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Gallup poll finds Obama deadlocked in race with generic Republican
The Hill ^ | 2/17/2011 | Jordan Fabian

Posted on 02/17/2011 8:01:10 AM PST by Qbert

A new Gallup poll found registered voters are split over whether they would vote for President Obama in 2012. 

Asked if they would vote for Obama or a generic Republican next year, 45 percent said they would support Obama and 45 percent said they would vote for the GOP candidate. 

The poll, release Wednesday, underlines an opportunity for the large field of potential Republican candidates looking to defeat Obama on the heels of the Democrats' "shellacking" in the 2010 midterm elections, when they lost control of the House and six Senate seats.

The results of the generic ballot survey are virtually unchanged from last year, when Obama held a slight two-point edge over a generic Republican. 

But the poll suggests Obama is more vulnerable than former President George W. Bush at this point in his presidency. 

When Gallup polled voters in 2003 to test Bush's reelection prospects, the Texas Republican led a generic Democrat 47-39 percent.

Even though the poll shows Republicans have the chance to defeat Obama, much will depend on who is selected as the nominee. Several polls, including a Fox News survey released this month, show the president besting several potential rivals, including former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich.

The Gallup poll also showed Obama with strong support from women and minorities, two of his key constituencies from his successful 2008 campaign. But young people have increasingly shied away from the president: Fifty-one percent of registered voters between the ages of 18 and 34 said they would vote for Obama, compared to 63 percent who backed him in a 2008 Gallup pre-election poll.

Gallup polled 1,015 adults between Feb. 2-5. The margin of error among the sample of registered voters is four percentage points.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012; obama; onetermer
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1 posted on 02/17/2011 8:01:14 AM PST by Qbert
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To: Qbert
Notice they used "registered voters" instead of "likely "voters.

"Likely voters" probably didn't give them the result they wanted.

2 posted on 02/17/2011 8:04:32 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum ("If they bring a knife to the fight, we bring a gun." -- Barry Soetoro, June 11, 2008)
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To: Qbert

It’s sad that there are that many total idiots and traitors out there in the general population.


3 posted on 02/17/2011 8:06:52 AM PST by Seruzawa (What's Democrat's legacy? Almost 1/2 million dead US soldiers and collapsed cities.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Holy cow. I am glad you caught that. The likely voter outcome was probably terrible for the incumbent


4 posted on 02/17/2011 8:07:03 AM PST by ilgipper
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

“Notice they used “registered voters” instead of “likely “voters.
“Likely voters” probably didn’t give them the result they wanted.”

I wonder how bad the results were for him.


5 posted on 02/17/2011 8:07:55 AM PST by Qbert ("I seem to smell the stench of appeasement in the air" - Margaret Thatcher)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
They went to the black neighborhood where the poor people live and got their results from there..

I for one do not believe this poll and don't believe any poll..I have many friends of color and I can tell you they will not vote for this Muslim Communist again..

6 posted on 02/17/2011 8:09:18 AM PST by PLD
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To: Qbert

Americans are stupid, either through laziness, or mental deficiency, but they are stupid.

Generic Republicans are always stronger, no personal dislike to factor in.

From what I see, hear and read, (granted I’m in the blue part of Ohio), Obama would comfortably win if the election were today.


7 posted on 02/17/2011 8:12:01 AM PST by brownsfan (D - swift death of the republic, R - lingering death for the republic.)
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To: Qbert

Too bad that there are no generic Republicans running...


8 posted on 02/17/2011 8:14:22 AM PST by NCjim (Do not argue with an idiot. He will drag you down to his level and beat you with experience.)
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To: brownsfan

“From what I see, hear and read, (granted I’m in the blue part of Ohio), Obama would comfortably win if the election were today.”

I strongly doubt that.


9 posted on 02/17/2011 8:15:26 AM PST by Qbert ("I seem to smell the stench of appeasement in the air" - Margaret Thatcher)
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To: Seruzawa

The danger to America is not Barack Obama but a citizenry capable of entrusting a man like him with the presidency. It will be easier to limit and undo the follies of an Obama presidency than to restore the necessary common sense and good judgment to an electorate willing to have such a man for their president. The problem is much deeper and far more serious than Mr. Obama, who is a mere symptom of what ails us. Blaming the prince of the fools should not blind anyone to the vast confederacy of fools that made him their prince. The republic can survive a Barack Obama It is less likely to survive a multitude of fools such as those who made him their president.” — Author Unknown


10 posted on 02/17/2011 8:18:21 AM PST by unkus
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To: Qbert

“I strongly doubt that.”

I hope you’re right.

I do know, that if the GOP controlled House doesn’t rise up and take some decisive actions, it will tar all the Republican candidates. It will be a game changer.


11 posted on 02/17/2011 8:29:22 AM PST by brownsfan (D - swift death of the republic, R - lingering death for the republic.)
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To: Qbert

now all we need to do is find someone with more positives than negatives. all voters want is a reason


12 posted on 02/17/2011 8:30:02 AM PST by camle (keep an open mind and someone will fill it full of something for you)
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To: unkus

While I do worry about an electorate which is willing to elect a neophyte like Obama president, I don’t think it’s quite as bad as one might think. Considering the degree to which the MSM completely covered for him to an unprecedented extent, it is almost understandable. Heck if you just watched NBC/ABC/CBS for your news, you would have though the man was a moderate, a genius, and had no skeletons in his closet at all.

You actually have to put forth a bit of effort to reveal exactly how awful he was going to be. Now that’s has had his time to utterly make a mess of the job, the MSM can’t cover it up.


13 posted on 02/17/2011 8:30:23 AM PST by drbuzzard (different league)
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To: Qbert

In addition to the registered voters vs. likely voters angle, one just has to look and who ran the poll. Who has ever seen an accurate political Gallup poll. I know I never have. They are always skewed to the left by 5-10% from how elections really turn out.

Honestly the big O would have to be soiling himself over polls like this.


14 posted on 02/17/2011 8:32:25 AM PST by drbuzzard (different league)
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To: ilgipper

They need to come up with a new category of voter-
“Likely to push past a Nation of Islam thug to vote”


15 posted on 02/17/2011 8:34:02 AM PST by MrB (Tagline suspended for important announcement on my home page. Click my handle.)
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To: brownsfan

“I do know, that if the GOP controlled House doesn’t rise up and take some decisive actions, it will tar all the Republican candidates. It will be a game changer.”

The problem, as always is the Establishment and Establishment-lite people.

I think the House should shoot for the moon, since it’s going to be watered down anyways by the time the Senate deals with it. Basic rules of negotiation- start with a much higher amount than you know you’re going to ultimately get.


16 posted on 02/17/2011 8:35:55 AM PST by Qbert ("I seem to smell the stench of appeasement in the air" - Margaret Thatcher)
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To: unkus

I’ve been saying for a while that the country has changed. If there is a real depression we will be faced with millions of people who think they deserve free housing and food merely because they consume oxygen. They won’t demand jobs. They will come to our homes to pillage, rape and kill.

I’m ready, but thankful that I had the wisdom to move to Utah 30 years ago. People in NY, NJ, LA, Chi, etc are so screwed. Roving street gangs and no police or NG to protect the decent because the police and NG are protecting the power elites.


17 posted on 02/17/2011 8:37:31 AM PST by Seruzawa (What's Democrat's legacy? Almost 1/2 million dead US soldiers and collapsed cities.)
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To: camle

“now all we need to do is find someone with more positives than negatives. all voters want is a reason”

Agree.


18 posted on 02/17/2011 8:38:11 AM PST by Qbert ("I seem to smell the stench of appeasement in the air" - Margaret Thatcher)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Likely voters will give Republicans usually a better result..BUT reason they didn’t use most likely is they would have to get a larger sample of adults as by time you dwindle down to likely voters the sample becomes much smaller..also at this time determining who is going to vote is kind of tough. even is good.


19 posted on 02/17/2011 8:38:50 AM PST by GoMonster (GO)
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To: Qbert

Obama has failed at everything even a college student may not vote for the idiot loser.


20 posted on 02/17/2011 8:40:05 AM PST by Vaduz
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