Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

NO WAY OBAMA WINS IN 2012
The Hill ^ | March 15,2011 | Dick Morris

Posted on 03/16/2011 7:38:44 PM PDT by Hojczyk

The combination of high oil and gasoline prices, rising food costs, higher health insurance premiums and the likelihood of future inflation has jarred consumer confidence, creating a major crisis for the Obama administration.

The collapse has been sudden and dramatic.

In December, the consumer confidence scale in the Rasmussen Poll stood at 81.7 percent. But in January, euphoria set in. Obama compromised on the George W. Bush tax cuts, the nation seemed to be coming together after the Giffords shooting and a Republican House sat poised to stop any new spending or social experimentation. On Jan. 11, the Rasmussen confidence index rose to 88.3.

Then reality dawned. Unemployment remained persistently high, economic growth was largely stagnant and partisan bickering resumed. The confidence level on Feb. 11 dropped to 84.5.

Then the bottom fell out. The daily Rasmussen polling reflected a drop day after day until, by March 11, the index had fallen to 73.1, its lowest level since it registered a 69 in July of 2009, in the depths of the recession.

The false dawn of January has faded and the hard, cold reality of a likely second recession is setting in. But this recession is accompanied by the likelihood of inflation, a stagflation syndrome that will probably grip America for years. And which will likely take a manmade recession, on the order of 1979-82, to counter it.

Will Obama get reelected? No way! In the teeth of the economic catastrophe that is shaping up, his chances are doomed.

The tsunami in Japan, perhaps the greatest tragedy since 9/11, will further impede any prospect for economic growth. There will be a demand for spending to repair the devastation of the quake. But Japan is tied with China as the world's second largest economy, generating 12 percent of the global GDP. With Japan neither producing nor buying for the foreseeable future, the drag on the global economy will be profound.

Worse, the Fed and the administration are out of tools to help. Interest rates are already at zero. Fiscal stimulus -- the deficit -- already consumes 40 percent of our total government outlays. The Fed is printing money at a ferocious rate under its qualitative easing (QE-2) program. What is left to do?

Only dramatic cuts in the federal deficit, a rollback of regulations that cripple small and community banks, a cancellation of future tax increase plans, a big reduction in federal spending, repeal of ObamaCare, freeing manufacturing from the prospect of carbon taxation and unleashing our domestic energy potential can solve our problems. But Obama is not about to undo his legacy of disaster for the American people.

And then there is the longer-term oil and gasoline crisis. Instability in the Middle East is going to mount, not recede. The chances of disruption in Saudi oil supplies and the possibility of an overthrow of the regime (triggered by the best efforts of Iran) will continue to force prices upward. The drag on the economy and the rising consumer discontent in the United States spell further problems for the Obama presidency.

As the Rev. Jeremiah Wright said -- outrageously and wrongly -- about 9/11, "the chickens are coming home to roost." The policies of this administration -- the disastrous overspending, the irresponsible borrowing, the social experimentation -- all are magnifying and amplifying the impact of the recession. Relief is not going to come anytime soon.

Instead, the true legacy of the Obama years is likely to be stagflation and an entire decade wiped out by his policies, budget and programs. Long after he is gone in 2013, we will still be repairing the damage of his terrible decisions.


TOPICS: Government
KEYWORDS: bho2012; dickmorris; giffords
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 141-144 next last
To: org.whodat

Bet me.


41 posted on 03/16/2011 8:14:15 PM PDT by advance_copy (Stand for life or nothing at all)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

Normally, I’m amused to hear Dick Morris get something wrong. Even as often as it happens. In this case, no.

Obama would win if he ran today. It pains me to even think about it, but I believe it.


42 posted on 03/16/2011 8:14:22 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (Which has more wrinkles? Helen Thomas' face or Lawrence O'Donnells' panties?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Ron C.
My bet, Obama will remain as President under Martial Law that he will institute. He is likely the last American President.

Well, then I guess you'll be bugging out to Costa Rica or some other 'safe' spot, eh?

I swear, thinking like that is going to be the death of us.

43 posted on 03/16/2011 8:17:56 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

But Morris forgets Obamamedia always tout the fake numbers Obama wants, not the true numbers as they are...


44 posted on 03/16/2011 8:18:06 PM PDT by Freddd
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk
American runs on "energy".. we have lots and lots of energy..
America is foundering because of loss of domestic produced energy..

Get "someone" in that will produce even "force" domestic energy production..
and the economy will slowly recover..

Capitalism let loose with domestic energy over production will make/force America to recover..
If the Federal government is reduced greatly less taxes will be needed less restrictions will jump start the economy..
If State government is de-socialized.. as well more energy will be RELEASED..

The democrats MUST BE watched closely.. they have fine tuned voter fraud to an art..
The republicans allowed this thru dumb headed Bi-partisan utopian nonsense.. THAT must STOP..
Democrats are NEVER bi-partisan... NEVER..

With these changes America can recover slowly.. other changes can increase the speed of the change..

45 posted on 03/16/2011 8:19:17 PM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued
Will Obama get reelected? No way! In the teeth of the economic catastrophe that is shaping up, his chances are doomed.

Yeah, Obama has no advantages at all. He isn't the incumbent, he doesn't have the MSM in his pocket and determined to undermine any GOP candidate, and Wall Street and the unions don't owe him big for the billions in taxpayer money he's sent their way.

This is all nonsense. Obama is the favorite to win re-election until and unless the GOP finds someone more impressive than Romney and Huckabee to take him on.
46 posted on 03/16/2011 8:19:17 PM PDT by AnotherUnixGeek
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Tzimisce

I hope you are right. It’s the only way this pathetic country is going to wake up. I’m fed up with republicans and americans. If republicans don’t get their heads out of their asses and undo obamacare, I’m gonna quit referring to myself as american. I will have to start considering myself a rebel in the resistance.


47 posted on 03/16/2011 8:20:39 PM PDT by mamelukesabre (Si Vis Pacem Para Bellum (If you want peace prepare for war))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Signalman
No, but he was a dead man walking after the election, then the republican leadership gave him hours of mouth to mouth and mouth to butt in the lame duck and here we are with a republican congress that cannot tie it's collective shoe.
48 posted on 03/16/2011 8:20:53 PM PDT by org.whodat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

The only way Obomba can lose in 2012 is if the MSM turns against him, which is not impossible, if the MSM figures that doing it will help maintain or increase their advertising revenue.


49 posted on 03/16/2011 8:21:49 PM PDT by Revolting cat!
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

4 years ago he said Hilldawg was a lock.

50 posted on 03/16/2011 8:23:23 PM PDT by Snickering Hound
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: advance_copy
...no matter what anyone on TV says, our GOP will nominate Sarah Palin of Alaska. That’s just what’s going to happen. She will defeat Obama. To quote no less [an] authority than Rush Limbaugh, “This woman will MOP THE FLOOR with Obama.”

Yes, Rush said it. And nothing can stop it, nothing.

You are precisely 100% correct, my friend. Anyone on the left or right who doesn't already see this coming, is simply not completely dialed in to observed reality.

The handwriting has been on the wall since the end of the 2008 campaign.

51 posted on 03/16/2011 8:23:38 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: PaleoBob
Amen to that.

And the commies know it, and campaign accordingly, with a complicit propaganda wing in the press.

Hussein has a better that 50-50 shot at reelection, depends on who the GOP puts up, and how big their stones are when it comes to commie hunting.

52 posted on 03/16/2011 8:23:49 PM PDT by Rome2000 (OBAMA IS A COMMUNIST CRYPTO-MUSLIM)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

bkmk


53 posted on 03/16/2011 8:24:02 PM PDT by novemberslady
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Iron Munro

If the DNC doesn’t put him out to pasture, he’s going to spend close to $1 billion to get re-elected. Combined with the normal Democrat rigged elections, that is hard to beat.


54 posted on 03/16/2011 8:24:39 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: LibsRJerks

the only states that will crack down on the birth certificate thing are the ones he has no hope of winning. So it’s not going to do us any good.


55 posted on 03/16/2011 8:25:06 PM PDT by mamelukesabre (Si Vis Pacem Para Bellum (If you want peace prepare for war))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: Newtoidaho
He’ll win alright, the right to be called the biggest douchebag in history.

Certainly the biggest loser in modern times.

And he's leading us. :)
56 posted on 03/16/2011 8:25:42 PM PDT by Tzimisce (Never forget that the American Revolution began when the British tried to disarm the colonists.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Attention Surplus Disorder

Obama’s approval is at 42% today on Rasmussen. An incumbent does not win re-election without being over 50%. Obama has only gotten to that level a few times and only for brief periods. To contrast, George W. Bush was over 50% just about all of 2004.

And, think about it. We’ve had high unemployment, rising gas prices, global instability, a weak dollar, and huge deficits for over two years. No way, not way in this world, that Obama gets re-elected. He is OUT in 2012, no matter who the GOP nominates.

We just need to make sure we get someone good (like Palin). Because, in 2012, voters like you and me will decide who gets to be the next President.


57 posted on 03/16/2011 8:26:01 PM PDT by advance_copy (Stand for life or nothing at all)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued
President be able to do anything by 2013?

Not much by then. Probably just demand that North Korea get out of South Korea and Japan.

58 posted on 03/16/2011 8:26:47 PM PDT by tsowellfan (NHK Tokyo, Japan Live TV... http://bit.ly/idutY6)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Windflier

Yep. All I can say is, don’t blame me, I voted for Palin!


59 posted on 03/16/2011 8:27:52 PM PDT by advance_copy (Stand for life or nothing at all)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 51 | View Replies]

To: org.whodat
Bummer has about a 60% chance of getting reelected.

If you really believe that, you ought to be hightailing it out of the country, shouldn't you? What are you wasting time on FR for?

60 posted on 03/16/2011 8:27:52 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 141-144 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson