To: o2bfree; Perdogg; P-Marlowe; jazusamo
Let’s say you had a dozen previous elections with an average of what percent voted Republican, Democrat, and other. It represented the history of these things.
Look at it like the baseball card of presidential elections.
Now we have THIS season. And this Season your guy is batting .315 but his baseball card says he is a lifetime .287 hitter. Based on that what kind of hitter would you say he is?
You have a history say of Dem +5 and you have a current voting public identifying as R+3.
What would you do that is most likely to be corrct at the time of the actual election?
28 posted on
10/11/2012 7:40:01 AM PDT by
xzins
(Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
To: xzins
As an engineer, I would go with what is happening now.
29 posted on
10/11/2012 7:42:28 AM PDT by
Perdogg
(Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
To: xzins
I wish FR had an edit button, because I just thought of something. In 2008, we were shocked at the polls because the models were not historically supported and they ended up to be what had occurred in 2006.
31 posted on
10/11/2012 7:44:08 AM PDT by
Perdogg
(Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
To: xzins
Now we have THIS season. And this Season your guy is batting .315 but his baseball card says he is a lifetime .287 hitter. Based on that what kind of hitter would you say he is? If I looked at Obama's numbers, I'd conclude he's using steroids.
55 posted on
10/11/2012 11:54:41 AM PDT by
rfp1234
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