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Posted on 03/15/2011 11:05:20 AM PDT by neverdem
Ladies and Gentlemen, the next Black Death, a global pandemic of catastrophic proportions, has reared its ugly head in the Far East, home to many pandemic viruses. This time it is not a 30 per cent death rate, it is an 85 per cent death rate. It is called the Cambodian Avian Flu virus.
Avian Flu has been around for centuries. So have other pandemics. But an 85 per cent mortality rate?
Let us not invent, let us use the World Health Organization's communications:
Avian influenza - situation in Cambodia
9 February 2011 - The Ministry of Health of Cambodia has announced a new confirmed case of human infection with avian influenza A (H5N1) virus.
The 5 year old female, from Prek Leap village, Sangkat Prek Leap, Khan Reussey Keo, Phnom Penh, developed symptoms on 29 January, was admitted to a hospital on 3 February and died 12 hours following admission. The presence of H5N1 virus in nasopharyngeal specimens was confirmed by Institut Pasteur, the National Influenza Centre in Cambodia. The case had been in contact with sick poultry during the 7 days before onset of symptoms.
The Ministry of Health has been coordinating the response. Actions have included contact tracing, collecting specimens from suspected cases, and providing oseltamivir prophylaxis to close contacts; active surveillance and joint investigation with animal health authorities; community education; and public communications coordination with the assistance of WHO.
Of the 11 cases of human H5N1 virus infection confirmed since 2005 in Cambodia, 9 have been fatal.
Avian influenza - situation in Cambodia - update
25 February 2011 - The Ministry of Health of Cambodia has announced 2 new confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A (H5N1) virus.
A 19-year-old female, from Takong village, Ta Kong commune, Malay district, Banteay Meanchey Province, developed symptoms on early hours of 5 February, was admitted to a private clinic on 9 February, referred to a hospital on 12 February, and died on 12 February without avian influenza being considered as a diagnosis. She had travelled from her home with her husband, her 11-month old son, her mother in law and her sister in law to Rokar Chor village, Bantey Chakrey commune, Prash Sdach district, Prey Veng Province on 3 January. She had multiple exposures to sick and dead poultry between the second half of January and early February. A blood specimen collected at hospital on 12 February was transferred to Institut Pasteur du Cambodge on 22 February and tested positive by (polymerase chain reaction) PCR.
The 11-month-old son developed symptoms on 5 February, was admitted to hospital 15 February and died on 17 February. He also had multiple exposures to sick and dead poultry in the same time frame. The presence of H5N1 virus in nasopharyngeal specimens was confirmed by Institut Pasteur du Cambodge, the National Influenza Centre on 20 February.
The Ministry of Health has been coordinating the response with assistance from WHO. To date no other symptomatic contacts have been found.
Of the 13 cases of human H5N1 virus infection confirmed since 2005 in Cambodia, 11 have been fatal.
13 cases. 5+ years. Not the most virulent disease, eh?
And avian flu is known to be very deadly. And very hard to pass to humans - you basically have to sleep with chickens in your bed.
85% mortality rate ping!
Awesome! Now the TV has something lined up after the Japan crisis of 2011.
What kind of music is going to go best with this super killer??
I'm (sob!) doomed. You can have my ammo.
Hoo boy, I best quit doin' thet.
Almost as bad as Pol Pot. They’ll survive. Unless the communists reemerge (which never left).
In 5 billion years, it will have killed us all...
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
Well, Don’t sleep with Chickens....as the post said...
multiple exposures to sick and dead poultry
If was Human to Human, one would be concerned.
the trick for a virus to go worldwide is the length of the contagious phrase and the level of infectiousness.
if it kills the host too quickly, then it has a lower probability to spread.
with the advent of airlines, the possibility of world wide contagion has dramatically increased. prior to airlines, the 30 days of travel would wipe out an entire ship... but would not make it to its destination.
airlines resolve this and magnify it... by keeping everyone in a single tube, in close quarters, breathing the same air (assuming air-born virus)... and the host doesn’t die before reaching the destination... thereby spreading the virus geometrically.
The good thing about a high mortality rate is that it becomes difficult for the disease to spread. If the pathogen kills off the host quickly, it isolates itself from other victims.
Pravda is often a good source for news we won’t see in the US MSM, but I also find Pravda to be quite sensationalist! Take what they say with some healthy skepticism.
Yet they hype it as a pandemic.
Leftist propaganda never rests.
The movie "Twelve Monkeys" with Bruce Willis and Brad Pitt is a strange movie and not to everyone's taste (but I like it). There is a bit in there about how airports can spread disease very effectively. I won't say more than that.
Bawk bawk BAWWWK!
Yes, but they don’t say anything about human-to-human spread of the virus. The cases mentioned where directly sick poultry-to-human contact.
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