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Breaking: PPP Tennessee GOP Primary Three Way Tie
PPP Twitter ^ | March 4, 2012 | PPP

Posted on 03/04/2012 8:56:20 AM PST by red flanker

Contra Michigan, early voting may save Santorum in TN. Basically a 3 way tie among election day voters, but he's up with early ones.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Tennessee
KEYWORDS: getoutnewt; gingrich; newt; newt4romney; newtgetout; newtgingrich; newtsplittingthevote
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To: georgiagirl_pam

You are right, Leopold is just too stupid to argue with. I have now seen another post of his,hers, whatever - about a ‘mandate” in Missouri. Exit polls in Missouri showed many Santorum voters, maybe more than half, not sure, would have voted for Newt had he been on the ballot. Now THATS what I call a “mandate.” /s

The Santorum folks like Leopold are just deluding themselves. At some point, they will find out their guy is not liked at all. I just hope its BEFORE he wins a nomination. If it’s after that, we are all so screwed.


61 posted on 03/04/2012 12:56:00 PM PST by C. Edmund Wright
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To: VinL
Also, ARG just released a poll: Tenneessee March 1-3:
Likely Republican Primary Voters Mar 1-32012

  
Santorum 35%
Romney   31% 
Gingrich 20%  
Paul      9% 
Other     1% 
Undecided 4% 
Were there any numbers in the PPP tweet?
62 posted on 03/04/2012 12:56:41 PM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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To: VinL
More information from the ARG poll: Tenneessee March 1-3:
Likely Republican Primary Voters Mar 1-3 2012

Total:  
   Santorum 35%
   Romney   31% 
   Gingrich 20%  
   Paul      9% 
 
Early Vote: (19%)
   Santorum 47% 
   Romney   35% 
   Gingrich 11% 
   Paul      7%
 
Will Vote: (81%)
   Santorum 32% 
   Romney   30% 
   Gingrich 23% 
   Paul      9%  
So we can see some movement among the late deciders, but not close to a 3-way tie.

And if they are right about preliminary votes, it would be hard for Gingrich to come back if 20% of the vote is cast and he was 35 points behind in that 20%.

I hate early voting. That's why Romney won Michigan.

63 posted on 03/04/2012 1:01:36 PM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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To: C. Edmund Wright

Unfortunately, if unbound delegates really vote however they feel like, we are sunk, because they’ll vote Romney.

So we have to hope they vote for the preference winners.


64 posted on 03/04/2012 1:08:39 PM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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To: CharlesWayneCT

I have no particular argument with that notion. I don’t know who these are and I don’t know all the rules about binding and non binding, but it would follow that they are somewhat establishment types.


65 posted on 03/04/2012 1:10:18 PM PST by C. Edmund Wright
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To: C. Edmund Wright

At this moment, Santorum has more total votes than Gingrich. Again, that is meaningless, it’s delegates that count, but your post talked about ‘teeny tiny’ state wins suggesting a vote count could matter, so in that reference Santorum is in 2nd place in total votes.

The more critical problem is that conservatives have had only ONE primary victory. We have won some caucuses, and we won the non-binding Missouri primary, but that doesn’t count. Romney won New Hampshire, Florida, and Michigan, while Newt won South Carolina. That’s it for primaries.


66 posted on 03/04/2012 1:13:49 PM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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To: C. Edmund Wright

Oops, Arizona was a primary as well, and Romney won that one too.


67 posted on 03/04/2012 1:14:31 PM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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To: publana
THIS family is traveling to Tennessee tomorrow to vote for Newt!

I know there's a good explanation for that -- but it just sounds so wrong, like I'm reading a "Move-On" press release or something. :-)

68 posted on 03/04/2012 1:16:58 PM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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To: CharlesWayneCT

When did Santorum move to second in total votes? I didn’t think there would be enough votes cast in Washington to move it (but I have not seen a total since before Washington).


69 posted on 03/04/2012 1:18:03 PM PST by C. Edmund Wright
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To: Bailee

Tennessee early voting has definitely been sparse in my county just outside of Nashville. I was the only one there to case my vote on Saturday afternoon, and in speaking with several of the workers, that’s been typical.

We shall see. I’m trying to get out the votes for Newt that I can.


70 posted on 03/04/2012 1:20:33 PM PST by CaspersGh0sts
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To: red flanker

I’ve already early voted for Newt. Unless you can get me a 2nd and 3rd opportunities everybody who has yet to vote on Tuesday better get their a$$ in gear.


71 posted on 03/04/2012 1:23:00 PM PST by VideoDoctor
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To: red flanker

Another tie would be interesting, 3 way instead of 2 way like in Michigan and Washington State


72 posted on 03/04/2012 1:45:04 PM PST by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

a one state tidal wave?


73 posted on 03/04/2012 1:46:33 PM PST by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: Kenny

bump


74 posted on 03/04/2012 1:47:30 PM PST by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: FreeReign; All

Some of you need to read the polls. Gingrich is so far behind if Santorum collapses, Newt doesn’t win. Romney does.

Not good...I hope Newt pulls it out instead of Rick, but it is rather late here.


75 posted on 03/04/2012 1:47:30 PM PST by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: CharlesWayneCT

Michigan and Washington were really ties if you go by delegates


76 posted on 03/04/2012 1:49:13 PM PST by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: hoosiermama

hoosiermama wrote:
<<
If you have a link we could send it to MSM and talk show hosts still today, just in case they haven’t seen it.
>>

************************************************************

Good idea! Here’s the link:

http://www.redstate.com/erick/2012/03/02/breaking-mitt-romney-urged-obama-to-embrace-the-individual-mandate/


77 posted on 03/04/2012 1:49:47 PM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: GeronL

Washington was a two way tie? I understand Rick finished 3rd behind Romney and Ron Paul. So much for the big win Santorum supporters were forecasting last week.


78 posted on 03/04/2012 1:50:27 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: GeronL

Newt will win Georgia, Tennesse and Oklahoma. He’ll do well in Ohio. On March 10 he’ll do well in Kansas. On March 13 he’ll win Alabama and Mississippi. Rick is fading fast. Newt has the message and momentum. Good luck Tuesday!


79 posted on 03/04/2012 1:53:47 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: GeronL

At least a 2-state tidal wave; maybe more.

Remember, Tennessee neighbors Georgia. Newt has long been the favorite in his home state, but the pertinent point is that polls have shown a steady increase in Newt’s margin of victory in Georgia. And judging from the surrogates that Newt is sending to Oklahoma (Herman Cain, JC Watts) it looks like the campaign thinks there’s a good chance to pick up delegates there, even if Newt does not outright win that Oklahoma.

And then there’s ‘bama and Mississippi a week from Super Tuesday.


80 posted on 03/04/2012 1:59:33 PM PST by BCrago66
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