Posted on 10/28/2011 8:51:19 PM PDT by BagCamAddict
Obama leads Romney, 46-43, down a hair from a five-point advantage (47-42) in August. He has also declined against newly risen Herman Cain, from a 14-point lead (50-36) to half that (49-42). Obama leads Ron Paul by nine, 48-39; Rick Perry and Michele Bachmann each by 11 (50-39 and 51-40, respectively); and Newt Gingrich by 14 (52-38).
All of these changes except the one against Cain are statistically insignificant, but it still makes the state closer than the president would like. Then again, Obamas huge 2008 win was unprecedented in recent history. Al Gore won this swing state by less than 0.3 points, and John Kerry by 0.4. Obama won North Carolina by more than that. But both Kerry and Gore lost overall, and Wisconsin is not a state Obama can afford to lose.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
PPP surveyed 1,170 Wisconsin voters from October 20th to 23rd. The margin of error for the survey is +/-2.9%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates.
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Perry?
Favorable 20%
Unfavorable 59%
Not sure 21%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Herman Cain?
Favorable 35%
Unfavorable 42%
Not sure 23%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?
Favorable 31%
Unfavorable 53%
Not sure 17%
If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Herman Cain, who would you vote for?
Barack Obama 49%
Herman Cain 42%
Undecided 9%
If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Rick Perry, who would you vote for?
Barack Obama 50%
Rick Perry 39%
Undecided 11
If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
Barack Obama 46%
Mitt Romney 43%
Undecided 11%
PPP is a Democrat pollster.
repeat....
Even though 2010 was highly promising in WI, I wouldn’t put much hope in the voters there, many of whom, the older ones, are still apologizing for Joe McCarthy, vindicated by the communist records.
I think, wisconsin is moving away from progressive roots. It moved in 2000,2004(almost Bush won it) and 2010. 2008 was abnormal in many places including Indiana and North Carolina.
I think, Wisconsin can be flipped with a republican governor, senator and a legislature. There is so much good feeling on the republican policies
PPP is also the pollster whose polls were most accurate for the 2010 midterms. Don’t be such an unthinking partisan.
voter id will make a difference.
Better an unthinking partisan’ than a troll hack like you who will get down on both knees for obama.
You just registered today???
Don’t you have an OWS Rally to go to you idiot Obama ass-licker?
LOL
Mods we have a DU TROLL who just registered today...kindly escort him out of forum please.
Wisconsin don’t need no stinkin’ badgers!
Thanks for the post. And, don’t think I’m not grateful for the info, but ANY poll, even the ones we like, are utterly meaningless this far out. Hillary was leading Obama by something like 30 points this far out.
Like everyone, I find polls interesting to read, but reading anything into them at this stage is useless.
I like reading the fine details. Like the details that show that Candidate A has 23% “never heard of him” vs. Candidate B who has 10% “never heard of him”.
Or that Candidate A gets 35% of the female vote, while Candidate B gets 46% of the female vote.
Silly, but fascinating details. :-)
I did register today. I guess it just doesn’t take me very long to discover unthinking partisans.
“That which doesn’t make me feel warm and fuzzy is that which isn’t true.” Is that your motto, max?
The democrat poll numbers include projected fraudulent votes for Obama.
Obama is still a known quantity. That said, in all of the PPP polls, he’s down four percentage points from his 2008 win with 53% of the popular vote. He won’t get that again next year. If he is re-elected, it will be as a minority President.
PPP has the finest polls Romney’s money can buy.
Everyone seems focused on when you registered as if that changes whether PPP was the most accurate during the 2010 cycle. Maybe they were just lucky during 2010. Maybe they knowingly projected correctly during 2010 but are skewing their numbers now. On the other hand, maybe the truth is that we have a chance of winning Wisconsin with the right candidate and zero chance of winning Wisconsin with the wrong candidate.
I hope that we can put Wisconsin in play next year. Even if we don't win Wisconsin, making Obama spend resources to hold the state means that he won't have resources to spend in other places. Forcing the Democrats to spend those resources to defend Obama in many previously blue states will give us a better chance to win key Senate and House races. If Mitt Romney is as weak is they say, maybe he'll just do the bidding of a conservative Congress.
No...just from a libtard Obama butt-licking troll like you.
Now son, just join your little friends protesting at OWS, m kay?
lol Agreed. The “never heard of him” people, well ... maybe they are just too stupid to vote.
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