Interesting that more haven't yet dropped out. By this time in 2007, Gilmore, Brownback, and Tommy Thompson had all withdrawn from the race.
Interesting flash back. Here are a few of the poll results covering mid-November 2007 (
my source doesn't seem to include Rasmussen, unfortunately):
|
|
Giuliani |
Huckabee |
McCain |
Paul |
Romney |
Undecided |
| ARG 11/9-12 |
25 |
6 |
12 |
4 |
21 |
12 |
| Gallup 11/11-14 |
28 |
10 |
13 |
5 |
12 |
9 |
| Fox 11/13-14 |
33 |
8 |
17 |
3 |
8 |
13 |
| Zogby 11/14-17 |
29 |
11 |
9 |
5 |
9 |
21 |
| Pew/AP 11/7-25 |
26 |
11 |
17 |
4 |
13 |
15 |
McCain had been stuck in the teens (often the low teens) since summer, and wouldn't break the 20% barrier until
after Iowa.
Also, while these polls were generally all over the place Giulani, a man who would ultimately not place better than third in any state, was dominating the polls less than two months before Iowa and New Hampshire. It was right around the beginning of December that he dropped down to the low 20s, but it wasn't until after Iowa that he no longer consistently finished first in the polls.
While the polls shouldn't be ignored, they certainly are still subject to change at this point as well.
Excellent chart and you're very correct!
I now remember thinking then that none of these knuckle heads deserved my vote....
Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose!