Posted on 11/02/2010 10:05:34 AM PDT by library user
A few hours ago Christine was trading @ $7 / share on intrade. Now she's up to $15 / share. Biggest jump (more than 100%) on any political race/outcome on intrade today, thus far.
No, DE, WV and IL do vote in the Lame Duck and the others don’t
I think all the momentum has to be with Christine. I can’t imagine why any sane voter would be tripping over themselves to vote for Coons.
Why? They all are exactly the same situation as the others. If there is a difference in state laws, I can certainly see that, but those seats are not vacant.
Ahh, I see, the person holding them is appointed and not running in the election. That could be what makes the difference.
However, one would think that Florida would fall under that same category then, no?
Agreed, and that's why we need 70%+ indy. Beau Biden is the Attorney General, if it's close, Coons wins.
That 60/40 is definitely doable.
There are a lot of Conservative Indie tea party. They’re very motivated. They’ll be turning out. Liberals could be motivated, but Liberal Indies, Moderate Indies? Not as much.
I’d argue that the enthusiasm gap for Christine/Conservative Indies over Other Indies could be as great as if not greater than the R over D gap. Christine is an outsider candidate. One would have to think that resonates very well with Independents. I’d be more worried about carrying the Republicans at the same percentage as the Democrats.
Did Pete DuPont bring all the Castle people on board?
Beau Biden wants that seat. Castle was “supposed” to have it. And Castle was going to give it to him as nicely as possible, which is sorta the way they do things there.
Beau Biden I think would rather run against Christine in the General in 4 years than an incumbent Coons in the primary.
So, I don’t think that he would do fraud in order to put a Democrat in the spot he wants.
I can’t even fathom how any Republican in Delaware could possibly not want to be part of this wave.
I have to figure when they walk into the booth they’ll pull the lever for her.
No. It is an indisputable fact that the seats being vacant is nonsense. It is untrue. Period.
For someone who seemed so confident in your declarations, it’s surprising that all you seem to have to back it up is ‘every report I’ve seen or read...’
You may well be right. What I’ve been asking is why that might be the case. Nobody seems to know.
Well, it is definitely a stark choice for “political class” Republicans. Would they rather have bad government or a senator who didn’t go to a really good college? “Political Class” Republicans might have to learn to hold their nose every so often, like Conservatives have been told they have to do. In most states, we won’t really even need political class Repubicans.
Interesting. If Castle "was going to give it to him as nicely as possible", then it stands to reason that Coons has been told to do the same. I figure the Bidens own Coons.
It’s WV, DE, IL. Byrd, Biden, Obama. Partial terms.
When was the last time we had a WITCH in the Senate?? I mean... on OUR side??
You’d think the just idea of getting hit with the largest tax increase in American history might persuade them to vote for someone who will vote to extend the current rates in the lame duck session.
Of course Coons did say he is now willing to go with a total extension. But can one really believe him based on everything he has said and done in the past?
Since they are international, they want to do business that way because of US offshore gambling laws.
-PJ
Well, maybe she can defy the polls and pundits. It'd make my day if that were the case.
I’m sorry, I don’t get it. Partial terms? How so? State laws in those states say so?
How does the Bennett appointment differ from the Burris appointment?
And why is NY not included? NY is a special election that isn’t normally a race held this year for a seat held by an appointed senator.
Is there any reason to think the Bidens own Coons?
Coons is one in a long line of chemical industry lawyers. Biden was an outlier. I see no reason why Coons, who is relatively young, wouldn’t want to hold on to that seat for 20 or 30 years, as long as he possibly could.
I just don’t think Biden would do any fraud for Coons. I’m not saying don’t watch out for it, but I would expect it not to happen. They don’t ever really have competitive elections in Delaware. Biden’s 1st race in 1972 was really really close. The close ones are like 10 points. And 40 or 50 points is not unheard of.
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