Just doing my job. Nothing personal.
Posted on 06/16/2011 2:20:48 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Rasmussen released the second part of its GOP primary polling this morning, this time concerning those potential candidates not in the race. The survey of likely Republican primary voters does not indicate a massive desire for more candidates to jump into the race, but support for bids by Rick Perry and Rudy Giuliani exceeds opposition. That isn’t true for Sarah Palin:
A plurality of Republican primary voters think it would be good for Texas Governor Rick Perry to jump into the party’s presidential race and bad for the party if former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin joined the field. They are evenly divided about former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 36% of Likely GOP Primary Voters think it would be good for Republicans if Palin enters the race, but 45% believe it would be bad for the party. Just 11% say it would have no impact. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Thirty-six percent (36%) also feel it would be good for the GOP if Perry enters the race. Only 21% say it would be bad for the party, while 26% think it would have no impact. Sixteen percent (16%) are not sure.
As for Giuliani, best known for his leadership in the wake of the 9/11 terrorist attacks, 38% of likely primary voters believe it would be good for their party if he joins the presidential race. Nearly as many (35%), however, see his candidacy as bad for the GOP. Nineteen percent (19%) say it would have no impact.
Earlier, commenters on the first Rasmussen release wondered why the pollster didn’t include potential candidates in the survey, and this answers the question. None of the three got above 36% in demand for a run. Given the lack of any other potential candidates, this appears to bolster the argument that likely primary voters see the current field as sufficient.
The internals don’t look good for Palin in this instance. In almost all demographics, opposition to a primary bid outstrips support. Among men, it’s a 42/42 tie, but among women, it’s a double-digit deficit at 28/49. Palin trails in every age demographic and loses a majority among 40-49YOs, 34/51; she also loses a majority among independents planning to vote in the GOP primaries, 34/53. Black voters (53/26), those unsure of their ideology (70/27), and Tea Party members (49/33) support the idea of a Palin candidacy. Evangelicals are the only religious denomination to support a Palin run, but at a surprisingly low 44/38 mark. Palin also picks up support from lower-income levels below $40K and the $60-75K demo, but loses the other income demos.
The numbers for Perry and Giuliani aren’t bad, but they’re not “draft”-level figures, either. A Perry run would be seen positively across the board, but not terribly enthusiastically. He actually gets a majority of Tea Party voters (53/17), scoring better among them than Palin, and a majority among black voters, as does Giuliani, who also gets a majority of 30-39YOs. Otherwise, support for any of the three is rather tepid, at least at this point.
One interesting point: Black voters are enthusiastic about all three potential bids, by a majority in each case. They don’t appear to be satisfied with the current field.
>>> Looking forward to your ZOT in the upcoming purge. Cheers!
Well bless your heart.
It’s looking as though the fix is in. I don’t know who Ras is polling, but, it ain’t me, nor millions of others.
This is one of the best articles I've seen and it does apply to Sarah. The comments are so much more positive that I came away very optimistic about Sarah. The folks there are sure she will run and that she will win and they say how she will do it.
Now YOU'RE even quoting Palin. I *knew* we could turn you around! :-)
Cheers!
For implying that the survey should automatically be taken in good faith.
Palin can make the GOP the third party if she wants to.
1. Faith in God
2. Certainty of opposition
3. Courage
4. Meaningful preparation
5. Unconventional weapons
These are the five stones that David used against Goliath.
Hey cool, that 3 more than any of the other candidates.
I think Bachman may have one of Romneys as a keepsake.
Sorry, you made a great biblical reference and I could not resist.
I like the comparison to David that you posted
Right on :) Glad we agree
Ya do not get me started on Frank Luntz! Prior to a few years at Fox, he basically was 10+ years at NBC etc. He always has more dems in his groups as well. Putting the buzzer in peoples hands???
Agree 100% - all great points.
As for education, it's a daily process, but no, I do not actively campaign in classes for any candidate. If students ask to make a pitch for volunteers I let them. So far, the only one (last semester) who did so was a Mitch Daniels kid. I was the sponsor of YRs, but I'm not on campus enough anymore to be a club sponsor---it's unfair to the club.
Yeah, don’t get me wrong, I would even vote for Ron Paul over the anointed one. But I think Palin supporters ignore this hostility by women at a cost. It is real.
The five stones idea is not mine. I got it from the article I referenced. However, I sure would like to spread it around.
He’s [Luntz] nothing more than an opportunist who happened to get the attention of a Fox news TV host.
Get it out there girl!
It hits the mark, bulls eye
He first played the Rasmussen quote claiming although GOP voters liked her, liked her stances, and liked the way she fought, they (45%) didn't want her as their candidate.
In the next sentence, Rasmussen then went on to say that no candidate could win without her blessing if she didn't run.
Rush's comment: "Doesn't anyone else see the disconnect in all this?"
He explained the obvious disconnect and silliness of the survey, and as usual, Rush just nailed it.
Just doing my job. Nothing personal.
I don't pay a whole lot of attention to the Moron Wing of the Republican party.
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