Posted on 07/17/2012 10:22:51 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Today's Word of the Day? Stasis:
In the battle for the White House, President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are locked in a close contest nationally. According to this McClatchy-Marist Poll, 48% of U.S. registered voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate support President Obama compared with 46% for Romney. Less than one percent backs another candidate, and 6% are undecided.
“The race was close yesterday, it’s close today, and may even be close on Election Day,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “You need to look no farther than the president’s approval rating to see how divided the electorate is.”
On the whole, this is not good news for Barack Obama. The previous Marist/McClatchy national poll was in March --- and that also showed a two-point lead for Obama over Romney, 46/44. Since that time, Marist has focused on swing-state polling --- which also showed dead heats in June. Obama and his allies have flooded the media zone with hard-hitting ads, and the best that one can say about their effect is that Obama isn’t losing ground. Romney has yet to unleash a big attack on the airwaves, but those days will come soon, especially with the way Romney is raising funds.
This is the same survey from Saturday’s release on the tax cut issue, so the same sample issues apply. The skew is D+7 with a D/R/I of 36/29/34 among registered voters, which means this leans a little toward Obama. That can be seen in the breakout of independents, which favor Romney by four, 48/44. In 2008, when the electorate really did have a D+7 skew, Obama won by seven points and carried independents by eight. Losing independents would mean that Obama would have to get a base turnout that exceeded the 2008 model, which seems extremely unlikely.
This race is not moving at all in any direction at the moment. The stasis helps the challenger in providing time to gather his financial strength. The attacks on character don’t seem to be having any real impact at all on the polling, which means that the election will almost certainly be decided on policy and as a referendum on the incumbent — and that’s definitely bad news for Obama.
Were I in a fight for this countrys’ survival, the last place i would be is at the vaction home jet skiing haning out with the family on the beach.
This is a fight for our survival and he is playing it like a panzie.
If he is not prepared to go STREET asap he is going to lose.
You obviously didn’t see his speech today.
And 0bama only leads by two?
Yep, that was gonna be my comment as well...
they always forget the X in their name for some reason.
This will be the biggest game changer election in U.S. history...I pray to God America wakes up!
McCain: Sarah Palin was better candidate than romney!!!...
http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/07/john-mccain-sarah-palin-romney-vp.php
“...Obama needs to get a higher turnout to win. And it ain’t going to happen.”
Wait until all the dead and illegals show-up to vote multiple times. They haven’t been “heard from” & “counted”, YET. It’ll happen. Always does.
Rasmussen polls continuously to determine party affiliation and has a database with some 20,000 responses making it accurate within less than a point. He's been doing it for years. All one can question is his methodology. He doesn't use historic or census data to determine his breakout of affiliation.
His huge data set's results, and he has them posted on his webpage, says that America's breakout is (from memory, but I'm only missing the fractions):
Republicans 35.4%
Democrats 34.7%
Independents 30%
Such a huge disparity should be cause for concern among pollsters and generate a huge discussion.
the question is over the last week and a half Barrack “Chavez, Mao, Stalin” Obama has spent a lot of money and got nothing out of it.
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