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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: Free Vulcan; All

OK, just read the Burlington Iowa results more closely. Only 96 people voted. It’s a heavily Democratic county. What this may show, however, is that Santorum can reach traditional blue collar voters — the old Reagan Democrats he built his base on in Pennsylvania.


421 posted on 01/03/2012 6:15:09 PM PST by darrellmaurina
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To: WilliamHouston; All

422 posted on 01/03/2012 6:15:09 PM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: jwalsh07

Nope.

People who want to have sex and use recreational drugs can already do that. They have been doing that ever since the 1960s.


423 posted on 01/03/2012 6:15:36 PM PST by WilliamHouston
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To: katiedidit1

Nice to see Perry doing so bad. Who will you people support once he runs out of money and drops out?


424 posted on 01/03/2012 6:15:36 PM PST by Tramonto (Draft Palin)
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To: onyx
Bachmann might stick around, but I'm more inclined to think she will drop out, perhaps as soon as tomorrow, and endorse Romney (of course).
425 posted on 01/03/2012 6:15:41 PM PST by Rational Thought
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To: All

On Cavuto, the old hack, Alan Simpson is bashing Santorum for being “too religious” and not recognizing the benefits of that good old “medical procedure,” partial birth abortion.


426 posted on 01/03/2012 6:15:53 PM PST by Luke21
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To: C210N

As they open these slips of paper and read them on C-Span, it just occurs to me, just like 4 years ago, too many conservatives in the race against one moderate liberal and then a shill of a candidate Ron Paul. Conservatives should have coalesced around one stalking horse and let him go head to head with Romney to knock this guy out for good. But too much pride and too much “**I** want to be president. As a result a Moderate may well get this nomination due to a split in the Conservative vote. The Conservatives who did not do well tonight had better just get the heck out and throw in the towel, for the Republic, for our future.


427 posted on 01/03/2012 6:16:12 PM PST by AmericanInTokyo (If FR slowly morphs from anti-Romney, via rationalizing, into supporting him like McCain, FR is over)
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To: Pan_Yan

COOL! Who needs FAUX when we have each other on FR and the entire internet, and CSPAN LIVE coverage! Happy Empiring tonight!


428 posted on 01/03/2012 6:16:21 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: All
Did anyone hear Bill Hemmer tell the glowing tale of how Mitt almost won Iowa last time? I was like--who cares, he didn't.
429 posted on 01/03/2012 6:16:47 PM PST by Miss Didi ("After all...tomorrow is another day." Scarlett O'Hara, Gone with the Wind)
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To: WilliamHouston

There always has been, is now and always will be a dominant world military power. Just what county or group would you like to see be that power?


430 posted on 01/03/2012 6:17:09 PM PST by Proud2BeRight
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To: jwalsh07
RuPaul is a pro at hiding the pork he brings back to his district. Snotty noses know it all millennium twits don't know enough to wipe their butts.
431 posted on 01/03/2012 6:17:13 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter
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To: katiedidit1

WEIRD RESULTS:

Ron Paul is keeping Santorum from getting a plurality of the Evangelical vote...BUT

Ron Pual is ALSO keeping Romney from getting a large enough plurality in East and West IA.

The result? A three-way for first.

Strange. No clue who’s going to win it. Santorum is holding is own in Cedar Rapids and Davenport.


432 posted on 01/03/2012 6:18:08 PM PST by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: Kenny; CainConservative

Don’t worry. CainCon has been predicting that Perry will drop out from the day he declared.

Hope Perry does better than expected but he WILL NOT drop out. He’s lookin’ to South Carolina now.


433 posted on 01/03/2012 6:18:16 PM PST by altura (Perry 2012)
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To: LearnsFromMistakes

What happened to Michele Thatcher?


434 posted on 01/03/2012 6:18:37 PM PST by Reagan69 (I supported Sarah Palin and all I got was a lousy DVD !)
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To: Tramonto

I am 100% for Newt. Perry would be my 2nd choice. I have problems with Santorum over his support for the bridge to nowhere, he is mr earmarks, supported Arlen Spector and lost the election in PA by a landslide. I am more of a fiscal conservative than social conservative.


435 posted on 01/03/2012 6:18:53 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: All


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436 posted on 01/03/2012 6:19:08 PM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: Free Vulcan; onyx

Jamie Dupree, a reporter for Cox Radio is reporting on Twitter some discouraging news from the GOP caucuses:

jamiedupree Jamie Dupree

No speaker for Gingrich in one of the GOP caucuses I’m watching here outside Des Moines
30 minutes ago

Jamie Dupree

jamiedupree Jamie Dupree

GOP precinct captain at one caucus pleading for volunteer help, says Democrats are badly outworking GOP in Iowa
35 minutes ago

http://twitter.com/#!/jamiedupree

Jamie Dupree
@jamiedupree Washington, D.C.
Jamie Dupree is a reporter for Cox Radio, covering Congress and DC. Stations include WSB Atlanta, WDBO Orlando, WOKV Jacksonville, WHIO Dayton and KRMG Tulsa.

http://wsbradio.com/dupree


437 posted on 01/03/2012 6:19:21 PM PST by bd476
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To: Luke21

Megyn Kelly is the one who drives me crazy the most. She tries to sound knowledgeable on a given topic, but she’s not. I hate to say it, but she gives the term “dumb blonde” more ammunition. Neil Cavuto is the last Fox host who seems to have his/her head on straight. All the rest are in the tank for Romney, our famous Mormon cultist.


438 posted on 01/03/2012 6:20:23 PM PST by ducttape45
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To: Parley Baer; katiedidit1; TitansAFC; Gator113; PSYCHO-FREEP

I hope Newt goes directly to South Carolina and Florida!

Yes, he has to spend a little time in New Hampshire due to the endorsement by the Manchester Union Leader, but were I Gingrich, I would spend my time and money in SC and FL.

Romney is a fraud and Newt will go after him in the nest debate(s).


439 posted on 01/03/2012 6:20:40 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: Parley Baer; katiedidit1; TitansAFC; Gator113; PSYCHO-FREEP

I hope Newt goes directly to South Carolina and Florida!

Yes, he has to spend a little time in New Hampshire due to the endorsement by the Manchester Union Leader, but were I Gingrich, I would spend my time and money in SC and FL.

Romney is a fraud and Newt will go after him in the next debate(s).


440 posted on 01/03/2012 6:20:43 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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