Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Look How Obama's Re-Election Odds Exploded Higher After The Bin Laden News
Business Insider ^ | 05/02/2011 | Joe Weisenthal

Posted on 05/02/2011 9:58:04 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

On InTrade -- the prediction market site where people bet on various outcomes -- the odds Obama is re-elected exploded higher last night after the news of Osama Bin Laden's capture and death.

Check it out.



And this is the point where serious political analysts say things like: Well, it's a long way until the election and that it's ultimately the economy that will decide things.

And there's probably some validity to that. But obviously this was a huge moment for the President, and the contrast he can draw -- working on this plan for months -- compared to the other candidates is pretty sharp.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: obama; osamabinladin; reelection
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-79 next last
To: RC2

I would actually be a little worried if people didn’t rally around President for at least day.. It is patriotism(which is good) more than anything right now.. Eventually things will get back to normal and his polls will drop...


21 posted on 05/02/2011 10:07:20 AM PDT by scbison
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
He was holding this for October 2012.

What's he going to do on the eve of the election now?

22 posted on 05/02/2011 10:08:17 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Under Islam, there is no separation of church and state. The church IS the state.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Blood of Tyrants

“Bush the elder was at +90% approval rating after the first Gulf War. Look what good that did him.”

Leftists and other assorted liberals were still pissed at Reagan and Bush for starting the AIDs epidemic.


23 posted on 05/02/2011 10:08:41 AM PDT by LottieDah (If only those who speak so eloquently on behalf of animals would do so on behalf of the unborn.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Joe yeah right,Who put the dead or alive order out and had the mechanism in place?

The GOP, long as bonehead is in the chair, we are done!


24 posted on 05/02/2011 10:08:55 AM PDT by Cheetahcat ( November 4 2008 ,A date which will live in Infamy.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RC2

I think your assessment is exactly correct.

It’s an American thing. We all know the military took control of the operation. Americans aren’t crediting Obama with this except, as I pointed out in another comment, he DID give a final approval....I suppose that’s something.

But it ain’t gonna win the man the next election, silly to even think it will.


25 posted on 05/02/2011 10:09:53 AM PDT by Fishtalk (http://patfish.blogspot.com/2011/02/freerepublic-ping-list-compilation.html-Freep Ping Blog post)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: nolib1776

“Prices at the gas pumps will soon take care of any poll bumps.”

Obama will be peeing out $1 gasoline by Memorial Day.


26 posted on 05/02/2011 10:10:22 AM PDT by LottieDah (If only those who speak so eloquently on behalf of animals would do so on behalf of the unborn.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: re_nortex
People are bad at foretelling the future. They don't get better at it in a herd. Markets are nothing more than herds and their predictions no better than those of any individual. No doubt the herd thinks Osama’s death helps Obama politically. Very likely, the herd is wrong. Intrade doesn't give us any useful information about 2012, or anything else.
27 posted on 05/02/2011 10:10:38 AM PDT by fluffdaddy (Who died and made the Supreme Court God?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: Fishtalk

“can’t take it away from Obama.”

He will benefit through 2012. This will make it very difficult to make a national security case against Obama, when he did in 2 years what Bush couldn’t in 7. It may not be fair, but it happened on his watch.


28 posted on 05/02/2011 10:11:13 AM PDT by nbenyo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
I'd sell Obama short on that price spike. It's going to be unemployment, general inflation and the price of energy.

Some of ObL's admirers will decide to join him in 72-virgin land and kill themselves in a spectacular way. People won't feel any safer.

29 posted on 05/02/2011 10:11:21 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

Someone just reminded me here at work about what happened with the 1st George Bush. His approval rating after winning the 1st Gulf war was at 91%. However in the end his bid for reelection failed.

He said in the end the Gulf war didn’t help the 1st George Bush get his second term.

So there is HOPE that history will repeat itself in the 2012 election!


30 posted on 05/02/2011 10:12:01 AM PDT by avalonmistmoon
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Wait until the dusts settles and the true details trickle out into the public.


31 posted on 05/02/2011 10:12:08 AM PDT by Robert Lomax
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Blood of Tyrants

Yes,

And I’m glad this happened now because Americans have such short attention spans that by November of next year they will have forgotten about this.


32 posted on 05/02/2011 10:12:16 AM PDT by NotTallTex
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Wait until the dusts settles and the true details trickle out into the public.


33 posted on 05/02/2011 10:12:18 AM PDT by Robert Lomax
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Like i’ve been saying, polls are nothing more than a “mind control” method.


34 posted on 05/02/2011 10:12:23 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Hussein cannot live long on this cycle....it will give a bump, but gas and food prices still suck, his deathcare law blows, and the REAL HEROES are the military, not the chump who got out of their way.

Look, bin Laden was killed on Hussein’s WATCH, not BECAUSE of Hussein. The American people will realize that fact.


35 posted on 05/02/2011 10:13:14 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Blood of Tyrants
Bush the elder was at +90% approval rating after the first Gulf War. Look what good that did him.

Exactly! The recession in 1991 would be downright rosy compared to today.

36 posted on 05/02/2011 10:13:40 AM PDT by wagglebee ("A political party cannot be all things to all people." -- Ronald Reagan, 3/1/75)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I hear the Muzz-Bros in Egypt are pretty riled up over this (bin Laden). I never have thought that Egypt was going to end well.

Keep your eyes now on Egypt and Libya. These are Obama’s wars.


37 posted on 05/02/2011 10:14:57 AM PDT by Reagan69
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: E. Pluribus Unum

My eyes are playing tricks on me. I read “eve of destruction” not “eve of the election”.


38 posted on 05/02/2011 10:15:27 AM PDT by Califreak (You can't go swimming in a baseball pool)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

-— and Gasoline prices dropped to under $1.00
!!!!!!!!!!!!


39 posted on 05/02/2011 10:16:17 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
High ratings don't always last...


40 posted on 05/02/2011 10:16:38 AM PDT by Fresh Wind ('People have got to know whether or not their President is a crook.' Richard M. Nixon)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-79 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson