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NO WAY OBAMA WINS IN 2012
The Hill ^ | March 15,2011 | Dick Morris

Posted on 03/16/2011 7:38:44 PM PDT by Hojczyk

The combination of high oil and gasoline prices, rising food costs, higher health insurance premiums and the likelihood of future inflation has jarred consumer confidence, creating a major crisis for the Obama administration.

The collapse has been sudden and dramatic.

In December, the consumer confidence scale in the Rasmussen Poll stood at 81.7 percent. But in January, euphoria set in. Obama compromised on the George W. Bush tax cuts, the nation seemed to be coming together after the Giffords shooting and a Republican House sat poised to stop any new spending or social experimentation. On Jan. 11, the Rasmussen confidence index rose to 88.3.

Then reality dawned. Unemployment remained persistently high, economic growth was largely stagnant and partisan bickering resumed. The confidence level on Feb. 11 dropped to 84.5.

Then the bottom fell out. The daily Rasmussen polling reflected a drop day after day until, by March 11, the index had fallen to 73.1, its lowest level since it registered a 69 in July of 2009, in the depths of the recession.

The false dawn of January has faded and the hard, cold reality of a likely second recession is setting in. But this recession is accompanied by the likelihood of inflation, a stagflation syndrome that will probably grip America for years. And which will likely take a manmade recession, on the order of 1979-82, to counter it.

Will Obama get reelected? No way! In the teeth of the economic catastrophe that is shaping up, his chances are doomed.

The tsunami in Japan, perhaps the greatest tragedy since 9/11, will further impede any prospect for economic growth. There will be a demand for spending to repair the devastation of the quake. But Japan is tied with China as the world's second largest economy, generating 12 percent of the global GDP. With Japan neither producing nor buying for the foreseeable future, the drag on the global economy will be profound.

Worse, the Fed and the administration are out of tools to help. Interest rates are already at zero. Fiscal stimulus -- the deficit -- already consumes 40 percent of our total government outlays. The Fed is printing money at a ferocious rate under its qualitative easing (QE-2) program. What is left to do?

Only dramatic cuts in the federal deficit, a rollback of regulations that cripple small and community banks, a cancellation of future tax increase plans, a big reduction in federal spending, repeal of ObamaCare, freeing manufacturing from the prospect of carbon taxation and unleashing our domestic energy potential can solve our problems. But Obama is not about to undo his legacy of disaster for the American people.

And then there is the longer-term oil and gasoline crisis. Instability in the Middle East is going to mount, not recede. The chances of disruption in Saudi oil supplies and the possibility of an overthrow of the regime (triggered by the best efforts of Iran) will continue to force prices upward. The drag on the economy and the rising consumer discontent in the United States spell further problems for the Obama presidency.

As the Rev. Jeremiah Wright said -- outrageously and wrongly -- about 9/11, "the chickens are coming home to roost." The policies of this administration -- the disastrous overspending, the irresponsible borrowing, the social experimentation -- all are magnifying and amplifying the impact of the recession. Relief is not going to come anytime soon.

Instead, the true legacy of the Obama years is likely to be stagflation and an entire decade wiped out by his policies, budget and programs. Long after he is gone in 2013, we will still be repairing the damage of his terrible decisions.


TOPICS: Government
KEYWORDS: bho2012; dickmorris; giffords
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To: Snickering Hound
4 years ago he said Hilldawg was a lock.

To his credit, I don't know anyone who suspected the depths of racism in this Country.

101 posted on 03/16/2011 9:55:29 PM PDT by Prokopton
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To: advance_copy
Sarah Louise Palin

Born February 11, 1964 (Meets the 35 years Minimum age Requirement)

in Sandpointe, ID (Meets the Jus Soli Requirement)

Parents were
Charles R Heath, born in ID
Sarah Sheeran, born in WI

Both parents were US Citizens at the time of her birth (Meets the Jus Sanguninis Requirement)

Sarah Palin is a NATURAL BORN CITIZEN unlike Comrade Barry.

102 posted on 03/16/2011 10:01:16 PM PDT by ASA Vet (Natural-born citizens, are those born in the country, of parents who are citizens. De Vattel)
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To: PaleoBob

[[
Never underestimate the stupidity of that 10-15 percent of the voting public that is non-aligned, mush-brained and VERY susceptible to doing what the lamers in the lamestream media tell them to do on election day.

Simpletons hold the outcome of national elections in their hands, and thus do simpletons dictate our futures to us. Scary.]]

VERY very scary indfeed- I’ve always said- never ever, under any circumstances, underestimate the stupidity of those who time and time keep electing the same cancerous dolts back into office over and over again- The fact is that obama is still beating republicans in polls on likely voters DESPITE the FACT that obama has arrogantly given America them iddle finger, spit in our faces, and told us point blank to sit down and shut the hell up and not question him- Yet the opeople still prefer him over a republican? What the hell is wrong with htis country? His poll numbers should be well below ANY republican’s numbers after what trhis arrogant narcisist has doen to htis country- but nope- the blind just keep following his voice as though he can do no wrong

He could defecate on the podium, pick it up and sling it at hte crowd, and they would cheer him on I swear- I can’t for thel ife of me udnerstand how he is still even in office after a disasterous 2 years of his IGNORING the public and ramming govenrment on us, and spitting in our faces while he turns his back and goes off to some party on taxpayer’s dimes’ while millions are out of work-

Nope- I have lsot all faith in the voting public- IF he gets reelected, after all the crap he has pulled on this country, after all his arrogant tirades, his whining when people question him, his expansion of government AGAINST the iwll of the people,- I will never vote again- there will be no sense in it IF people are so guillible that they fall for his BS a second time- the first time I was simply dissappointed i nthe peopel that they couldn’t see throughb his BS and false promises- but my gosh- these people are still backinh him?


103 posted on 03/16/2011 10:02:35 PM PDT by CottShop (Scientific belief does not constitute scientific evidence, nor does it convey scientific knowledge)
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To: sickoflibs
“Something tells me Republicans will blow it.”

Hard to beat an incumbent. He will lie, blame others for the problems and spend 100 million on the campaign.

104 posted on 03/16/2011 10:08:48 PM PDT by garjog
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To: Hojczyk

“Will Obama get reelected? No way! In the teeth of the economic catastrophe that is shaping up, his chances are doomed”

Perhaps this explains Obama’s increasing detachment from the responsibilities of office (not that he ever knew how to handle them in the first place).

If he’s perceptive enough to understand that he probably doesn’t have much chance of re-election - and I believe he is - he’s probably come to the realization that “if that’s all there is”, it’s time to break out the booze and have a ball (if that’s all, apologies to Peggy Lee).

I would expect to see him golfing a lot more between now and January 2013.


105 posted on 03/16/2011 10:14:45 PM PDT by Grumplestiltskin (I may look new, but it's only deja vu!)
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To: Astronaut
No one wants the Muslim Marxist to lose more than I do, but Nov 2012 is a long way away. The left wing media will do everything it can to help Hussein. We also need a credible candidate. I haven’t seen one yet.

This is what really gives me the willies about 2012. Those of us paying attention will vote for just about anyone but 0, but we need someone who has a Reagan's ability to reach out and connect with people, and I just don't see it in any of our guys yet. Who's going to reach out and tell it like it is to the apathetic masses if there aren't enough remorseful independents who won't make the same mistake twice?
106 posted on 03/16/2011 10:21:58 PM PDT by Trod Upon (Obama: Making the Carter malaise look good. Misery Index in 3...2...1)
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To: Hojczyk
The combination of high oil and gasoline prices, rising food costs, higher health insurance premiums and the likelihood of future inflation has jarred consumer confidence, creating a major crisis for the Obama administration.

But isn't $5.00 gas, $6.00 bread, and $2,000.00 health premiums just the "NEW NORMAL"?

107 posted on 03/16/2011 10:23:34 PM PDT by Mark (Don't argue with my posts. I typed while under sniper fire..)
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To: Hojczyk

Right now, I don’t see any of the anointed GOP front-runners beating him, certainly not Romney or Huckster.

Palin at least does have some potential upside to challenge, but it’s going to be tough.


108 posted on 03/16/2011 10:26:12 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: dfwgator
Palin at least does have some potential upside to challenge, but it’s going to be tough.

I believe Palin will battle and win the Republican nomination. I believe right out of the gate she will be like Patton, always on offense. That said, it will be a herculean task for her to win. She will have the MSM in its most rabid mode in history. The Marxist will somehow steal tens of billions of the unspent stimulus money and funnel it into his utterly corrupt campaign.

Sarah can handle all of that well, but what will give her the biggest problem will be the elites on the Republican side. The Bushites and other RINOs will mount a full court attack on all fronts against Sarah. It will be unrelenting right up until the end. The Socialist Bushes along with the other disgusting RINOs and virtually all the RNC leadership will be non-stop behind the scene trying to destroy Sarah.

Sarah will win because two reasons: One, she is a genius at political warfare; and two, enough Americans will see through the lies of the MSM, the Marxist and the contemptible GOP RINOS to push Sarah to victory (EV > 370)

109 posted on 03/16/2011 10:39:27 PM PDT by sand88
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To: sand88

Can’t say yet that I share your optimism, but I’m willing to see what she does in the primaries, I think she does have the advantage of low expectations, so if she can surprise people, she will rise fast.


110 posted on 03/16/2011 10:44:27 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: Mountain Troll

The GOP is whipped by the media and TV. They try to do anything and they are attacked. Keep watching TV because it helps Obama. Fox is no better. I hear it all the time about Texas this and that well TX RINO like Perry, Kay Bailey and Coryn are turning TX in California cause the voters are too lazy to kick the open border RINOs out. They are distracted by Football.


111 posted on 03/16/2011 10:47:58 PM PDT by Frantzie (HD TV - Total Brain-washing now in High Def. 3-D Coming soon)
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To: dfwgator
Let's hope Palin "Wins the Future" and is shown in as our President.

Think. Can we really survive another four years of the Wiener in Chief, the anti leader, who flies his personal trainer from Chicago to DC, constantly plays golf and takes "working" vacations in Rio while the world is in meltdown and chaos?


112 posted on 03/16/2011 10:49:18 PM PDT by garjog
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To: dfwgator
Can’t say yet that I share your optimism, but I’m willing to see what she does in the primaries, I think she does have the advantage of low expectations, so if she can surprise people, she will rise fast.

I understand your concerns. I knew of Sarah before the 08 election. I suggest you view her youtube debates from 06 for governor. You will see a fearless fighter who surprises her opponents. Sarah has always been underestimated. Which is good for her.

If you haven't read her first book, then please do. It's a fascinating read. It left me convinced she is a true fiscal conservative who truly loves her Country.

113 posted on 03/16/2011 10:53:06 PM PDT by sand88
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To: Clintonfatigued

I pray that he’s exposed and impeached. Just not getting re-elected isn’t enough.


114 posted on 03/16/2011 10:55:53 PM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: sand88

Believe me, I’m rooting for her, I certainly don’t want Romney or Huckster.


115 posted on 03/16/2011 10:56:03 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: Windflier

While I appreciate your fighting spirit it will take a very unusual and charismatic conservative who could rally the nation to turn our nation around.

I have been an optimist for four decades but I just don’t have it in me anymore. I am not raining on your parade but I feel horrible for my small children. When we were born as Americans it was considered winning the lottery of life. They were born as future slaves to the debt of our bloated government and entitlements. Debt has consequences and we are in serious danger of losing our big advantage with the status of the dollar.

Consider for a second that the “energized GOP House” who were just propelled to victory by people like us who were upset about government spending can’t even find the stones to push through a 2% spending cut. 2%!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Are you kidding me?

These are the people we are going to look towards to save our nation? We are literally approaching the point of no return and I don’t think the GOP can reverse the trend. Obama is a popular target and his administration is obviously a trainwreck of radical liberalism but he has mostly accellerated by a decade or two the point we were headed for all along...... under both parties.

I simply don’t expect the American people to wake up until it’s too late. The media is only concerned with the 24 hour news cycle and partisan bickering and they rarely report on the really important news.

Fact - Any Republican who proposes cutting entitlements will be voted out on their butts in a minute. Watch how people on this forum respond to common-sense discussions about cutting social security. It is an absolute fact that entitlements alone will bankrupt our nation. They don’t care.

There are not enough of us left who would gladly tighten our belts and live with inconvenience to make sure our children had a promising future.

I would love to see President Palin but all who underestimate the ability of the MSM to destroy people in this country do not understand the reality of America. Look how many conservatives don’t like her and listen to the reasoning.

I applaud your attitude but urge you to talk with your neighbors. This is a forum with some incredibly informed and reasonable conservatives. It is not representative of our nation and when twice as many people know more about what Charlie Sheen is doing than what the President and his administration are doing we have a serious problem.

Sorry, just calling it like I see it now. I really hate to say it but the best thing for my kids might be for this whole bloated beast “we” allowed to be created in our name to simply implode. There are plenty of us out here in flyover country that will survive and hopefully return to the constitution with less government and more freedom. When they can’t cut 2% out of this budget we are in trouble.

Best wishes to you and yours


116 posted on 03/16/2011 11:22:04 PM PDT by volunbeer
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To: LibsRJerks

My question is ...can he even get on the ballot?

People ought to be making a STINK about this — DEMAND that we see the BC. I know it seems a waste of time ..but honestly, how the he** can he qualify??

This this little nugget from an article on Jack Cashill’s new book, Deconstructing Obama, that ought to tweak your interest.

“And when lawyers in Kenya trying to track down anyone who might have a claim on the estate of Barack Obama Sr. contacted Obama’s mother for the usual birth-certificate information about her son, how come she couldn’t provide it? (by the way, Cashill pulls this troubling, but little-noticed incident, right out of Dreams. also interesting — or is “explosive” the better word.)”

Maybe the reason Barry hasn’t produced a valid certificate of birth is that it doesn’t exist.


117 posted on 03/17/2011 12:28:12 AM PDT by Neville72 (uist)
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To: Mountain Troll

Obama will win a second term-—The Republicans will select some clown like—you name it—and the MSM and turn them into a bumbling Bible Fanatic Gun owner racist fool—the public will go with old smiling Obama for another 4 years of progressive unionism and robbing the treasury. Nothing will change. This time the Democrats will control the house again-— That or—
He will rig the election and win-—or he will postpone the election because of a crisis and rule by decree. I put nothing past him. Look to see all gold seized in 2013, and all guns in 2014. On the plus side—no more boring elections to worry about and lots of long lines at the stores for a few goods. Americans will no longer be fat.


118 posted on 03/17/2011 1:09:11 AM PDT by Forward the Light Brigade (Into the Jaws of H*ll)
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To: Forward the Light Brigade
The Republicans will select some clown like—you name it

I wouldn't put it past them to nominate John McCain again.I know it sounds absurd,but doesn't absurd seem to be the norm these days?

119 posted on 03/17/2011 2:33:45 AM PDT by Uncle Meat
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To: Windflier
Look you name calling little jerk, live a few years and do a little reading, you might learn something, but I have my doubts. And you are the butt hole that started calling people names. If you cannot be grown up enough to discuss the facts as the facts, you are in a sad shape.a punk is always a punk, and you sure fit the description.
120 posted on 03/17/2011 2:45:48 AM PDT by org.whodat
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