

[mrs9x]

I live in the City of Richmond on the south side. In 2008, there was a huge line to vote, mostly consisting of minorities and younger voters.

I think I will be able to tell how Virginia will go just by how long the line is and the makeup of the line. If the line is similar to the 2004 election, Romney will probably win the state.

[ArrogantBustard]

"If any of my competitors were drowning, I'd stick a hose in their mouth”
-Ray Kroc

Good advice ...

[Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America]

It's time for a FReeper group prayer for Ryan tonight:

"God please give Paul Ryan the grace, strength, sharpness and quit wit to CONQUER Biden and OVERCOME the moderator's attempts to entrap or ambush him in tonight's debate. Amen."

[GeronL]

lol.

wow.

[kabar]

We don’t register by party in VA.

[Col Frank Slade]

Very interesting .......

[Hugin]

I heard another pollster has pulled out of FL, NC and VA becasue they are no longer even close enough for Obama to have a chance.

[chad_in_georgia]

Good Lord, i’m not sure I can take 25 more days of polls lol. I hope these are correct but goodness, who do we believe??

[LS]

First, significant that the closer we get to the election, the smaller Goode's numbers are. I thought that might happen, that as the possibility of an Obama re-election loomed, people would shift to Romney.

Second, this confirms Suffolk Polling's decision to leave VA.

[BlueStateRightist]

If VA and FL are to be “painted red” then it’s all about OH from here on out, right?

[beandog]

I agree with you. I just heard another poll on my local radio station say that Obama was ahead by 5% in Virginia.

I don’t trust any of these polls.

[LS]

Yes, as reality closes in, the Goode 5% has shrunk.

[xzins]

Yes, I agree that voters would be backing off of Goode. More importantly for me, though, is that they include him in their numbers. He’s on the ballot, so not including him would make me wonder what the real numbers were.

IOW, they handled this honestly, so probably the rest of it, too.

[KC_Conspirator]

I know that. But I wonder if there is exit polling data that might have information going back a few years.