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Now, I have been skeptical about some of the criticisms launched at polling firms but the internals here just look out of whack.

Not surprisingly, if you dig through and find the voters listed 2008 preference (Who did you vote for in 2008?) the results are similar:

Obama 52% McCain 36%

That'd all be fine and dandy except for the fact that Obama won the state 54% to 44% in 2008.

Romney is probably down in NH but that stat alone suggests this poll is a joke. Like Hewitt's interview with the Quinnipiac pollster shows, they never apply the basic standard of any analytic work: Ask yourself, "Does this make sense?" when all your number crunching is over. Assuming considerably less Republicans will show up is probably not a safe assumption. Interestingly, the party ID numbers in the internals weren't as screwed up, raising questions about how they screened their sizable 'independent' group.

I'm not projecting victory but it'll be 2004 all over again if Mitt pulls this out. I can hear the media now: "What?! How were our polls wrong?!?!??! We know the American people all too well!!!"

1 posted on 10/01/2012 5:59:47 PM PDT by Joe27
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To: Joe27

What was the exact double-digit number UNH’s polling for the Boston Globe had had Scott Brown losing to Coakley by?

(Actually I think NH could be tough for Romney.)


2 posted on 10/01/2012 6:02:17 PM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: Joe27

Uh, yeah—no.


3 posted on 10/01/2012 6:02:39 PM PDT by OCCASparky (Steely-eyed killer of the deep.)
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To: Joe27

I’m in southwestern NH.

I’m seeing twice as many 0bamao signs as Romney signs.

Not scientific, I know.

Just sayin’.


4 posted on 10/01/2012 6:04:21 PM PDT by Westbrook (Children do not divide your love, they multiply it.)
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To: Joe27

We need 1 of 3 states Romney reside in. Mich and Mass is out so NH needs to step up


5 posted on 10/01/2012 6:05:55 PM PDT by personalaccts (Is George W going to protect the border?)
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To: Joe27

Doesn’t Romney have a house in New Hampshire? I thought it was supposed to be his for the taking.


8 posted on 10/01/2012 6:07:10 PM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: Joe27

Sure, when you poll nothing but Democrats. All twenty of them.


9 posted on 10/01/2012 6:08:07 PM PDT by SkyDancer ("OF COURSE I TALK TO MYSELF - Sometimes I need an expert opinion")
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To: Joe27

I saw a poll that gives Obama a 16% enthusiasm advantage in North Carolina.

That is just ridiculous


10 posted on 10/01/2012 6:08:12 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: Joe27

Oh I guess some folks in NH want more dead ambassadors, more dead mexican teenagers, death panels andvising their moms on their end of life options.

Do it up, NH, re-eleect Barack Hussein Hitler, you bunch of dopes.


12 posted on 10/01/2012 6:08:58 PM PDT by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: Joe27

Depression, despair, division, destruction, degradation, and stagnation.. The new normal!


13 posted on 10/01/2012 6:10:10 PM PDT by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
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To: Joe27
The communist Hussein is leading by 15% in New Hampshire?

HAH!!!!

I'm bookmarking this thread right now for the day after the election.

14 posted on 10/01/2012 6:10:29 PM PDT by LiveFree99
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To: Joe27

Why do they even bother polling any Republicans. They arent looking for the truth so go all the way.


17 posted on 10/01/2012 6:12:02 PM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: Joe27

Isn’t NH the “Live Free or Die” state???

What happened to them?


18 posted on 10/01/2012 6:12:02 PM PDT by Right_in_Virginia
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To: Joe27

That “Live Free or Die” thing was so old-school anyway. This is New America! We get lots and lots of free stuff now! Money for college! “Free” health care! Breakfast, lunch and dinner at school for the kids! Obamaphones! Government money for the mortgage! Food stamps! Welfare money! Unemployment checks for 99 weeks!

Who needs freedom when we get all these cool government freebies? Grab your hammock, boys and girls! Life is GOOOOOOOOD!!!!


19 posted on 10/01/2012 6:12:08 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: Joe27

Live For Free or Die?

And we let this state choose our candidate???


21 posted on 10/01/2012 6:12:44 PM PDT by Theophilus (Not merely prolife, but prolific)
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To: Joe27

They must love them high gas prices in New Hampshire.


24 posted on 10/01/2012 6:14:19 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: Joe27
New state motto.

Live Free, or pay for what ever the Govt tells you to!

26 posted on 10/01/2012 6:17:35 PM PDT by rawcatslyentist ("Behold, I am against you, O arrogant one," Jeremiah 50:31)
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To: Joe27

This sounds funny to me.NH was the state that,in 2010,flipped both their House seats from Maoist Rats to Republicans *and* sent a Republican to the Senate.I don’t live in NH so I’m no expert but my statement about 2010 is accurate.Also,the New Hampshire legislature just overrode the Rat governor’s veto and enacted a voter ID law.And lastly my understanding is that the Republican candidate for governor is leading the Rat.


29 posted on 10/01/2012 6:21:12 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive!)
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To: Joe27

It looks like they are polling mostly government or union voters. Notice I did not say “workers”. These people have killed the golden goose. The private sector is close to dead. Where will the government get the money to pay all the pensions and salaries?


32 posted on 10/01/2012 6:22:12 PM PDT by Flavious_Maximus
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To: Joe27

Why are there so many posters here trying to fake like Obama’s ahead in New Hampshire?


33 posted on 10/01/2012 6:22:59 PM PDT by reasonisfaith
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To: Joe27

People, please relax and stop dumping on New Hampshire. This silly poll is nowhere close to being accurate.


34 posted on 10/01/2012 6:23:43 PM PDT by LiveFree99
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