Another 405 person BIASES CNN poll.
Posted on 10/27/2011 1:55:39 AM PDT by personalaccts
By Steven Shepard October 26, 2011 | 4:00 PM | 762 Comments Share Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney leads in new CNN/Time polls of the first four states on the Republican presidential nominating calendar -- Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida -- though in Iowa and South Carolina, Herman Cain runs a close second.
Cain, the former CEO of Godfather's Pizza, runs second in each of the four states, and in three of the four states, Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, runs third.
Notably, the best that Texas Gov. Rick Perry can manage in any of the states is a tie for third.
From National Journal:
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Taken collectively, the polls show that -- despite Cain's slight lead over Romney in some recent national polling -- Romney has the advantage in the four states that will most determine the direction of the GOP nominating process:
-- In Iowa, which will hold its caucuses on Jan. 3, Romney leads Cain, 24 percent to 21 percent -- within the margin of error. Paul was third, at 12 percent, followed by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Perry, who both earned 10 percent. Rep. Michele Bachmann, R-Minn., who edged Paul in August's Iowa straw poll, was at only six percent.
-- New Hampshire is expected to hold its first-in-the-nation primary on Jan. 10, and Romney has a strong lead in the poll, at 40 percent. Cain is at 13 percent, with Paul right behind him at 12 percent. Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, whose campaign is predicated on a strong performance in the Granite State, is fourth at six percent, followed closely by Gingrich, at five percent. Perry is at just four percent.
-- The first-in-the-South primary will be held in South Carolina on Jan. 21, where Romney (25 percent) and Cain (23 percent) are now in a virtual tie. Paul is third at 12 percent, and Perry is at 11 percent, his strongest performance in the four polls.
-- Romney leads Cain in vote-rich Florida, which will hold its primary on Jan. 31, 30 percent to 18 percent. Gingrich and Perry tied for third with nine percent, and Paul was fifth at six percent.
All four polls were conducted Oct. 20-25 by ORC International. The respective sample sizes and margins of error are as follows:
-- Iowa: 405 registered Republicans; margin of error +/- 4.8 percent. -- New Hampshire: 400 registered Republicans or independents who voted in the 2008 Republican primary; margin of error +/- 4.9 percent. -- South Carolina: 400 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents; margin of error +/- 4.9 percent. -- Florida: 401 registered Republicans; margin of error +/- 4.9 percent.
great news for obama
Romney will never be elected president of the US
bookamrk this for Nov 2012
Aside from NH, Cain will likely take the rest at his current rate of ascent. He’ll probably rise higher in NH, too, but NH has become fairly irrelevant. Look as far ago as 1964 when Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr. won it and he went nowhere.
I agree. I think he’s a WIMP and when Obama goes negative on him Romney won’t fight back because he’s a wimp
“NEW POLLS SHOW ROMNEY AHEAD IN FIRST FOUR STATES”
Polls?
This is ONE poll in with a decided leftest bent several states. The margin of error is almost 5%. It’s meaningless and doesn’t jive with any of the other polls taken during this timeframe which show romney behind almost everywhere except NH.
I have a feeling that the Republican ticket will be Cain/Romney or Romney/Cain. It seems that if one of them become the nominee, the other one would be picked for VP.
Another 405 person BIASES CNN poll.
Who would pay any attention to a Commie/Time poll?
The perception that is out there is that Romney is the only one that can beat Obama. Not sure why that perception is there, but it is, and it’s tough to crack.
I’m in SC and Romney will NOT be getting my vote - in the primaries or in the gnerla election.
I refuse any longer to let the leftist media select my Republican candidate. If he’s the candidate, I’ll be relaxing at the beach in November 2012.
That perception is fostered by the media, which is counting on the fact that it is a lie. Romney is very vulnerable and Obama’s best shot at a second term is to run against Romney. Therefore, the media pushes the idea that “Romney is the only one that can beat Obama”.
If you assume that the poll is correct and Cain comes in 2nd in the first four races, he will be the odds on favorite because there will be several weeks with no primary activity when the losers will drop out and if it comes down to Cain vs mittens, in the remaining 53 states, Cain wins.
Cain is a heavy favorite in the seven states that mittens has never been to and right before he died, the "corpse-man" told Herman how to get to those states.
Even obummer may not be able to find those states again in this election cycle.
Cannot! Will not! Never!
I agree. CNN probably polled 405 democrats.
If? Barry’s gonna go negitive on whoever the nominee happens to be.
That’s his MO.
South Carolina
Ping
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DO NOT BLAME ME if obama wins... if you guys in the primary states allow the progressive leaders of both parties to nominate mitt... IT WILL BE THE FAULT OF THOSE OF YOU IN THE PRIMARY STATES WHERE IT HAPPENED!
LLS
The drive-by media is trying to tell the people that Romney will be the candidate and that Obama is ahead of Romney in Arizona by 5 points....and that Obama still has complete and strong support from the African-American community.
This is one of the tactics they are using and it will be used even more in the days ahead.
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