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AlaskaPoll: Palin at 61% Unfavorable
USelectionnews.com ^ | Thursday, April 21st, 2011 | Alexandra Taylor

Posted on 04/21/2011 8:56:07 AM PDT by unique

Sarah Palin may be having some trouble with the voting demographic from her own home state of Alaska. According to results released Wednesday, the Dittman Research Corporation’s AlaskaPoll showed the former Governor and potential 2012 Presidential candidate rated at 61% unfavorably by a survey taken between March 3 and March 17th of approximately 400 Alaskans.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; alaska; murkowski; palin; poll; quitter; sarahpalin; unfavorable
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To: unique
I’m concerned...

Photobucket

101 posted on 04/21/2011 12:39:09 PM PDT by death2tyrants
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To: TexasCajun
Bought and paid for by Lisa Murkowski PAC.

Bought and paid for by Lisa Murkowski pissant's PAC.

102 posted on 04/21/2011 12:40:56 PM PDT by Arrowhead1952 (CW II will be the conservatives against the communists and Marxists.)
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To: unique
Palin keeps preaching to the choir - I’m concerned about those outside the choir that are needed to win.

Not hundreds, not thousands, but tens of thousands of Americans regularly turn up in person to hear Palin speak because of her politics.

And she says stuff like this:

"Less than 90 days after the election, in his State of the Union address, President Obama told us, nah, the era of big government is here to stay, and we're going to pay for it whether we want to or not. Instead of reducing spending, they're going to "Win The Future" by "investing" more of your hard-earned money in some cockamamie harebrained ideas like more solar shingles, more really fast trains - some things that venture capitalists will tell you are non-starters. We're flat broke, but he thinks these solar shingles and really fast trains will magically save us. So now he's shouting "all aboard" his bullet train to bankruptcy. "Win The Future"? W.T.F. is about right." -- excerpt from Sarah Palin's speech to Tea Partiers in Madison, Wisconsin, on Apr. 15, 2011

Show those words, say those words, to general Joe and Jane Blow Americans without telling them who said it, and see how many won't be cheering it and saying, "Exactly!" The mud that the MSM slings at Palin washes off; the things Palin says shine through and stand strong. The more she speaks, the "choir" will probably grow because the song Palin is singing is also THEIR song. They have to hear it first, though, and sooner or later, they will.

103 posted on 04/21/2011 3:02:23 PM PDT by Finny ("Raise hell. Vote smart." -- Ted Nugent)
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To: unique

What result do you think they were after ...ROLL EYES


104 posted on 04/21/2011 3:43:04 PM PDT by Friendofgeorge (Sarah Palin 2012, please lord)
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To: Arrowhead1952
Poor Pissant. ...I miss the ole boy.
105 posted on 04/21/2011 3:46:24 PM PDT by TexasCajun
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To: unique

If Palin runs she will win the Alaska Primary, and then she will take Alaska in the General. Alaskans vote with with their wallets. Every Alaskan knows that Palin would be the President that would be most supportive of Alaskan oil development; therefore, you would see a lot of Alaskan Democrats voting for Palin.
The problem with Romney and any other potential candidates, from the Alaskan point of view, is that all except palin will use the Alaska oil fields as a sacrificial lamb. The Republican’s will be willing to give up on Alaskan oil development in exchange for more convenient oil fields. Palin will work to promote all available oil resources. If Alaska is not allowed to develop its oil it will remain a welfare state.


106 posted on 04/21/2011 7:44:58 PM PDT by Sarah-bot (What would Edward Rooney do?)
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To: unique

I had a course in college named “Lying with Statistics.” It’s object was to alert us to the ways in which results can be manipulated.

I would only trust a poll if I took it myself.

These aren’t attempts to sample public opinion. These are attempts to *shape* public opinion.


107 posted on 04/21/2011 7:50:44 PM PDT by dsc (Any attempt to move a government to the left is a crime against humanity.)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

Yep. It also sets a horrible precedent for the next conservative governor. You’ve got to stand up to the bully or he’ll just get worse.


108 posted on 04/21/2011 7:56:59 PM PDT by Scutter
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To: heshtesh

This is like when Saddam Hussein got 99% of the vote when his regime was running Iraq.


109 posted on 04/21/2011 7:59:21 PM PDT by dhuynh73 (Reagan Country)
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To: TexasCajun
Poor Pissant. ...I miss the ole boy.

I imagine pissant [FWIW] lurks here and probably has an orgasm every time there is an anti Palin article posted here.

110 posted on 04/22/2011 4:37:26 AM PDT by Arrowhead1952 (CW II will be the conservatives against the communists and Marxists.)
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To: OldDeckHand

“What I did say is that a sample size of 400 isn’t any less accurate than most national polls with respect to margin of error.”

LOL, You are completely incorrect. Most national polls use much larger sample sizes which guarantee more favorable margins of error.


111 posted on 04/22/2011 8:10:48 AM PDT by rbmillerjr (Murdering unborn children is the highest sacrament in the liberal religion.)
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To: rbmillerjr
"Most national polls use much larger sample sizes which guarantee more favorable margins of error."

Let me guess, public school, right?

You do realize that the sample size's relation to the the population size is one variables that determines MOE, right? Larger population groups require larger sample sizes. Does that mean a a population group of roughly 550K Alaskan adults requires the same size sample as a national poll measuring roughly 233M adults, in order to net a similar MOE produced by most national polls? Absolutely not.

Most national polls have a margin of error between 3% and 6%. This poll has a margin of error of 4.9%, which is HARDLY out of industry standards.

112 posted on 04/22/2011 8:56:49 AM PDT by OldDeckHand
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To: OldDeckHand

Nice rounding lol.

3 percent versus 5 percent....most national polls of any serious merit poll to the 3% level. So, you are either ignorant of polling or you have an agenda.


113 posted on 04/22/2011 10:57:04 AM PDT by rbmillerjr (Murdering unborn children is the highest sacrament in the liberal religion.)
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To: rbmillerjr
"So, you are either ignorant of polling or you have an agenda."

Well, I'll have to take you at your word. If anyone here is an authority on ignorance, you've easily established that you're it.

114 posted on 04/22/2011 11:07:37 AM PDT by OldDeckHand
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To: rbmillerjr

BTW, as I stated before, you are absolutely WRONG on your information on polling.

While it seems mathematically correct, it is not.

Margin of error is determined by the number of randomly surveyed people. Depending on methodology, you get a “margin of error” percentage.

The population is not a factor in the polling. Only if those surveyed equal more than 5% of the population of the target of the survey does the target population (state, region, nation) come into play.


115 posted on 04/22/2011 11:08:37 AM PDT by rbmillerjr (Murdering unborn children is the highest sacrament in the liberal religion.)
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To: Rennes Templar

“If she is that unpopular, quitting as gov would have raised her poll numbers. If folks are unhappy that she quit as gov,
that means they liked her as gov. Depends on how the poll was worded.”

That makes sense — proves that people were annoyed at losing a great governor...


116 posted on 04/24/2011 1:11:25 AM PDT by SarahPalinForPresident2012 (She's runnin')
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