thats the fecal fly’s job
Posted on 07/30/2012 2:41:30 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
President Obama has an overall edge in the 12 decisive battleground states that is measurably greater than his advantage in national polling.
The dynamic, which may reflect a combination of lower swing-state unemployment rates and demographic advantages for the president, is causing stirrings of unease among Republicans, even as they emphasize that it is important not to read too much into the state of the race right now.
“Obama is concentrating his considerable early resources and messaging in the swing states, and it’s had an impact,” said Mark McKinnon, who served as a media adviser for President George W. Bush’s presidential campaigns.
But McKinnon added that Republican candidate Mitt Romney was “raising and saving his money to ensure he won’t be out-punched in the final rounds.” The crucial battleground states number about a dozen: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
Taking the polling averages used by Nate Silver in the New York Times, the president is ahead in 10 of the 12 vital states. If those polls were borne out on Election Day, Obama would coast to victory with 332 electoral college votes. Only 270 votes are needed to win the presidency.
Awarding Obama only the states in which he now leads by 3 percentage points or more in the polling averages still sees him safely home.
By that measure, as of last Friday, he would win 8 of the 12 battlegrounds, for a total of 290 electoral votes.
Romney victories in Florida, Missouri, North Carolina and Virginia leaves the Republican marooned on 248 electoral votes.
Strategists including Karl Rove have, in recent months, noted that Romney’s path to victory is challenging one in terms of the electoral map.
Now, Democrats are citing the same argument to justify guarded confidence.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
what a load of Barbra Streisand
“You can bet the ranch that the Democrats know the details of all the voting potential down to the precinct level. Its the Chicago way, the Daley way, the Alinsky way and for certain the Obama way. Again remember, its not who votes but who counts the votes that matters.”
Yep.
Just like they did in Wisconsin....Oh wait.
Even in this bad economy, the “pain” felt by it is far less than previous years, because the handouts from the government have smashed records. People are getting used to those handouts and will resist attempts to roll them back.
That`s the huge disadvantage for Romney... he can`t control the narrative... 0bama can.
thats the fecal fly’s job
I do
Over half of the voting public are drooling imbeciles who the Founders never intended to enfranchise.
The Founders didn't put a right to vote in the Constitution for a reason.
A couple of amendments later, and presto, we are now enslaved by the Federal apparatus in DC.
Washingtonians put on a circus every election cycle fighting over which bunch of degenerate con men, thieves, and liars get to control and redistribute the money extorted from the productive class by the IRS.
By late November it will all be over. Election day is November 6th.
5 trillion buys a Lot of Votes,I am Afraid they are right
FWIW, I don't think Obama believes these numbers either. Look at the way he's campaigning... does he act like a candidate who's confident that he's going to win?
80% of Americans still have jobs. Of the 20% who are unemployed, most of them are grateful to Obama for giving them all extended Unemployment, welfare, food stamps, free health care and promises of a continued gravy train of "free" benefits paid by the 80% who are working and the future earnings of our children and grandchildren.
The fact of the matter is that for most of the underemployed and unemployed, things have not really been that disasterous, not like it was in the 1930's. Obama's Trillion Dollar Deficits will buy him a lot of votes from people who appreciate getting something for nothing.
Never underestimate the ignorance of the average American Idol fan.
see post 47
I fail... try post 19..
I think I’ll just lurk the rest of the night.
This crap by the msm is all a part of the mis-information campaign deliberately designed to demoralize conservatives and Republicans in general. Ignore the polls and continue the fight against zero, the greatest manifestation of pure evil we have ever seen in a US president.
http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=pwL
This is the way the polls are leaning right - with Romney about 3% ahead of McCain’s yield in most states. We needed a candidate who could gain 5% and blew the chance to do so.
Haven’t you heard? The unemployment rate is 8.2%...../sarc
Good points. But you and I know that this gravy train is running on fumes. Sooner or later our credit card will be pulled.
Eeeewww!
“Don’t buy into this crap. They are, in most cases, using polls that sample registered voters; not likely voters.”
I don’t know. On the one hand, Dem enthusiasm is way down, and ours is definitely UP. This is worth a lot. It’s very heartening to see the YouTube replays of 1980 election night, where the anchors were in tears wondering how this could happen, given that “the polls were running neck-and-neck that morning”.
I think fraud will be down, because the scrutiny, or at least the perception of scrutiny, is up. I would hate to be a Dem fraudster and then have a Republican President, House, and Senate. The next Attorney General might not be as...uhhh... “easygoing” as this one was. Those penalties are pretty harsh on paper.
I will say that people who don’t like Romney and plan on staying home have no business complaining about Obama after the election if he wins.
I’m sorry! I failed to see that. Go ahead and keep posting; I’ll lurk!
On every likey voter poll Romney has been up by as much as 5 points nation-wide. If I were Obama I would be more worried than Mitt at this point.
As for the rest of you -- first of all, none of you even questioned the inclusion of Pennsylvania as a swing state?
A state that hasn't gone GOP since 1988 -- 24 years without crossing over -- and it's a swing state because some douchebag from The Hill says so. Right.
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