Posted on 07/06/2011 1:18:22 PM PDT by truthfreedom
Question: If the Texas Republican primary were held today, which presidential candidate would you be most likely to vote for?
Ron Paul – 22% Rick Perry – 17% Herman Cain – 14% Newt Gingrich – 11% Gary Johnson – 9% Mitt Romney – 8% Michele Bachmann – 7% Tim Pawlenty – 2% John Huntsman – 2% Rock Santorum – 1% Undecided – 7%
(Excerpt) Read more at azimuthpolls.com ...
Poll is being freeped by Libertarians who don’t have a candidate of their own so they want to foist RuPaul on the GOP.
Gary Johnson at 9% and Ron Paul at 22%? Their own governor at 17%? That’s bull. Ron Paul got 10% in his own district last time, so I can’t believe he’d be winning in the whole state this time.
Really. I’m a Libertarian. I wouldn’t vote for Paul the Elder. Now, his son, on the other hand, could slaughter kittens and baby owls on the Capitol steps and I’d still back him.
yup, odd poll.
I don’t know about freeped. They say they’re making phone calls.
yeah, old data, but the poll was released today, for some reason, so it’s new “news”.
Lots of Paul bots in Texas.
My question to the Paul bots is, what are you going to do when he doesn’t get the nomination?
If they are making phone calls then they are definitely oversampling the registered libertarians and/or “unaffiliated” voters. There is no way that Ron Paul would poll that well in any realistic poll of GOP primary voters in Texas.
If Paul is so popular in Texas why has he never broken out of his congressional district and won a state-wide contest?
Last time, many RP supporters stayed home or voted 3rd party.
Others said “McCain, you suck, but Obama is so bad. If you give us Palin, I’ll vote for you.”
This time, many, probably most RP supporters will support Palin. I’m a Ron Paul supporter and I think Palin will probably win handily, and I’d support her happily.
Palin can’t pick a Rove candidate as VP. Bush undermined Reagan and we don’t want a Rove candidate undermining Palin.
Palin must pick a true conservative who can appeal to segments of the electorate that she currently has trouble with.
The registered libertarians?
Well. I’m not saying this is a great poll. It says 882 active Republican voters. I don’t know what that means exactly. I don’t see any crosstabs or anything. I’m not saying “this poll is right”, but I don’t see anything really wrong with it either. It’s not a Zogby poll, though.
Bush and Rove don’t like him, maybe?
I don’t know. He ran against Gramm and lost in the primary a while back.
Paul has 22% in Texas. It’s a surprising number, but not an unrealistic number. Even if Ron Paul isn’t “so popular” in Texas, it doesn’t mean he can’t get 22%.
He’s just more popular than Gardasil Rick. Which isn’t very hard to accomplish.
obviously the people being polled were not aware Ron Paul just teamed up with Brawney Frwank to propose legislation to legalize drugs.
I think if this came up in the debates, Ron would not fare well.
Well, to be fair, depending on the size of the polling institution, it can take a month or two sometimes to process data. I’ve seen Gallup run as “news” a poll they took four or five months prior.
Month and a half old poll from a heretofore unheard of polling outfit. I’m convinced!
If Paultard gets the Republican nomination, I’m voting for Øbama...TWICE!
I don’t know either.
What I do know is this:
1. Conservative GOP voters in Texas are not happy with Perry. He has made noticeable shifts to the right over the last couple of years, but he has governed as a “moderate” at best. Therefore, it is no surprise that he is not leading the pack in Texas.
2. GOP voters in Texas have never warmed to Ron Paul other than his congressional district. Paul used to be officially a libertarian candidate, but he could never win running as a libertarian so he ran as a republican and won his seat, and has used the power of incumbancy to retain that seat. His district is pretty safe as a GOP seat, but nobody wants to mount a primary challenge to try to replace him with a real republican over a libertarian republican.
3. My take on the condition of the race right now is this: With no GOP front-runner yet established and the number of potentials weighing a bid, you probably have Palin and Bauchmann splitting the tea party / conservative side of the GOP with Herman Cain, then the mildly conservative to moderate wing of the party leaning toward Pawlenty and Perry, and the more moderate to liberal side of the party leaning toward Romney.
A Palin/Paul ticket as the Tea Party alternative to Biz as usual would be a winner. I am ducking for cover.
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