Posted on 08/26/2012 11:56:51 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather
On August 24th, we warned on Forbes that Tropical Storm Isaac could pose a threat to energy markets and even rival Hurricane Katrina in its destructive power (Could Tropical Storm Isaac Turn Into Another Katrina?). While the computer models are still showing a substantial spread in solutions, it appears more likely that Isaac will make landfall somewhere near the Louisiana, Mississippi Gulf Coast. This track will provide the storm more time to intensify over the very warm water of the Gulf of Mexico.
The entire Gulf Coast from Lake Charles, LA to Panama City, FL should be aware of the latest forecast model guidance. The reason for this large spread is because the computer models are split between whether a trough will capture Isaac or not. As of 8AM Sunday morning, it appears Isaac will not be captured and as a result, a more westward track is most likely.
(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...
I think the thing that made Katrina so bad was that timeframe that it increased to cat 5 in the gulf. That intensity is what got the storm surge going to such incredible levels, which is what did most of the damage.
Irrespecctived, get read for Øbøzø's Katrina
Obama is steering this hurricane with his hurricane-weather machine (HAARP). Bush no longer is at the controls.
Ike was Cat 4 when it hit Cuba, and was a high Cat 2, nearly a Cat 3, when it hit the U.S. And, as you note, it was HUGE! The surge was more typical of a Cat 4 storm, and much of the damage was from the surge.
It remains to be seen whether Isaac will be that strong at U.S. landfall, but we know Ike was stronger in the early track.
I do not subscribe to his blog but he is on Twitter and Facebook.
HEY, Looterman! Long time, no see. I guess he’s off to Tampa, bringing some brews for the pubbies!
Agreed, but the GFS model has Isaac as a Cat 2/3 landing in SE LA and stalling out, barely moving for 2 days. It wouldn’t be as strong, but it would be sustained for a much longer time than Katrina, which moved through relatively quickly. That could rival the surge factor. Kind of like broiling a piece of meat for 10 minutes (Katrina)vs slow cooking it with a smoker over a 6 hour period. I’m not forecasting it, but if I lived in SE LA, I’d be boarding up today and planning on getting out of dodge tomorrow if the models don’t shift away from the area tonight.
Does anybody know - are the Mississippi River and Lake Ponchartrain at lower levels this year, due to drought?
That could help a little.
Has obama prepositioned assets near the Florida coast? the Alabama coast? the Mississippi coast? the Louisiana coast? the Texas coast? If he has I have not heard about being reported on the various news programs. How is Obabas Haiti doing...that was Obamas claim to success.
Katrina? Dis like Katrina? Again....It be jorge buhes fault.
IIRC, Camille in 1969 was bigger than Katrina.
The Mississippi is very low, hundreds of barges are stranded in Louisiana with not enough depth to return up north.
Excellent point. Yep..I would not want to be in those parts with that much rain sitting for days...that is for sure.
wasn’t Ike the one they were telling residents that didn’t evacuate to use a sharpie to write their name or something on their arms?
It was failure of the canal walls that did in New Orleans...not Katrina...it did do a job on Mississippi
Joe has a twitter account I have been watching all day.
Just today they started sending stuff to Florida and now it looks like it will spare Florida for the most part. Mark my word...Obama will be an epic failure at any disaster that hits Ms. or La. ....just like he was during the oil spill. Of course the media will ignore it and Jindal will do an awesome job, which the media will then try to credit Obama with Jindal’s competency ...lol.
It won't take a Cat-5 to drive the RNC convention off the front pages.
A Cat-up-a-tree would suffice.
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