[Future Useless Eater]

Poll Position SHOULD have swapped pictures, and put in Ron Paul's picture in 4th place, since Perry's numbers round UP to 5% and Paul's numbers round to 6%

Here are the latest two Poll Position national polls...

Poll		Date		Sample		Gingr. 	Romn. 	Cain 	Perry 	Paul 	Bachm. 	Santo. 	Hunts. 
Poll Position	11/22 - 11/22	540 LRV		30.3	21.4	11.3	5.9	4.5	6.2	???	2.4
Poll Position	11/27 - 11/27	499 LRV		32.1	23.2	13.6	4.9	5.6	4.1	???	2.7

LRV in these cases means registered Likely Republican Voters

I also heard by freepmail that Cain has NOT said he is reassessing his campaign...

From Lolly Winne, a well-known Cain volunteer:

“I was on a conference call at 11:15am this morning with Herman Cain himself, where he explained to us that, once again, the accusations against him are COMPLETELY FALSE. He ALSO explained that he is NOT considering dropping out of the campaign, despite what the media is reporting. The campaign is moving forward as planned. Additionally, he shared that Ginger White WAS a friend of his (and his wife’s) and she was a struggling unemployed single mom who received several eviction notices due to being unable to pay her rent. So being the good man that he is, Mr. Cain helped her out financially as a FRIEND, as he has done for other friends in the past.”

When asked what the reassessment was about - Winne replied, “I was on the call, I did not hear the words “REASSESS THE CAMPAIGN”, I heard, ‘we need to assess the situation (the damage) over the next couple of days and continue to MOVE FORWARD.’ He said NOTHING about considering to drop out. He didn’t even INSINUATE it.”

https://www.facebook.com/lollywinne

---

Much like what the government does with unemployment statistics, the following chart represents a 4-poll "rolling average" for the latest 20+ polls listed at RealClearPolitics.com (plus other recent national polls).

I also weighted the polls by their size. For example, a poll with a survey size of 1000 was weighted proportionately heavier than an 324 survey size.

Weighted 4-Poll Rolling Averages of the latest 20+ Polls
listed at RCP   [as of Nov 29th]
plus
YouGov 11/22, 11/15, 11/8, 11/1, 10/25, 10/18 and 10/11 polls, and
Poll Position 11/27 11/22 11/8, and 11/1 polls inserted chronologically
I also broke the 11/9 - 11/14 Pew poll into two, (3-day) polls

(Example methodology for this chart will be on my profile page)

[pollywog]

that is one scary chart!

[Future Useless Eater]

We should all start recognizing that this is likely to be the dirtiest election in our lifetimes!

Obama and his Chicago slime-machine has a history of destroying his opponents with dirt.

We should remember that no human is perfect, that ALL our candidates are better people that the scum on the left.

And Obama in particular has HIDDEN most of his past from scrutiny.
see what Obama's classmate at Occidental said he was like at that time:

Marlzberg: 
OK, So there's Barry Obama, and... 
tell me why you believe that 
he was a Marxist back then? 

Drew:
OK, well my most vivid memory is how INSISTENT he was  
in arguing a Marxist / Leninist point of view. 
I was arguing a more moderate Marxist view that just said
that even though a lot of Marxist ideas were correct, 
it was implausible that we would ever see a revolution 
led by the working class to overthrow the elite. 
And Obama did NOT buy that AT ALL. 
He made a very principled, dedicated, impassioned argument 
that in fact, a REAL revolution was coming.  
And in a sense, we should all get on board and prepare ourselves 
physically and emotionally for that revolution. 

...

Marlzberg: 
yea, and so, OK, he wasn't ambitious at the time. 
But the revolution, that he saw coming, this fit in with some other remarks you
made, about the United States, where you say that you believe that Obama perceived
America as the ENEMY. In what sense? 

Drew:
He DEFINITELY saw America as the enemy. 
He believed that the ruling elite had rigged our economic system
so that it CAUSED people to be poor. 
And it was immoral, and it was wrong, and the only 
way you could tip things back so we all 
could enjoy a more prosperous lifestyle, 
was to redistribute the wealth. 

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

Newt is clearly stomping Romney into the proverbial dirt.

Perry won't be able to hold on much longer, Cain never did have a real campaign, only an all expense paid Book Tour and self promotion tour. Which he plans on using after the election is over like Palin did.

[montag813]

Wow...Perry gained nothing back from his past two decent debate performances. Social conservatives clearly have shifted to Gingrich, although they still can’t let go of Mr. Cain.

[InterceptPoint]

Right now I’m thinking that Romney is wishing for the good old days when Cain was his major competitor. Now, with Cain at 14% and likely to drop out (my opinion and it’s just an opinion) those votes are very, very likely to go mostly to Gingrich and very few if any to Romney. That is going to expand the Gingrich lead. That 9 point lead could easily go as high as 20.

Not good news for Romney. I’m managing somehow to hold back the tears. ;)

[Windflier]

Too bad that Newt is going to be cut to ribbons by the left-wing attack machine. Even worse - he gave them the ammo to shoot him down.

This is disastrous...

[BarnacleCenturion]

Gingrich is peaking too soon and will fall hard.

He benefited from 3 consecutive foreign policy debates but when the topic shifts back to the economy Cain will regain the lost ground (Newt has no Plan).

Perry has tons of money yet to be spent and will also regain some lost ground (has Newt raised any cash?).

I’ll go out on a limb and predict that Bachmann takes Iowa, after social conservatives discover that Newt is not one of them.

ABN (Anybody but Newt)

[GeronL]

I don’t think I can vote for Newt or Mitt

[Parley Baer]

Another poll showing Mitt stuck in the low 20% range. He does not seem to move up or down from that position. Karl Rove and Hugh Hewitt are deeply saddened. It appears to me that Herman Cain is still in the race. Newt is holding onto the lead he garnered a few weeks ago. If Newt turns out to be the nominee I will vote for him.

[RainMan]

RCP is not showing the 11/27 poll in thier averages. In fact, looking at thier datasets, it does not look like RCP uses thier data at all ... why is that?

[katiedidit1]

Looking good for Newt. The next presidential debate will be on Dec. 10th. Curious as to why they have “participants to be decided”

9pm ET on ABC
Location: Drake University in Des Moines, Iowa
Sponsor: ABC News, ABC5/WOI-DT, The Des Moines Register and Republican Party of Iowa
Participants: TBD

[Future Useless Eater]

Here is a small tweak to the chart in post #1.
I had a few cells with the wrong weightings,
but now those are automated so the error cannot happen again.

[Happy Rain]

Yadda yadda blah blah.

Cain is still in it and is a gonna win it on Jan 21st rat cheer in South Kakalaki.

Count on it.

[Absolutely Nobama]

Oh look! Whack job Ron Paul is nowhere to be found on the leaderboard......

[ilgipper]

The fact that the entire media ran with the ‘reassessing’ story today shows the power of the DC establishment driving both parties. Cain was cruising but has been knocked into the wall repeatedly by these accusations, and his other errors have since been magnified to create a false narrative that he is not a capable candidate.

He may or may not survive, but the damage done through the repeated attacks shows what we as a people are up against. The powerful elite will not go away. They must be neutralized and destroyed. That so many on FR have jumped on to the media pile-on of each of our candidates is a sad fact.

[Future Useless Eater]

I don't have time but would someone please start another thread like this one? This poll has been redone, and the results are close to last week's Rasmussen results.... http://pollposition.com/2011/12/05/post-cain-gingrich-edge-14/

Poll			Date		Sample	Gingr. 	Romney 	Perry 	Paul 	Bachm. 	Santo. 	Huntsman 
Poll Position		11/27 - 11/27	499 LRV	32.1	23.2	4.9	5.6	4.1	2.5	2.7
Rasmussen Reports	11/30 - 11/30	1000 LV	38	17.0	4	8	4	4	3
Poll Position		12/04 - 12/04	502 LRV	37	23.0	3	7	6	2	2