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IMF Says 10% Increase In Food Prices In Poor Countries Means A 100% Increase In Riots
The Economic Policy Journal ^ | Friday, April 1, 2011

Posted on 04/01/2011 2:25:19 PM PDT by blam

IMF Says 10% Increase In Food Prices In Poor Countries Means A 100% Increase In Riots

Friday, April 1, 2011

IMF economists, Rabah Arezki and Markus Brueckner, are out with a new study. They looked at food prices and political unrest between the years 1970 and 2007, and found data which points to indications that a 10% increase in international food prices corresponds to an added 0.5 in anti-government protests over the following year in the low-income world — a 100% increase from the annual average.

You have to take empirical studies with a grain of salt, since there are no constants in the realm of human action. Just because something occurred over the last 37 years, it doesn't mean it will occur in year 38. However, empirical studies may point us toward underlying cause and effect relationships we may want to study. Although Arezku and Brueckner studied only food prices, it is hard to imagine that food prices climbed in a vacuum in most of these cases. It was probably full out double digit price inflation.

So although Fed economists may think that there is no problem with inflation and that it quickly finds its way through the entire economy, not hurting anyone, they may want to take a shot at an alternative explanation as to why the masses seem to get pretty upset when prices climb by more than 10%.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: food; inflation; preparedness; revolts; revolution
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1 posted on 04/01/2011 2:25:22 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam
Hmmmm.

Wal-Mart CEO Warns Of Serious Inflation In The Coming Months

2 posted on 04/01/2011 2:27:25 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam
I'd say then you better bring a gun to a food fight.

May the strongest survive...

3 posted on 04/01/2011 2:27:52 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (I am declaring 2011 to be the year of ME!)
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Oh gee, this is such a surprise, who knew, uh?


4 posted on 04/01/2011 2:29:27 PM PDT by elpinta (John 17:3)
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To: blam

Not our problem. We have hungry people at here. Defund the alphabet agencies and cease ALL foreign aid.


5 posted on 04/01/2011 2:32:28 PM PDT by ronnyquest (I spent 20 years in the Army fighting the enemies of freedom only to see fascism elected at home.)
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To: blam
Just as Zer0, the Marxists, and Cloward Piven planned.
6 posted on 04/01/2011 2:34:33 PM PDT by Navy Patriot (Sarah and the Conservatives will rock your world.)
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To: ronnyquest

Starving people lead to riots. Wow, would never have guessed. But not to worry. By 2050 our energy consumption will go down 5%. And it will only cost 2 trillion dollars.

Let them eat windmills.


7 posted on 04/01/2011 2:35:58 PM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (HaveTs you terrorized a terrorist today?)
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To: blam

Not to worry.

A modest investment in Archer Daniels Midland common will hedge the food cost increase.


8 posted on 04/01/2011 2:37:22 PM PDT by bert (K.E. N.P. N.C. D.E. +12 ....( History is a process, not an event ))
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To: blam

Walmart up and so is Hershey’s chocolate. Hershey’s also announced due to sugar doubling in price, they’re having to raise their candy prices 10%... amazing this comes just in time for all the Easter candy sales.

Victory over inflation gardens!


9 posted on 04/01/2011 2:37:46 PM PDT by bgill (Kenyan Parliament - how could a man born in Kenya who is not even a native American become the POTUS)
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To: ronnyquest
Defund the alphabet agencies and cease ALL foreign aid.

Let the private sector do it better and cheaper. If they serve biblical teachings as a side, even better!

10 posted on 04/01/2011 2:40:45 PM PDT by magslinger (What Would Stephen Decatur Do?)
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To: blam

I heard from two people that their banks won’t be offering CDs anymore. Not a direct cause and effect but I suspect there’s a connect the dots.


11 posted on 04/01/2011 2:42:29 PM PDT by bgill (Kenyan Parliament - how could a man born in Kenya who is not even a native American become the POTUS)
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To: blam

What about gas prices that have doubled since Obama was elected?


12 posted on 04/01/2011 2:42:29 PM PDT by unique
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To: blam

IMF Says 10% Increase In Food Prices In Poor Countries (and in Burger Kings in the USA) Means A 100% Increase In Riots

Fixed the headline.


13 posted on 04/01/2011 2:44:35 PM PDT by Red in Blue PA (Obama has fired more cruise missiles than any other Nobel peace prize winner.)
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To: gov_bean_ counter

Yeah, sounds like extortion. Pay up or you’ll see more riots.


14 posted on 04/01/2011 2:56:32 PM PDT by GnuHere
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To: blam

No mystery where this is going. I’m sure it ends with a pitch for Uncle Sucker to fork up a couple hundred billion in food subsidies to stabalize prices and avert all these ~scary~ riots.


15 posted on 04/01/2011 2:59:19 PM PDT by circlecity
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To: circlecity

Lets keep burning Corn.


16 posted on 04/01/2011 3:15:32 PM PDT by scooby321
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To: blam

This world my return to caveman days where it is the survival of the fittest.


17 posted on 04/01/2011 3:17:02 PM PDT by Terry Mross (Only a SECOND party will get my vote.)
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To: Terry Mross

Meant to type “may return to caveman days”.


18 posted on 04/01/2011 3:19:03 PM PDT by Terry Mross (Only a SECOND party will get my vote.)
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To: Terry Mross
This world my return to caveman days where it is the survival of the fittest.

That might not be so bad. Liberals are soft and fat (like Michael Moore).

And just think how interesting life becomes once you comprehend that you may not live to nightfall unless you are very clever, very fit, and very focused.

Much better than anything Hollywood can create!

19 posted on 04/01/2011 3:24:01 PM PDT by SonOfDarkSkies
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To: circlecity

Does anybody remember the race riots of the late 60’s; sections near ghettos were looted & burnt; kinda open war in some areas from both sides. Wonder what will happen when White People get upset and hungry? Heck I have friends I believe they can’t wait for the time to come; nutty but true.


20 posted on 04/01/2011 4:05:35 PM PDT by Eska
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