Skip to comments.2012 Senate Predictions: Republicans Gain 8-10 Seats
Posted on 11/09/2010 9:46:42 PM PST by dangus
click here to read article
By the time it comes for me to vote out Di-Fi, I will be a Texas resident and it won’t matter.
Mind you, I will miss my California — home of Prop 13; blue skies; and her geography: beaches, mountains and desert all within an hour and a half.
But I can see when there are more people in the cart than pulling it. And, about one year from now (I am waiting to fully pay off my house) I ain’t gonna be under the lash of insanity.
Nice analysis, and from this distance, not too bad at all.
Let’s see what the cumulative effect of a couple of years of sunshine do to enhance your predictions. I’m betting a bunch of incumbent Democrats are going to have one hell of a time raising funds, and every one should have an opponent who is strongly backed by the Tea Party. I think a lot of those Democrats will choose a safe retirement as opposed to a hopeless reelection fight.
It’s a marathon, not a sprint folks...
Oh, important point: NONE of the top ten pickup opportunities are against incumbents with a massive amount of cash on hand, or with a Democratic machine in their favor, like Reid had.
If DiFi gets like Byrd or Kennedy and decides to keep running until she dies in office, at what point will it become excusable to start calling her “DieFi”?
Ben Nelson is roundly despised in Nebraska, and is down 15 points on the day he announced he will run again.
#10 - it’s long past time for the Wisconsin Dairy Queen to be retired, if for no other reason than he’s utterly stupid. Without Russ Feingold he’ll have a hard time finding the men’s room...oops, no that one he can figure out - but you get the idea.
I was hoping we would get 51 this year and then be in a good position to pick up enough for a filibuster proof majority in 2012. Picking up 13 in 2012 now looks like more of a stretch.
This will only hold true if newly-elected conservatives hold the line. If they go squishy to get along, all of them are toast.
How many time have we said that over the years?
With the Fed just giving everyone a 20% pay cut, one wishes that Nov. 2012 would be next week.
So many things can happen before the next election.
You are off on two of your predictions.
Casey is really in shabby shape in PA and a TON of union and Lib cash was spent to drag Sestak into a competitive race. ‘12 will even have less money available with Obummer running. If a decent candidate like Toomey is found, he is toast.
Webb is already distancing himself from the party. I really think he will jump ship and become a Repub. Especially if Manchin does. The writing is on the wall for Webbs loss, he will do what he can to stay Senator.
Great work , thanks.
Interesting thought. If some Republicans are happy that the Democrats kept the majority in the Senate because it will make Congress harder for Obama to scapegoat, could four Democrats (or three plus Lieberman) actually agree to switch sides and join the GOP just so Obama can have his whipping boy for 2012?
Granted, extremely far-fetched but I’ve learned to never assume these treacherous Dems will stop short in their quest for ultimate power. Could we see, say, a Manchin-Webb-Nelson-Lieberman flip to hand the Senate over to the GOP for two years just to use them as an issue for Dems to run against in 2012?
2 years is a LONG WAY OFF to be predicting this. Just 2 years ago the death of the GOP was predicted. Some fools even wrote books and articles about it.
I think with Webb it is purely self preservation. I don’t see a lot of Dims putting their neck out for what is shaping up as a loser prez.
That is why there was an every man for himself attitude before the election and an open revolt is brewing in the house over Pelosi’s return.
This may become the worst two years for the economy—ever.
Let’s see what a broken California looks like in 2012—it may seem like a very different place.
I am sticking with my one prediction—we won’t be running against Obama because he will not be the Democratic nominee.
California is DEAD....NY is beyond DEAD....I like our odds in Montona,Va, Fl, Missouri, OH, PA, and Nebraska.....my opinion is if you voted for healthcare you are a liberal (Ben Nelson). He’s not a moderate. The question is if NRSC chooses the candidates we’re doomed.
I too, like the analysis. WE need to start now....
BUT, and this is the big BUT....It starts at the top. Who will run for president? What will be their slogan?
Somehow, I see Sarah again better as the VP candidate. She doesn’t run, but stays in the wings....
Sorry, I like her alot, just don’t think she’s ready for the Presidency...even though she is hands down better qualified than the imposter in chief we have now....
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.