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Skewed Polls Unskewed
unskewedpolls.com ^
| 09-25-2012
| Staff
Posted on 09/25/2012 7:38:25 AM PDT by Red Badger
Here's the place you can go to get the real polling numbers the MSM won't allow...........
TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls
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To: GilGil
Obama is a slippery Socialist!
21
posted on
09/25/2012 9:31:31 AM PDT
by
lonestar
(It takes a village of idiots to elect a village idiot.)
To: Red Badger
We may have overloaded their 56k modem.......... Baud rate, 2.
22
posted on
09/25/2012 9:42:10 AM PDT
by
Focault's Pendulum
(Obama A man without an American mission.)
To: The_Reader_David
Reweighting polls with skewed samples (that provide enough internals to allow this) can lead to a more accurate result. However, Im not certain that unskewedpolls.coms use of Rasmussens August 2012 party affiliation data as weights isnt too extreme a correction, leading to too rosy a picture of GOP prospects this fall.
I agree. It's a little suspicious when Rasmussen part-ID weighting when applied to these other polls gives Rasmussen a significantly larger advantage than Rasmussen's own poll, which recently has had had Romney down a point or two.
It would seem that these "unskewed" polls are doing a bit of over-correction.
To: AaronInCarolina
The above should read:
“gives Romney a significantly larger advantage than Rasmussen’s own poll, “
To: Doctor 2Brains
The problem is party ID doesn’t translate directly into turn-out. O will still get a boost from black racism turning more D’s out to vote for him and the purist faction of the conservative movement may sit on their hands depressing the GOP vote. I’m inclined to expect something like the average of the 2008 and 2010 turnout figures, rather than the August party ID figures.
25
posted on
09/25/2012 4:19:53 PM PDT
by
The_Reader_David
(And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know...)
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