I find Rassmussens D+5 sample very hard to stomach.
I think the poor guy is being blackmailed, or has been bought by a nice high dollar contract with the democratic communists in Chicago.
more people are catching on to the rasmoosen rollercoaster
As I understand it, the D+5 sample is based on a dynamic model that averages self-response to party-identifaction over 21 days . . . thus going WAY back before the first debate. Since that debate, other polls have reported a dramaatic increase in “Republican” in those responses. You drop a few points from the D+5 and you have Romney well ahead, and in line with Pew, Gallup, and IBD.
I find Rassmussens D+5 sample very hard to stomach.
I think the poor guy is being blackmailed, or has been bought by a nice high dollar contract with the democratic communists in Chicago.
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I also think he is trying to sell his monthly service. If one candidate runs away with it, no one would want to sign up. I think all these guys play with the poll numbers until it’s close enough to effect their credibility.
Why do we try so hard to explain away bad news? Ras weights his poll based on how people identify. There is no doubt that identifying with the Dems is generally more popular than with Republicans.
Easily, anyone should be able to see that Dem Leftists and "Undecideds" constitute a majority right?
Well, anyone who SAYS they are undecided after 3.9 years of Obama (whether they really are undecided or not) is an outright psychotic useful idiot.
THAT is what should give you stomach upset.
While "independents" may break more for Romney, "Undecideds" might as well be solid Dem votes.
OTOH, we do our best at FR to divide up the "good and bad" GOP/GOPe.....even though if we jettison the weak half of the party then Issa/Chaffetz etal don't have enough votes for chairing hearings like yesterday.
The Dems love the numbers and will take all the good and bad leftists they can co-opt.
I would suspect Rasmussen is afraid to show the real Romney lead. He does not want the lawsuit from David Axelrod. Romney wins big next month...........flaws and all. To paraphrase another old saying, “dammit he might be be a liberal, but at least he’s our liberal”.
Life as we know it ends for the United States if the America-hating marxist is put back in office. A GOP dominated House and probably Congress can keep Romney in line. No so with the marxist-in-chief.
Let’s say you had a dozen previous elections with an average of what percent voted Republican, Democrat, and other. It represented the history of these things.
Look at it like the baseball card of presidential elections.
Now we have THIS season. And this Season your guy is batting .315 but his baseball card says he is a lifetime .287 hitter. Based on that what kind of hitter would you say he is?
You have a history say of Dem +5 and you have a current voting public identifying as R+3.
What would you do that is most likely to be corrct at the time of the actual election?
I agree. The one thing we KNOW is that Obunga/Holder have made major efforts to get to Gallup and it doesn’t figure logically that they’d go to that much trouble over Gallup and ignore Rasmussen.