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To: TomGuy

Michele Bachmann was complaining about being ignored and I just saw a guy on Fox News discussing it. His name slips mymind. It will come to me... Stephen somethng.

Anyway, he said she had a valid point but with so many candidates still in, it is logical to concentrate on the top tier candidates. Questioned why Huntsman is still up there at all. Apparently, Huntsman, Bachmann and Santorum are still in low single digits, but, hey, if they want to stay in, I guess they can.


51 posted on 11/13/2011 6:44:22 AM PST by altura (Perry 2012)
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To: altura

At this time, I would like to see a convoluted race next spring, ending with no clear nominee and a brokered convention. Except that the GOP would probably pull defeat out of the jaws of victory and nominate the other Bush.

==

Manipulation of the economic/jobless numbers is well underway. And the Obama supporters have been tauting his foreign policy successes. They still have a year for rehabilitation.

Obama could be a formidable incumbent facing an embattled, wounded GOP nominee. Incumbency is difficult to win against.


70 posted on 11/13/2011 6:59:15 AM PST by TomGuy
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To: altura
Questioned why Huntsman is still up there at all. Apparently, Huntsman, Bachmann and Santorum are still in low single digits, but, hey, if they want to stay in, I guess they can.

Huntsman, Bachmann, Paul and Santorum have ZERO chance of getting the nomination. At some point the field should be narrowed.

155 posted on 11/13/2011 9:07:37 AM PST by Jeff Chandler (Ah, the old Hope-a-Dope.)
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To: altura
Interesting that more haven't yet dropped out. By this time in 2007, Gilmore, Brownback, and Tommy Thompson had all withdrawn from the race.

Interesting flash back. Here are a few of the poll results covering mid-November 2007 (my source doesn't seem to include Rasmussen, unfortunately):

Giuliani Huckabee McCain Paul Romney Undecided
ARG 11/9-12 25 6 12 4 21 12
Gallup 11/11-14 28 10 13 5 12 9
Fox 11/13-14 33 8 17 3 8 13
Zogby 11/14-17 29 11 9 5 9 21
Pew/AP 11/7-25 26 11 17 4 13 15


McCain had been stuck in the teens (often the low teens) since summer, and wouldn't break the 20% barrier until after Iowa.

Also, while these polls were generally all over the place Giulani, a man who would ultimately not place better than third in any state, was dominating the polls less than two months before Iowa and New Hampshire. It was right around the beginning of December that he dropped down to the low 20s, but it wasn't until after Iowa that he no longer consistently finished first in the polls.

While the polls shouldn't be ignored, they certainly are still subject to change at this point as well.
168 posted on 11/13/2011 11:37:04 AM PST by The Pack Knight (Laugh, and the world laughs with you. Weep, and the world laughs at you.)
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