[Notwithstanding]

This is good news for Newt, who yesterday Rasmussen had beating Obama head to head nationally 45% to 43%.

http://www.newt.org/21st-century-contract-america

[wardaddy]

I am FREEPER!

All polls suck...unless I agree with it.

hence...I love this poll...undeniably the best poll ever known to man....where can I get copies...to send as Christmas presents

slobber slobber...world’s greatest poll...the best....I told ya so...”Polls never lie”

/s

[chilepup]

Does it strike anyone else as odd that the MSM has not been treating Newt like the treated Perry or Cain? I wonder why....

[GLDNGUN]

This verifies a couple of things. First, many Newt-haters here were saying Newt's numbers would dive after the most recent debate due to his comments on illegal immigration, just like Perry's numbers nose-dived. WRONG. Those of you who thought and wished it would happen have been exposed. The vast majority of GOP voters are intelligent enough to understand what he was saying, while you were dishonestly trying to portray his stand as open-borders amnesty, have been exposed as liars and/or simpletons unable to decipher black from white.

Secondly, Cain's support has collapse. Man Cain supporters running around here stomping their feet insisting that his supporters would NOT go to Newt. WRONG again. That is obviously why Newt's support has shot up while Cain's has dropped.

Now then, are you Newt-haters ready to grow up and join the adults in the conversation? Your choices are Newt or Romney. Or of course you can write in someone who doesn't have a chance, or you can pretend there's not an election by not voting for anyone and risk getting 4 more years of Obama.

[Interesting Times]

It’s pretty clear that most conservatives, after taking a hard look at Bachmann, Perry, and then Cain, are locking in on Gingrich.

Of course, the RINOs and the old media will continue to pretend that Romney is the inevitable nominee.

[Berlin_Freeper]

I think it is going to have to be Newt and it is our job to keep the pressure on him constantly to pull him to the conservative side.

[Southnsoul]

We got an automated survey call from Rasmussen yesterday, (the first time we have ever heard from a major pollster) and he only mentioned one of the candidates running... yep, you guessed it... Romney. He asked who would we vote for, between Obama and Romney, and my mother chose Obama to send him a message that we will NOT vote for Romney. The rest of the questions were on Reid, Pelosi, Boehner, etc. She was able to give Obama the highest negative on another question, however, so Rasmussen will at least know that this household considers Romney as bad as Obama.

[rhinohunter]

This may explain Milt’s testiness w/ Bret Baier.

[Road Warrior ‘04]

Newt’s theme song to Bowbama:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J1uL3TqAlbk

[samtheman]

This is good news for Newt...

...and for America.

[samtheman]

The thing I like most about this poll is it is the first major poll I’ve seen in which Romney is below his customary 23-25%.

Romney is slip sliding away.

[Future Useless Eater]

.

With Rasmussen added

Much like what the government does with unemployment statistics, the following chart represents a 4-poll "rolling average" for the latest 20+ polls listed at RealClearPolitics.com (plus other recent national polls).

I also weighted the polls by their size. For example, a poll with a survey size of 1000 was weighted proportionately heavier than an 324 survey size.

Weighted 4-Poll Rolling Averages of the latest 20+ Polls
listed at RCP   [as of Dec 1st]
plus
YouGov 11/22, 11/15, 11/8, 11/1, 10/25, 10/18 and 10/11 polls, and
Poll Position 11/27 11/22 11/8, and 11/1 polls inserted chronologically
I also broke the 11/9 - 11/14 Pew poll into two, (3-day) polls

(Example methodology for this chart will be on my profile page)






As usual, Real Clear Politics (of Chicago) may be showing its bias again towards Romney. Their former policy was they would scrub national poll data OUT of their averages after all of that data was more than 14 days old.

BUT, when it has favored Romney's averages, they would keep old data which was entirely older than 24 days. Also, one week ago, they scrubbed out old data that was just barely older than 12 days, (instead of 14) and by doing that it boosted Romney's average a bit more.

Here is what they show right now as their averages...

Poll			Date		Gingrh.	Romney	Cain	Perry	Paul	Bachmn.	Santor.	Huntsm.	Spread
RCP Average		11/13 - 11/30	26.6	20.4	14	7.2	8	4.6	2.6	2.4	Gingrich +6.2



...If they used their normal standard, and scrubbed all data that was entirely older than 14 days,
 they would have to report these averages today...

Poll			Date		Gingrh.	Romney	Cain	Perry	Paul	Bachmn.	Santor.	Huntsm.	Spread
RCP w/14day Average	11/16 - 11/30	27.5	20.0	13.8	7.3	8.0	4.3	2.8	2.3	Gingrich +7.5



...IF they used the same journalistic 'standard' as one week ago (when scrubbing all data that was older than 12 days),
 they would have to report these averages today...

Poll			Date		Gingrh.	Romney	Cain	Perry	Paul	Bachmn.	Santor.	Huntsm.	Spread
RCP w/12day Average	11/18 - 11/30	29.3	19.7	13.0	7.0	7.7	4.3	3.3	2.7	Gingrich +9.7

...I suspect they often TRY to show ROMNEY's averages more favorably with little 'tricks'.


      

.

[xp38]

Time to update this bumper sticker

to Screwed Again '12

[Colofornian]

At this point, a pro-Gingrich vote is more of an anti-Romney sentiment vote.

Gingrich is perceived as being a better choice on economic issues than Romney; is perceived as someone who can handle himself professionally (his debates)...

The question marks are his affairs.

Voters are looking at the excess baggage of Gingrich (affairs) vs. the excess baggage of Romney (a guy who portends to be a god).

Gingrich has had too many lovers; Romney has had too many gods.

[muddler]

He may make a good VP pick for a real conservative, maybe.

[RKBA Democrat]

Not my first choice.

Not my second choice.

But still looks like a good choice.

[Proudcongal]

I’d like to be a bug on the wall at the Romney headquarters.

[Azzurri]

I'm pretty sure the Romney campaign is putting the finishing touches on this commercial in 3,2,1...

[unsheeple]

Music to my ears...

[Crichton]

What kind of idiots would vote for that charlatan?

[MortMan]

Why do we still have primaries and caucuses?