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GARY SHILLING: Only One Thing Will Revive This Economy
TBI ^ | 8-15-2012 | Sam Ro

Posted on 08/15/2012 6:50:13 AM PDT by blam

GARY SHILLING: Only One Thing Will Revive This Economy

Sam Ro
Aug. 15, 2012, 7:53 AM

We recently reached out to our favorite economists and asked them: "What one thing would ignite this economy?"

But bearish economist Gary Shilling wasn't about to stray from his long-term thesis.

"The only thing that's likely to revive the US economy is time, the 5 to 7 years of it needed for deleveraging to be completed, especially in the global financial sector and among US households," he told us.

"Meanwhile, slow real growth of about 2% per year and more frequent recessions are to be expected. Ongoing economic weakness, despite massive monetary and fiscal stimuli, measures the huge power of private sector deleveraging."

We also asked Shilling if he could use his imagination a bit and come up with pie-in-the-sky, silver bullet type of fix for the economy that policy makers could employ.

He wasn't falling for that.

"There are no silver monetary or fiscal bullets to fix the economy, as witnessed by the tremendous efforts so far that have failed to restore meaningful growth," he said. "They are overwhelmed by deleveraging in the private sector."

So there you have it. See you in 5 to 7 years.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; recession; recovcery; shilling

1 posted on 08/15/2012 6:50:18 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam

the U.S. in hundreds of $Trillions underwater...

And we are going to pay it off in 5-7 years? BWAHAHAHAHAHAHA

No.

It will just be a new con game that starts in 5-7 years...


2 posted on 08/15/2012 7:02:49 AM PDT by Freddd (No PA Engineers)
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To: blam

the U.S. is hundreds of $Trillions underwater...

And we are going to pay it off in 5-7 years? BWAHAHAHAHAHAHA

No.

It will just be a new con game that starts in 5-7 years...


3 posted on 08/15/2012 7:03:12 AM PDT by Freddd (No PA Engineers)
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To: blam

5 to 7 more years? Add the 4 years we've already gone thru
and thats longer than the great depression. *yikes*

4 posted on 08/15/2012 7:03:37 AM PDT by Liberty Valance (Keep a simple manner for a happy life :o)
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To: Freddd

Gary Shandling? I really liked his show!


5 posted on 08/15/2012 7:04:33 AM PDT by Larry Lucido (ABO/Ryan 2012)
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To: blam
"There are no silver monetary or fiscal bullets to fix the economy, as witnessed by the tremendous efforts so far that have failed to restore meaningful growth," he said. "They are overwhelmed by deleveraging in the private sector."

Somehow he missed the idea that reversing the massive regulatory load that has been laid on American business by the Obama Administration might just do the trick in less than his 5 to 7 years.

I would start with the energy sector. You may not be able to repeat the North Dakota Miracle in every state but that should be the goal. Put Sarah Palin in charge of the EPA and watch the magic happen.

6 posted on 08/15/2012 7:04:50 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (.)
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To: blam
This fool is a FDR Economist.

I am not an economist but know if we would tap our energy resources that would restart our economy ( see North Dakota).

Every penny at the pump is 1.2 Billion in hidden tax

Repactoric the money Corporations have overseas.

Obama screams about Stimulus yet we have almost 2 Trillion being held out of the US Economy.

You don't think people don't want to put the money to work?

7 posted on 08/15/2012 7:05:42 AM PDT by scooby321 (AMS)
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To: blam

Ignite the economy? Look back to the Reagan years. Confidence in a pro-business government that won’t get in the way will revive the economy.


8 posted on 08/15/2012 7:17:33 AM PDT by jeffc (The U.S. media are our enemy)
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To: blam
As Chinese Appliance Production Declines, Stockpiles Of Copper Hit A Record Level
9 posted on 08/15/2012 7:19:29 AM PDT by blam
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To: Liberty Valance

5 to 7 more years? Add the 4 years we’ve already gone thru
and thats longer than the great depression. *yikes*


that is because it is worse. There is no human solution to this, though they will try. And everything they try makes it worse. Their final fix will be to monetize it, which is almost like defaulting. This will become apparent when hyperinflation kicks in, with the same result as defaulting: War. A big one.


10 posted on 08/15/2012 7:28:52 AM PDT by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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To: InterceptPoint

Somehow he missed the idea that reversing the massive regulatory load that has been laid on American business by the Obama Administration might just do the trick in less than his 5 to 7 years.


Nope. It’s bigger than that.

This clarifies and is funny. It takes the actual national numbers and removes the same number of zeroes from all of them to put it in numbers and a perspective you can wrap your head around.


11 posted on 08/15/2012 7:31:21 AM PDT by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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To: InterceptPoint

Somehow he missed the idea that reversing the massive regulatory load that has been laid on American business by the Obama Administration might just do the trick in less than his 5 to 7 years.


Oops. Here is the link I was referring to:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Li0no7O9zmE


12 posted on 08/15/2012 7:34:33 AM PDT by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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To: scooby321

“Repactoric the money Corporations have overseas.”

Capital flows to highest returns, net of taxes and burdensome regulations.

It is staying overseas for a reason. As soon as a government tries it force it back,companies will redomicile to other countries - out of reach... And rightly so.


13 posted on 08/15/2012 8:16:48 AM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion ("I'm comfortable with a Romney win." - Pres. Jimmy Carter)
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14 posted on 08/15/2012 8:33:58 AM PDT by RedMDer (https://support.woundedwarriorproject.org/default.aspx?tsid=93destr)
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To: scooby321
"Every penny at the pump is 1.2 Billion in hidden tax"

And the balance is remitted to people that want to kill us.

The Kenyan must go.

15 posted on 08/15/2012 3:37:29 PM PDT by ex91B10 (We've tried the Soap Box,the Ballot Box and the Jury Box; ONE BOX LEFT!)
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