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Update: OH Absentees (Three more counties added, and, yes, looking good)
Jay Cost's Spreadsheet of OH Absentee/Early Voting ^ | 9/28/2012 | LS (courtesy of Jay Cost)

Posted on 09/28/2012 2:20:21 PM PDT by LS

In addition to the numbers posted this morning, a few later additions: Cuyahoga (heavily Dem Cleveland) county is STILL underperforming, coming in at 6% under 2008 levels.

Hamilton (Cincinnati) is just under 2:1 Rs, a net gain of just under 7 points for the Republicans over 08.

Franklin (Columbus) which went for Obama by 21(!) shows a very small but steadily increasing R lead in total votes (+5893) for a significant swing (+9 over 08 absentees, +26 overall for Rs).

Summit: important county near Cleveland, 1/4m voters, went for Obama by almost 18 points: Rs only 1300 back in total votes, or 5% difference (in 08 they lost by almost three to one).

Hardin: GOP had a 1400-1100 lead in 08. It's already three to one Rs, and about one third of total GOP ballots are in. Dems down in total requests by 2500 (!)

Logan: no 2008 data (McCain won by 26.5) Rs up four to one.

Pickaway: Rs up almost two to one---lost by 1000 absentee votes in 08 but went overall for McCain by 21.5.

Washington: Rs up two to one, absentees in 08 were three to two (McCain won by 15.5).


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: obama; oh; romney
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1 posted on 09/28/2012 2:20:27 PM PDT by LS
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; Evil Slayer; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; ...

Poll Ping.


2 posted on 09/28/2012 2:21:17 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: LS

Awesome :D


3 posted on 09/28/2012 2:27:57 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: LS
Wait a minute...I'm supposed to be throwing in the towel according to the MSM...

S /

4 posted on 09/28/2012 2:28:44 PM PDT by Popman (In a place you only dream of Where your soul is always free)
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To: LS

All Right!!!


5 posted on 09/28/2012 2:31:41 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: LS

I stumbled upon a site talking about early voting. Someone had posted some of the same numbers and the response was snappy, like “don’t talk about these early numbers” and “wait until Obama voters pull it out”.

Some people are getting a tad nervous out there. ;)


6 posted on 09/28/2012 2:32:45 PM PDT by plushaye (Election 2012 Prayer Force)
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To: LS

But But how can this be..the media who never lies and is ALWAYS honest has been saying that Romney lost Ohio/sarc
The more the media makes up these fake BS polls the more people will see right through their lies and go to the polls..the ONLY reason why the media is reporting these lies is because of what your seeing right here, the Dem enthusiasm is down the toilet


7 posted on 09/28/2012 2:34:02 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: LS

We’re assuming we’re getting the truth....I think there’s a plan....for a last minute run by Dems to the polling place. In other words, we’re getting set up. Kinda like Timmy and his marker & board....


8 posted on 09/28/2012 2:34:23 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: LS

Is there a comparable guy like you in VA and FL? Great stuff!


9 posted on 09/28/2012 2:37:02 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: LS

Either the polls, including Ras, are way off, or there are a lot of Republicans voting for Obama and telling pollsters they are voting for Obama. What was Ras’ last set of numbers for Ohio?

Which seems more likely?


10 posted on 09/28/2012 2:37:26 PM PDT by Mr. Silverback (Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
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To: Mr. Silverback

Polls are off. Less than 10 percent of voters are answering them anyways. Go by ballots, registration, and where canidates are running ads. Look at their schedules.

Romneys in PA for a reason.


11 posted on 09/28/2012 2:42:47 PM PDT by barmag25
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; Evil Slayer; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; ...

I’m working with Jet Jaguar on the ping list. If you asked to be on, but aren’t here yet, he’s on Alaska time and will get to you. Please be patient.


12 posted on 09/28/2012 2:45:53 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

When you look back on the past 10 months a lot of this makes sense now. For the life of me I couldn’t understand why Obama has refused to tact to the center ala Clinton. He has known for a long time that his base is depressed and thus he had only one option. That option was to do everything possible to motivate the 47%. ie: amnesty, gay marriage, no to pipeline, tax the rich ect.


13 posted on 09/28/2012 2:46:11 PM PDT by Kahuna
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To: Mr. Silverback

http://www.people-press.org/2012/05/15/assessing-the-representativeness-of-public-opinion-surveys/

Only 9% answering poll questions in 2012, according to PEW


14 posted on 09/28/2012 2:46:50 PM PDT by barmag25
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To: LS
If anyone think that 2012 is going to a repeat of 2008 in Democrat turnout they are delusional and that is what most of these phony polls are based on.
15 posted on 09/28/2012 2:47:45 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Sacajaweau

Problem with that theory is you can see the tally of the total requested ballots. They ain’t there for the Dems. No, there’s no conspiracy. There is a complete UNREPORTED major shift going on that the drive-bys absolutely do not want to touch, because their entire narrative falls apart.

And if-—big if-—these percentages in OH hold up, PA will be Republican, and probably MI too.


16 posted on 09/28/2012 2:48:23 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Sacajaweau
The only ones running to the polls are the Republicans.

It is usually the Democrats that vote early, the Republicans wait until election day.

If you see early voting close, expect a blowout by the GOP.

17 posted on 09/28/2012 2:49:39 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: plushaye

We know that they’re nervous because there have been three stories already about early/absentee voting and “not to worry” and “Dems will come on in the end,” yadayada.


18 posted on 09/28/2012 2:50:11 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

hope it doesnt let demos know how much more they need to cheat


19 posted on 09/28/2012 2:50:21 PM PDT by dalebert
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To: Mr. Silverback

Yes, Ras is off too. His baseline of about 2.5% to 4% Ds over Rs is incorrect, but less incorrect than the rest of them.


20 posted on 09/28/2012 2:52:11 PM PDT by Red Steel
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