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Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll: Obama 47 Romney 46 (W Leaners Tied 48-48)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 09/28/2012 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 09/28/2012 6:50:03 AM PDT by nhwingut

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows President Obama attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 46%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.

Romney is supported by 86% of Republicans, while Obama gets the vote from 85% of Democrats. The GOP hopeful has a four-point edge among voters not affiliated with either major party.

When “leaners” are included, the race is tied at 48% apiece. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question. Beginning this Monday, October 1, Rasmussen Reports will be basing its daily updates solely upon the results including leaners.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; polls
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To: RoseofTexas
During the halftime break between Washington vs Stanford football game last night, I saw an O ad accusing Romney of outsourcing jobs to China when he was the CEO at Bain. Powerful ad, and where was Romney counter attack on this ad... CRICKETS...A successful team tries to follow up on ads like those immediately the following commercial break. UNFORTUNATELY this game was seen by millions and the ad was indeed effective. BTW, my hubby is a football fanatic and see as much football games as possible and it seems that O has cornered that market very successful...that’s all I see is O ads during station breaks and NO ROMNEY ads...zip...nada..NOTHING!! Where is the fire in the belly from team R?? :(

Same here. I see lots of Obama ads and none from R/R, even though they supposedly have more money. I've donated several times to Romney; but no more. He does not appear to use the money I send him.

41 posted on 09/28/2012 8:09:44 AM PDT by Sans-Culotte ( Pray for Obama- Psalm 109:8)
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To: nhwingut
Photobucket
42 posted on 09/28/2012 8:13:54 AM PDT by profit_guy
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To: Road Glide
Historically, undecideds break about 2-to-1 against the incumbent, so of the 3%, Obama gets 1% and Romney 2%. That would bump up Obama to 48%, and give Romney 48%.

Thats on the low side too, from what I remember, its like 80%, or 4 to 1 that break for the incumbent. But let me check...

43 posted on 09/28/2012 8:17:08 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Sans-Culotte

There is ample time. I feel much better today than I did on Monday. The polls are behind the reality of the situation — the continued MSM attempts to manufacture Romney “gaffes” are failing.

In fact, Romney is looking more and more resilient in the face of immense hostility. And his ad campaign has barely begun.


44 posted on 09/28/2012 8:23:44 AM PDT by mwl8787
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To: mwl8787

Look at the #s for seniors, all of whom vote in disproportionate numbers, with Romney leading by 20 points.

In fact, Romney is leading in every age bracket 40 years old and higher.

No wonder Obama is now attempting to get young people to sway their parents and grandparents. Won’t work.


45 posted on 09/28/2012 8:26:40 AM PDT by mwl8787
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To: nhwingut

That it’s even this close is depressing. Of course I said the same thing in 2000 and 2004.


46 posted on 09/28/2012 8:30:03 AM PDT by opus86
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To: Road Glide

I am correct

http://www.pollingreport.com/incumbent.htm


47 posted on 09/28/2012 8:31:17 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Perdogg

Did you just call him a Jock Strap?


48 posted on 09/28/2012 8:39:37 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: KC_Conspirator

The “high interest” voters are also grouped in the 40+ brackets where Romney dominates. It’s a lot of good news.


49 posted on 09/28/2012 8:42:25 AM PDT by azcap (Who is John Galt ? www.conservativeshirts.com)
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To: nhwingut

Rasmussen must be using a bias toward democrats or he is polling very few independents then because Romney gets 1% more of party vote and +4 on independents.


50 posted on 09/28/2012 8:45:55 AM PDT by jwalsh07 (.)
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To: o2bfree
Today’s media doesnt’ report those facts at all. And people have no idea of what Obama’s presidency is doing to the nation.

If I have seen one red flag from the Romney campaign team, it was during the convention when one consultant on the team mentioned that they didn't need to tell people what Obama did because they already know. That is a paraphrase, but it scared the pants off me. You hit it on the head. The media and Obama are focused on tying anything bad to the past, and the average voter does NOT know all the facts about his record. If they don't tie his policies to the current situation, they probably can't win.

51 posted on 09/28/2012 8:53:17 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: RightLady

At the very least we need all conservatives to vote a new pukehead into office! Give a new one a shot!


52 posted on 09/28/2012 9:13:09 AM PDT by Michigander222
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To: nhwingut

Its because the mainstream media is not reporting anything negative about Obama. Only negatives about Romney.


53 posted on 09/28/2012 9:14:06 AM PDT by piper01
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To: ilgipper

2008 Obama bots are aweful quiet? Guess its a pride thing. Hope they quietely vote Romney Nov 6th!


54 posted on 09/28/2012 9:14:28 AM PDT by Michigander222
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To: nhwingut
The fact that it is a tie means that the incumbent is going to lose. Big time.
55 posted on 09/28/2012 9:39:42 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Government is the religion of the sociopath.)
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To: dinoparty

Yeah——Rush is really bucking us up,too And it isn’t even April Fools Day. I hope to heck this is all with tongue in cheek. I am getting horrible stomach pains.


56 posted on 09/28/2012 10:21:56 AM PDT by RightLady (Take out the trash Nov 6th)
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To: profit_guy
Thank you very much for publishing this Rasmussen detailed poll for September 28 2012.

This is a disaster for Obama once you look at some of the internals. The most devastating one is Obama support among Whites at 36%... Right there the elections is over for him if this number holds on elections day. He cannot win the elections with only 36% Whites support. In fact anything less than 39% Whites support and he is going to lose the elections... Also 18% of White democrats voting for Romney is a further proof of the impending disaster for Obama... I have made an elections Prediction model based on RACE and VOTER INTENSITY and if I assume that 3% of Obama 2008 voters stay home in 2012 (democrats less energized) then all what it takes is for 9% of Obama "White Voters" from 2008 to vote for Romney and it is certain that Romney would win the elections... If 18% of democrats are voting for Romney in 2012 and suppose that half of them voted for Obama in 2008 then this means that Obama is huge trouble and going to lose if these numbers hold on November 6 2012.

Moreover based on these numbers for Romney and Obama support I calculated that Rasmussen is using D +5 in his sample...

57 posted on 09/28/2012 12:43:18 PM PDT by Conservative12345
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To: jwalsh07
I looked at this excellent table posted by profit_guy in post # 42. I did the calculation and for Romney to be at 46%, Obama 47%, with Romney + 4 among independents, then it is D +5 sample, 37% democrats, 31% Republicans, and 32% independents...

Please see my post # 57 for more details and how some of the internals in Rasmussen poll today indicate a disaster for Obama...

58 posted on 09/28/2012 4:15:03 PM PDT by Conservative12345
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