Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Consensus of Polls Shows Romney Up in Florida
The New York Times ^ | January 28, 2012, 9:43 pm | NATE SILVER

Posted on 01/28/2012 8:05:56 PM PST by Mariner

You can find pretty much every species of poll in Florida right now.

There are traditional polls and automated polls, Internet polls and partisan polls, academic polls and commercial polls.

There are polls where voters checked a box. There are polls that were reported on Fox.

There are polls that called the voter’s house. There are polls where voters clicked a mouse.

Though the numbers were here and there, the outcome was the same everywhere.

Unless there is a major glitch, Mitt Romney will beat Newt Gingrich.

---Break---

Instead, if there is a candidate with upside potential in Florida, it might be Rick Santorum. The most recent polls have shown better results for him, and he now is projected to 15 percent of the vote, up from 11 percent earlier this week.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: gingrichpolls
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-51 next last
Santorum's support increasing from 11% to 15% while Gingrich is static at approximately -7%.

This after he went home to attend to his family and after having spent no money on ads.

These polls look like lagging indicators to me. As people are realizing the vicious and coordinated corruption of the GOP-e and it's sympathetic media there is a backlash emerging.

Newt by 1-2%.

1 posted on 01/28/2012 8:06:06 PM PST by Mariner
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Mariner

Myth Remulak is going to suffer another humiliation next week.


2 posted on 01/28/2012 8:09:52 PM PST by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Mariner

Go Rick! The most conservative within 4 remaining.


3 posted on 01/28/2012 8:10:15 PM PST by entropy12 (Socialism has failed everywhere tried. It breeds mediocrity, corruption, nepotism & poverty for all)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Mariner

They’re all RINOs.


4 posted on 01/28/2012 8:10:22 PM PST by elhombrelibre ("I'd rather be ruled by the Tea Party than the Democratic Party." Norman Podhoretz)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: entropy12

Make that “GO HOME” Rick.


5 posted on 01/28/2012 8:12:13 PM PST by Mountain Mary (Awaken Oh America...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Mariner
I’m not convinced by your analysis. Santorum's support increasing by 4 points is just beyond the usual margin of error, so one recent poll showing that change isn't very significant. I don't see it as a lagging indicator. Santorum has a long way to go to be a factor in this race. He won’t win FL, much less the GOP nomination. But I guess he needs to be thoroughly convinced that he can’t win.

His staying in FL only helps Romney, it doesn’t help him.

6 posted on 01/28/2012 8:19:38 PM PST by Victoria Delsoul
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Mariner

Those dang debates seem to matter. Newt should come out swinging in the next debate. There is apparently only one debate in February. He must win that debate!!! Newt was able to win SC because of a debate. He can win the nomination with the February debate.


7 posted on 01/28/2012 8:22:25 PM PST by napscoordinator (Go Newt! Go Patriots (America's Team)! America's is going the right direction in 2012!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Victoria Delsoul
"His staying in FL only helps Romney, it doesn’t help him. "

I agree wholeheartedly. Santorum should formally withdraw from the race before the election in FLA.

He will not win a state primary. Not one.

He will not have enough money to continue his campaign.

He will not gain sufficient delegates through proportional allocation to win the nomination.

He knows this as well as everyone else.

Upon the fair presumption that he DOES know this, why does he stay in the race?

Certainly not to benefit the conservative movement.

8 posted on 01/28/2012 8:26:29 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Mariner
"Consensus of Polls Shows Romney Up in Florida"

Yep, just like they were in South Carolina!

9 posted on 01/28/2012 8:27:00 PM PST by harpu ( "...it's better to be hated for who you are than loved for someone you're not!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: All

Don't Be Fooled In 2012!!
Keep Up With The REAL News
Conservatives Need From FR!!
Please Help Keep It Going !!

Sponsoring FReepers are contributing
$10 Each time a New Monthly Donor signs up!
Get more bang for your FR buck!
Click Here To Sign Up Now!


10 posted on 01/28/2012 8:27:08 PM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Mariner

I like Rick, but he really needs to drop out.

(now I expect to hear the two annoying Unicorns...NOOOOOO Charlie, lets go to Candy Mountain)


11 posted on 01/28/2012 8:31:22 PM PST by FreeAtlanta (Liberty and Justice for ALL)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Mariner

Then be write his campaign and tell him so! Hope without action won’t get us anywhere in this election cycle.

Info@RickSantorum.com

Don’t forget that Rick Perry was making statements about going on to Florida prior to dropping out just a few days before the vote in South Carolina. We might be able to convince Santorum to do the same, but only if we make our voices heard!


12 posted on 01/28/2012 8:32:35 PM PST by Cato in PA (1/26/12: Bloody Thursday)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Mariner

Several sources saying 30% of the people in some of these polls are stating that they could change their mind before they go to vote.

Romney’s lead is a mile wide and paper thin.


13 posted on 01/28/2012 8:35:47 PM PST by greeneyes (Moderation in defense of your country is NO virtue. Let Freedom Ring.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Mariner

14 posted on 01/28/2012 8:37:48 PM PST by McBuff
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: entropy12
Santorum is no fiscal conservative, just socially.

I've been saying for months that he belongs at home with his family. Right now he's just where he needs to be; if he's not an establishment spoiler, he should've hung it up.

15 posted on 01/28/2012 8:37:48 PM PST by newzjunkey (a FL win returns Romney to the "inevitability" path.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Mariner

Actually all the latest polls show Romney’s lead increasing. Including a PPP poll today +8. And several published on Friday anywhere from Romney +7 to +9 or so. Those seem to be trending Romney, not Newt.

We saw the poll trends in SC last week, and they turned out to be pretty accurate. I am afraid this will be the week Newt lost his shot at the presidency.

But, keep the faith. This race has been a roller coaster. And I don’t see Romney winning by 8-9. I think it will be close, and Newt could still pull it out. But quit calling for Santorum to get out. If Newt can’t win it on his own strength, then he can’t beat Obama anyway. And Santorum has other priorities right now. We all need to pray for his daughter.


16 posted on 01/28/2012 8:39:32 PM PST by gswilder
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Cato in PA
I did read Sanatorium said neither Newt nor Romney had asked he drop out....so i don't think he'll consider until Newt mentions so..and Newt may very well not do so.

In any case Sanatorium is going to do as he feels for his run regardless of what some might want otherwise. Not so sure public pressure will help...especially over the Internet as so many can make demands on either side of the aisle and look like something they are not.

17 posted on 01/28/2012 8:41:35 PM PST by caww
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: greeneyes

Unfortunately, the poll internals aren’t good news for Newt. 56% of the undecided people who saw the debate are saying they are now inclined to vote Romney. The pollsers say this is the first time they have seen Romney get a post debate bump. Newt usually is the one who gets the bump after a debate.

Like I said, Newt can still win. Polls just don’t look good right now.


18 posted on 01/28/2012 8:47:41 PM PST by gswilder
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: newzjunkey; mickie
You are 100% correct in your observation.

But be aware that the Sacred Order of the Perpetually Offended will be rising up in sanctimonious wrath against you because you now dasn't say one political word against Santorum as long as his family member is ill.

Leni

19 posted on 01/28/2012 8:49:51 PM PST by MinuteGal
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: Mariner

Anybody voting for Santorum has GOT to be a conservative.

They should REALIZE that Santorum, although a great guy who would make a great President, simply lacks the machine and money Gingrich has,

By voting for Santorum, they are ASSURING a Romney victory.

Is THIS what they REALLY want????


20 posted on 01/28/2012 8:55:16 PM PST by ZULU (LIBERATE HAGIA SOPHIA!!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-51 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson