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2012 Senate Predictions: Republicans Gain 8-10 Seats
Vanity ^ | 11-10-10 | Dangus

Posted on 11/09/2010 9:46:42 PM PST by dangus

click here to read article


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To: dangus

Before anybody puts forth Powell’s name as a candidate - black or otherwise - remember these facts:
1. He openly supported and voted for 0bambi;
2. He sat silent knowing that Scooter Libby was innocent;
3. He never once defended President Bush after the U speech; and
4. At best, just another RINO. At worst, an likely vote against Conservative principles. No thank you.


21 posted on 11/10/2010 4:15:46 AM PST by NTHockey (Rules of engagement #1: Take no prisoners)
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To: arista

With the Maine Witches, the South Carolina Poofter, The Alaskan Cow, the Hatched Chicken, and Taxachussetts’ Brown on “our side”, the GOP would need at least 65 members to be filibuster proof. Toss in McCainiac, McConnell, Corker, etc, and the probable number is somewheres north of 75 needed to enact any fundamental change.


22 posted on 11/10/2010 5:08:47 AM PST by crusher (Political Correctness: Stalinism Without the Charm)
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To: Lazlo in PA

How does that make me wrong? I picked PA and VA as pickups.


23 posted on 11/10/2010 5:16:01 AM PST by dangus
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To: NTHockey

FWIW, I agree.


24 posted on 11/10/2010 5:16:57 AM PST by dangus
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To: nikos1121

I firmly hold that we CANNOT allow it to start at the top. That’s what killed us in the Bush years; we got a leader who was a socialist, and the Republican Congress had no independent battle plan.

Push hard to win the Senate big, and it won’t matter who wins the nomination. If conservatives control the legislative agenda, it’s hard to picture some Willard vetoing a Republican agenda.


25 posted on 11/10/2010 5:24:12 AM PST by dangus
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To: KC_Conspirator

A few things could happen: The economy could take off with GDP growth of 9%, like under Reagan. Naah. Obama could be faced with a crisis that allows the media to rally around what a great leader he is. But he already blew the oil spill.

Personally, I don’t think the Left really believed all that 40 years of dominance stuff; Obama, Reid and Pelosi governed as if they knew they had 2 years to ransack the country and be gone; cramming all sorts of unpopular legislation in, rather than trying to rebuild the 1930-1994 dominance of the Left.

But you never know what COULD happen. I write these articles to lay a vision of what may be accomplished; the point is reasonably met expectations, not perfect prognostication.


26 posted on 11/10/2010 5:31:41 AM PST by dangus
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To: Impy; AuH2ORepublican; Clintonfatigued

You might want to add your two cents...


27 posted on 11/10/2010 5:34:43 AM PST by randita
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To: dangus

Good, well reasoned analysis. Thanks.

If a strong GOP challenger emerges right away, some of those Dem incumbents in GOP leaning states may decide to hang up their hats rather than face a bruising election where the outcome may place them in the minority anyhow. I’m thinking Nelson-NE, Kohl, Conrad.

Some Dems incumbents in red states may actually face bruising primary battles from left wing candidates.

If Obama is at the top of the ticket, I don’t think he’ll have coattails this time around and having Obama on the ticket would energize conservatives to come out and vote against him.

A lot can happen in two years as we’ve witnessed from the past two years.


28 posted on 11/10/2010 5:42:46 AM PST by randita
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To: dangus

I didn’t say you were wrong. I said you were off.

You predict Webb losing by a challenge from the GOP. I see growing evidence in Webbs words since the election showing a party switch.

As for Casey I agree there will be a pick-up. I just don’t believe it will be a challenging pick-up at this time. If Casey rehabilitates himself somehow it might be challenging but not at this time.


29 posted on 11/10/2010 8:25:50 AM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: dangus

Retirements will scramble this picture a bit, as will an economic recovery that will be generating significant new jobs by the end of 2011. Obama on the ballot will also help most Democrats.


30 posted on 11/10/2010 9:52:48 AM PST by Rockingham
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To: dangus

You’re correct that Virginia will be a pickup seat in 2012. Not so correct that Bill Bolling will go for it. He wants to be Governor. Look at it this way.

Bill Bolling will run for Governor in 2013 - he stepped aside in 2009 it’s “his turn”
Ken Cuccinelli will run for a second term as AG in 2013

Possiblities for the Senate

George Allen
Delegate Bob Marshall (ran against Gilmore in the 2008 primary)
Prince William County Chairman Corey Stewart
Congressman Randy Forbes

There may be others in the mix. But I don’t see anyway it’s either Bolling or Cuccinelli. Not yet.


31 posted on 11/10/2010 12:38:40 PM PST by Corin Stormhands (I only read the Constitution for the Articles.)
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To: Corin Stormhands

I hope to God you’re wrong. George Allen is a meathead. A mere Delegate is a tough sell. Forbes is ho-hum. Stewart might be good.


32 posted on 11/10/2010 2:42:21 PM PST by dangus
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To: dangus

Will a Republican win Lindsay Graham’s seat?


33 posted on 11/10/2010 4:10:33 PM PST by IGOTMINE (1911s FOREVER!)
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To: dangus

You’re wrong about George Allen. He remains the one Virginia candidate I’m willing to bleed for.


34 posted on 11/11/2010 5:23:14 AM PST by Corin Stormhands (I only read the Constitution for the Articles.)
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