Why do we try so hard to explain away bad news? Ras weights his poll based on how people identify. There is no doubt that identifying with the Dems is generally more popular than with Republicans.
Easily, anyone should be able to see that Dem Leftists and "Undecideds" constitute a majority right?
Well, anyone who SAYS they are undecided after 3.9 years of Obama (whether they really are undecided or not) is an outright psychotic useful idiot.
THAT is what should give you stomach upset.
While "independents" may break more for Romney, "Undecideds" might as well be solid Dem votes.
OTOH, we do our best at FR to divide up the "good and bad" GOP/GOPe.....even though if we jettison the weak half of the party then Issa/Chaffetz etal don't have enough votes for chairing hearings like yesterday.
The Dems love the numbers and will take all the good and bad leftists they can co-opt.
Actually if you look at the numbers you might question that view.
Self ID is about R+2.6 according to Raz. The Rasmussen D/R/I is D+5. That's a pretty big difference of 7.6. I think Raz is just being cautious. I expect that the D+5 will drift down to a reality of perhaps D+1 or so in his model over the last weeks of the campaign. If we get a D+1 election, Romney will win in a romp due to his big margin with the Independents.
I'd rather not get there. Let's just work our asses off with taking the polls in context(IOW using them to determine WHERE resources are best applied) to make sure Obama is defeated.